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UFC FIGHT NIGHT 238: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Shamil Gaziev 3/2/24 Fight Forecast, Picks and Analysis

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 238: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 3/2/24 – As the anticipation builds for UFC FIGHT NIGHT 238, the heavyweight clash between Jairzinho “BIGI BOY” Rozenstruik and the undefeated Shamil Gaziev is poised to capture the attention of fight fans and bettors alike. With Rozenstruik’s record standing at 13 wins, 5 losses, and no draws, against Gaziev flawless 12-0-0, this bout promises explosive action and potentially lucrative opportunities for those scouting the best casino online sites for odds and insights. Set against the electrifying backdrop of the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, this matchup epitomizes the high stakes and fierce competition that define the apex of mixed martial arts.

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 238: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 3/2/24

When:Saturday, March 2, 2024 4:00 PM ET
Where:UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Stream:UFC Fight Pass

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 238: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 3/2/24 Odds

Bet Now on this Game

Jairzinho Rozenstruik+160Shamil Gaziev-185

Main Card

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

The stats clearly showcase Jairzinho “Bigi Boy” Rozenstruik as an aggressive striker who pushes the pace. He lands 2.81 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.15, indicating he often trades blows looking for the knockout. With a 45% striking accuracy rate and 45% striking defense rate, efficiency is not necessarily Rozenstruik’s strength.

Rozenstruik has true fight-ending power, evidenced by his 50% finishing rate and numerous UFC knockouts. At 6’2″ with a 78″ reach, he uses his physicality well to generate power. Rozenstruik will certainly be headhunting against Gaziev, aiming to land fight-altering strikes early. However, his porous defense leaves openings for counters that could change momentum. If Gaziev can exploit these defensive holes, it spells trouble for Rozenstruik.

In grappling, the stats tell the story of a one-dimensional fighter. Rozenstruik has not attempted a single takedown in the UFC and has below average defensive wrestling, with just a 73% takedown defense rate. He also doesn’t threaten with submissions. While primarily a boxer, Rozenstruik lacks versatility if the fight hits the canvas. Against a well-rounded Gaziev, this could severely limit his path to victory.

Shamil Gaziev

Shamil Gaziev’s striking metrics jump off the page through 12 professional fights. He lands an astounding 6.19 significant strikes per minute while absorbing less than 1 per minute. This type of overwhelming volume and efficiency fuels his 92% finishing rate. Gaziev also displays solid 51% striking accuracy to pair with his 60% striking defense. The numbers depict an elite kickboxer prepared to pick opponents apart.

In addition to next-level striking offense and defense, Gaziev possesses threatening grappling ability. He has successfully defended 100% of takedown attempts from opponents, indicating stellar anti-wrestling skills. Gaziev also attempts a submission nearly every 7 minutes, showing supplementary ground skills. At 6’4” and 265 pounds with a 78” reach, he is a massive heavyweight that can overwhelm foes anywhere the fight goes.

The stats paint the picture of a future title contender on an unprecedented 12-0 start to his career. Gaziev enters the cage with fight-ending power, smothering volume, calculated efficiency, and well-rounded skills. His diverse arsenal should present many problems for the one-dimensional Rozenstruik. Ultimately, Gaziev appears the fighter to beat on Saturday night.

Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev Betting Numbers

Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Shamil Gaziev
Last FightLossWin
Weight (lbs)246262
Reach (in)77″N/A
Win by KO/TKO92%67%
Win by Submission0%25%
Strikes landed per minute3.8N/A
Striking accuracy74%N/A
Striking absorbed per minute2.98N/A
Striking defense35%N/A
Takedown average0N/A
Takedown accuracyN/A
Takedown defense66%N/A
Submission average0N/A

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Shamil Gaziev Summary

This matchup comes down to whether Jairzinho Rozenstruik can land his notoriously brutal power punches versus Shamil Gaziev’s tactical precision. Rozenstruik will aggressively stalk Gaziev from the opening bell, loading up savage knockout blows. If he connects cleanly early, Rozenstruik has the fight-ending power to finish anyone. He will need to cut off the cage and back Gaziev up while defending takedowns. However, Gaziev possesses clear striking advantages in volume, efficiency and defense. He lands over 6 significant strikes per minute at a 50% clip while absorbing just 0.93. Gaziev also has excellent footwork and counterstriking which could exploit Rozenstruik’s porous defense. Plus, the undefeated fighter holds grappling advantages as well, with 100% takedown defense and submission skills.

Gaziev’s best strategy is to weather the early storm. As long as he survives Rozenstruik’s round 1 power punches, Gaziev can take over with calculated volume striking and wrestling. Slowly picking apart the one-dimensional Rozenstruik with knees, elbows and body kicks. By rounds 3-5, Rozenstruik could be drained and vulnerable. Ultimately, Gaziev holds more advantages and his well-rounded skill set poses problems. Combined with superior cardio, he should be able to implement his game plan more effectively. For your free UFC betting prediction tonight, back Gaziev by knockout.