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UFC ON ESPN 53: Amanda Ribas vs. Rose Namajunas 3/23/24 Fight Forecast, Picks, and Analysis

UFC ON ESPN 53: Ribas vs. Namajunas 3/23/24 – In the fast-approaching UFC 299, a captivating women’s flyweight bout is set to take the stage, featuring Amanda Ribas against Rose Namajunas. Both fighters share a closely matched record with Ribas holding a 12-4-0 and Namajunas at 12-6-0, making this matchup a crucial pivot in their careers. As they prepare to face off on Saturday, March 23, 2024, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, fans and bettors alike are scouring the premier sportsbook online for insights and predictions. The fight, broadcasting at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN+ and available for livestream on UFC Fight Pass, is anticipated to be a strategic showdown between two top contenders in the women’s flyweight division.

UFC ON ESPN 53: Ribas vs. Namajunas 3/23/24

When:Saturday, March 23, 2024 10:00 PM ET
Where:UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Stream:UFC Fight Pass

UFC ON ESPN 53: Ribas vs. Namajunas 3/23/24 Odds

Bet Now on this Game

Amanda Ribas+165Rose Namajunas-200

Main Card

Amanda Ribas

Amanda Ribas will walk into the cage with 12 wins but only defeats against the opposing fighter which amounts to four. It is known that Ribas is very good at kicking her opponents, she lands 4.92 significant strikes in one minute and she is 42% accurate, which is completely hard for the opponent to deal with and the metrics of accuracy and number of kicks are higher compared to Namajunas. Even the takedowns of her, which is already high to begin with, average of 1.99 per 15 minutes and the takedown defense rate of her being a stunning 87%, cannot be casually dismissed. Ribas’ triumph in her last match over Pinheiro demonstrated the multiple qualities she possesses as a fighter, signifying the sharpness in her striking accuracy and grappling ability. Her striking power and potent defense, including her calculated game plan using a ground game, are just enough qualifications to make her a worthy challenger of Namajunas.

Rose Namajunas

Rose Namajunas AKA ‘Thug’ however is also perfectly matched with Ribas in the same regard. With a slightly longer average fight time of 13:At a stage when 45, no opponent will stand more of a test of Namajas’ endurance than she is. She delivers 3.68 of significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 40%, and also absorbs 40% of strikes. This shows her fighting style when she is recording more knocked down fights when compared to Namajunas. Named one of the best grapplers in the world, Namajunas stats don’t lie – she averages 1.49 takedowns with a 60% TD defense rate. Her ground game is impressive, but she may struggle with Ribas’ grappling game who is a solid grappler herself. Fiorot has given her indicators of the aspects that she needs to improve. The most recent one is the loss of her fight to Fiorot, which has shown her how important it is to face opponents who are not only good with strikes, but also with takedown defense.

Ribas vs. Namajunas Betting Numbers

Amanda Ribas
Rose Namajunas
Last FightWinLoss
Weight (lbs)114114
Reach (in)65″64″
Win by KO/TKO25%18%
Win by Submission33%45%
Strikes landed per minuteN/A3.95
Striking accuracyN/A42%
Striking absorbed per minuteN/A3.88
Striking defenseN/A59%
Takedown averageN/A2.17
Takedown accuracyN/A55%
Takedown defenseN/A46%
Submission averageN/A0.95


Amanda Ribas vs. Rose Namajunas Summary Betting Picks

It is going to be a spectacular clash of styles on the grain of Ribas’s striking power and her grappling, on the one hand and Namajunas’s strategic fighting skill, on the other hand, in which the striking intensity and the grappling of Ribas might just slightly beat the strategic skill of Namajunas. In this respect, both fighters are very gifted and equally matched. However, if you consider recent performance, more impressive strikes achieved and better takedown defense, Ribas is the slight favorite. Namajunas, a fighter who should not be underestimated given her resilience and experience, but utilizing her endurance and any openings that Ribas would leave (especially in late rounds) are crucial to her victory.

Undoubtedly, taking into account the UFC betting odds and picks, the smart money probably assumes the odds in favor of Ribas because of her well-rounded skill set and the rapid way she built her momentum prior to this battle. In contrast, the outcome of the MMA fight, is still unpredictable based on this, people, including the fans, bettors, must watch the match. In the end, the contender equipped to put up their plan in action and at the same time be flexible with changes will be the one who will be smiling after the fight that night.