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UFC on ESPN 57: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby 6/8/24 Fight Forecast, Picks and Analysis

UFC on ESPN 57: Reyes vs. Jacoby 6/8/24 – As UFC on ESPN 57 draws near, the Light Heavyweight bout featuring Dominick “The Devastator” Reyes against Dustin “The Hanyak” Jacoby is set to capture the attention of MMA enthusiasts. Reyes, holding a record of 12-4-0, looks to rebound after a series of challenging fights, while Jacoby, with a more seasoned record of 19-8-1, aims to leverage his experience in the octagon. This match, scheduled for Sunday, June 8, 2024, at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky, is a critical showdown that is sure to impact the division’s rankings and offer valuable insights for those looking for MMA latest free picks.

UFC on ESPN 57: Reyes vs. Jacoby 6/8/24

When:Sunday, June 8, 2024 | Time: 8:00 PM ET
Where:KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, Kentucky, USA
Stream:UFC Fight Pass

Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby Odds

Bet Now on this Game

Dominick Reyes+100Dustin Jacoby-132

The current moneyline prices slightly lean towards Dustin Jacoby at -132, which implies that the sports writers believe that he stands the better chance of winning this fight. Despite the fact that Dominick Reyes received +100, he is the underdog, however, the very small difference of the odds reveals that the bout can be very close. To this end, the past performances and characteristics of the fighters should be well-analyzed with paramount concern on the two factors when selecting on which fighter to bet.

Main Card

Dominick Reyes

Dominick Reyes, a fighter who is famous for his power in the cage and remarkable footwork, does have an impressive record, yet, he has had his recent struggles in his recent fights, which had included a loss to Spann. Reyes, overall, has a fight duration considerably shorter than Jacoby’s and therefore can be seen attempting to control his opponent at the onset of fights. An attack rate of 50% or the readiness to strike while his defense rate of 48% or readiness to defend himself depicts the fighter in challenging disposition. For grappling, Reyes has low takedown numbers but good 80% takedown defense which reveals that he has excellent control of the fight and might benefit against Jacoby who has a lot of swings in his strikes.

Dustin Jacoby

On the other side, Dustin Jacoby brings a more frequent fight pace into the octagon, with an average fight time of 11:00 minutes and an average striking rate of 5.53 strikes per minute. Again, his punching defense sits at 57% which is higher than Reyes’; therefore, he acknowledges and handles these volleys, as witnessed by his slightly higher striking absorption rate per minute 4.07. While he is not very good at ground fighting having equal takedown averages to Reyes though having lower takedown defense of 60%, his wrestling experience and endurance might just come in handy in capitalizing on fleeting cracks that might appear in Reyes’ style especially when the fight progresses to the later rounds.

Reyes vs. Jacoby  Betting Numbers

Dominick Reyes
Dustin Jacoby
Last FightLossLoss
Height6′ 4″6′ 3″
Weight (lbs)205 205
Reach (in)77″76″
Win by KO/TKO58%
Win by Submission17%
Strikes landed per minute4.755.53
Striking accuracy50%47%
Striking absorbed per minute3.774.07
Striking defense48%57%
Takedown average0.360.36
Takedown accuracy28%25%
Takedown defense80%60%
Submission average0.40.0

Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby Betting Picks

Furthermore, making a comparison of the actual fighting and the recent statistics, it is worth mentioning that Jacoby has slightly the advantage, especially on the distance where despite slightly worse striking defense, he is constantly pressing his opponent, which can lead to a better result. However, it would also be foolish to disregard Dominick Reyes’ striking and takedown defense, as the ability to land the fight-ending strikes in the early stages will change the course of the fight immediately.

Considering all factors, Jacoby might be the safer bet for those wagering through top-tier sportsbooks online, especially given his resilience and slightly better all-round stats. Nevertheless, Reyes possesses the knockout power that could surprise Jacoby and betting enthusiasts alike. This fight promises to be a closely contested battle, with potential for both strategic prowess and raw power to dictate the outcome. Fans and bettors alike will be wise to keep a close eye on the developments leading up to the fight night, as any new training insights or physical conditions of the fighters could be crucial.