UFC ON ESPN 51: Fremd vs Pickett 08/12/2023 – Josh Fremd squares off with Jamie Pickett in a three-round middleweight contest on Saturday, August 12, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The match is part of the UFC on ESPN 51: Luque vs Dos Anjos fight card to be broadcast live on ESPN/ESPN+ on television. UFC Fight Pass, meanwhile, will deliver the match proceedings on livestream.
Fremd looks to pick up another win as he takes on Pickett, who is aiming to snap his three-fight losing skid and regain lost ground in the 185-pound division. A victory for either fighter will certainly boost their status in the weight class and further cement their reputation in the promotion. Fremd is favored to win his second straight fight in the UFC as opening sports odds and picks are looking to cash in on his potential by virtue of that stunning victory over Dumas last time out.
UFC ON ESPN 51: Fremd vs Pickett 08/12/2023
|When:||Saturday, August 12, 2023 7:00 PM ET|
|Where:||UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA|
|Stream:||UFC Fight Pass|
UFC ON ESPN 51: Fremd vs Pickett 08/12/2023 Odds
After losing in his first two fights in the octagon, Fremd (10-4, 1-2 UFC) staged a stunning display of ground fighting skills and patience as he forced erstwhile undefeated fighter Sedriques Dumas to tap out on a guillotine choke in the second round of their fight in March. It was a big win for the Connellsville, Pennsylvania native who mastered his craft in various MMA promotions before making his UFC debut in April last year. Fremd will step into the octagon with a two-inch height advantage against Pickett but he has to be careful on his foe’s long reach, as it could hinder his offensive strategy during the fight.
The 29-year-old has finished eight fighters in his career (four knockouts and four submissions). Fremd is capable of taking down opponents, as he has a takedown success rate of 75%. He averages 1.56 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.56 submissions/15 minutes. However, the American fighter needs to step up defensively. Fremd has stopped only 31% of the takedown attempts launched against him. In terms of striking, Fremd has landed 3.05 significant strikes per minute at a success rate of 52%. He has absorbed 2.71 significant strikes per minute and defended 42% of the strikes against him.
The last three fights of Pickett (13-9. 2-5 UFC) in the octagon has not been positive to say the least as he has fallen victim to consecutive stoppages. After picking up two straight decision wins against Laureano Staropoli and Joseph Holmes, the Greenville, North Carolina-born fighter succumbed to Kyle Daukaus (submission), Denis Tiuliulin (technical knockout) and Bo Nickal (submission). He needs to pick up a win to regain relevance in the 185-pound division and pick up more fights in the future. He comes into the fight with a two-inch height disadvantage but has a six-inch reach advantage that he can use in striking at a distance.
Pickett has finished nine of his opponents via knockout and has four decisions overall. He has lost two times by KO and four by submission. The American has landed 3.16 significant strikes per minute at a success rate of 50%. In terms of defense, he was able to defend 48% of the strikes attempted against him and has absorbed 4.23 significant strikes per minute. In terms of grappling, the American has stopped 66% of the takedown attempts against him but has a pedestrian takedown accuracy rate of 36%. His grappling offense is not too impressive as he has averaged 1.34 takedowns/15 minutes and 0.17 submissions/15 minutes.
Fremd vs Pickett Betting Numbers
|Win by KO/TKO||40%||69%|
|Win by Submission||40%||0%|
|Strikes landed per minute||N/A||2.06|
|Striking absorbed per minute||N/A||3.01|
Fremd vs Pickett Betting Picks
Pickett will have his hands full to stop his three-losing skid against Fremd. He comes into the fight as the underdog against his motivated foe that struck his first win against a previously unbeaten rival. Experts in online UFC parlays expect the fight to end before the second round with Fremd winning via submission. However, if the fight turns into a striking match, Pickett will have a distinct advantage as he has dynamite hands that knocked out nine opponents in his career.