Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings 11/28/23 – The struggling Golden State Warriors (8-9) face the surging Sacramento Kings (9-6) in an exciting Pacific Division matchup. This match, set to unfold at the Golden 1 Center with a 10:00 PM ET tip-off and national coverage on TNT, promises an exciting clash in the Western Conference. This NBA betting picks analysis, analyzes the teams’ key players, stats, trends, and provides a free pick and tips.
| When: | Tuesday, November 28, 10:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Golden 1 Center |
| TV: | TNT |
| Stream: | NBA League Pass |
Tomorrow's In-Season Tournament matchup against the Kings is going to be a big one ☝️ pic.twitter.com/bsYWaxTgt9
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) November 27, 2023
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | +3 -115 | o238.5 -110 | +120 |  |
| Kings | -3 -105 | u238.5 -110 | -140 | |
| ||||
Stephen Curry (PG) vs De’Aaron Fox (PG)
Stephen Curry continues putting up impressive numbers in his 15th NBA season, averaging 29.7 points on 44.9% shooting along with 6.5 rebounds and 3.9 assists. However, the Warriors’ struggles have highlighted Curry’s weaknesses on the defensive end and with turning the ball over. He will need an efficient offensive outing to match De’Aaron Fox.
De’Aaron Fox looks like an early Most Improved Player candidate, posting career-highs with 29.9 points and 6 assists per game. He has cut down on turnovers while remaining a defensive pest with 1.6 steals per game. Fox’s quickness could prove troublesome for Curry to handle.
This matchup features two dynamic point guards at contrasting stages of their careers. While Curry boasts more overall talent and experience, Fox’s speed and energy could exploit the veteran’s shortcomings in this particular matchup. Ultimately, the player who gets their teammates more involved likely leads their team to victory.
Golden State Warriors Offensive Struggles
The Warriors rank 11th last in offensive rating despite Stephen Curry putting up near MVP numbers. Their supporting cast has largely failed to step up as a consistent secondary scorer beside Curry has yet to emerge. Increased isolation play and declining ball movement have led to fewer open three point attempts. Meanwhile, a lack of attacking the rim has limited their free throw attempts as well. Simply put, Golden State’s offense lacks balance.
Sacramento Kings Balanced Attack
The Kings boast impressive offensive balance with a top ten efficiency ranking. De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis each average over 20 points per game, while Kevin Huerter, Harrison Barnes and Malik Monk all chip in double figures as well. Additionally, the roster moves the ball selflessly as evidenced by their top five assist rate. This type of crisp passing generates quality looks for the plethora of scoring options up and down the roster.
NBA Betting Odds: Sacramento Kings -110, Over/Under: 239.5
The betting odds indicate the Kings enter as slim one-point home favorites. This implies they would also be favored on a neutral court by a similar margin. The over/under of 239.5 suggests oddsmakers expect an up-tempo, high-scoring affair.
Trends
Golden State Warriors Betting Trends
Golden State are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State’s last 5 games.
Golden State are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games.
Golden State are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Sacramento.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State’s last 6 games on the road.
Golden State are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Sacramento.
Sacramento Kings Betting Trends
Sacramento are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento’s last 6 games.
Sacramento are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento’s last 5 games against Golden State.
Sacramento are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Sacramento are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against Golden State.
Injuries
Warriors
Draymond Green PF Is probable Tuesday vs Sacramento, Suspension Served
Kings
Alex Len C Is OUT 6-8 weeks, Ankle
Keegan Murray SF Is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs Golden State, Back
Keon Ellis SG Is “?” Tuesday vs Golden State, Ankle
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Picks
The betting trends and stats analysis suggest the Kings’ balanced roster and home court advantage make them the wise wager. The Kings enter the contest as the hotter team and feature a favorable matchup against the Warriors’ struggling defense.
Consider taking the Kings laying a point at home. Additionally, Sacramento’s high powered offense should exploit Golden State’s inability to string together defensive stops. Bet the over on the team total and game total at your favorite online sportsbook. Sign up today to make your NBA betting prediction!
Score Prediction: Kings 120, Warriors 114.
