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UFC FIGHT NIGHT 236: Jack Hermansson vs. Joe Pyfer 2/10/24 Fight Forecast, Picks and Analysis

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 236: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 2/10/24 – As UFC Fight Night 236 approaches, the middleweight clash between Jack “The Joker” Hermansson and Joe “Bodybagz” Pyfer is poised to steal the spotlight. With Hermansson entering the octagon with a record of 23-8-0 and Pyfer showcasing a younger but promising record of 12-2-0, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Set against the electrifying backdrop of the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, and broadcasted live on ESPN+, this bout is a key focus for MMA picks and odds tonight, attracting fans and bettors alike with its intriguing matchup and competitive betting odds.

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 236: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 2/10/24

When:Saturday, February 10, 2024 7:00 PM ET
Where:UFC APEX,  Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Stream:UFC Fight Pass

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 236: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 2/10/24 Odds

Bet Now on this Game

Jack Hermansson+200Joe Pyfer -250

Main Card

Jack Hermansson

Jack “The Joker” Hermansson enters this bout with a 23-8 record and proven skills across all areas. He lands an impressive 5.13 significant strikes per minute with 44% accuracy, while only absorbing 3.69 shots per minute thanks to his 55% striking defense rate. Hermansson also utilizes strong offensive wrestling, completing 1.66 takedowns per round at a 29% accuracy clip. On the mat, he poses a constant submission threat, averaging 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes. If Hermansson can implement this balanced attack of striking volume and wrestling pressure, he has a clear avenue to victory.

However, Hermansson’s last fight showed potential holes in his game. He struggled to get much going against Sean Strickland, landing just 3.4 significant strikes per round while being controlled for most of the fight. If Hermansson cannot find consistency in his standup or successfully take the fight to the mat, he leaves himself vulnerable against Pyfer’s fight-ending power. He must blend his striking and grappling threat to throw Pyfer off his game.

Joe Pyfer

Joe “Bodybagz” Pyfer enters his UFC debut with a perfect 12-2 record and deadly finishing instincts, ending all 12 wins inside the distance. He lands an above-average 3.64 significant strikes per minute at a 45% clip, while minimizing damage by absorbing just 2.34 shots per minute. Pyfer also utilizes solid wrestling, landing 2.97 takedowns per frame at an excellent 83% accuracy. Once the fight hits the mat, Pyfer is a nightmare, securing a submission win in 4 of 12 career victories while averaging 1.8 subs per 15 minutes. If Pyfer can implement his balanced skill set of precise striking and wrestling pressure, few middleweights can withstand his offensive onslaught.

Joe Pyfer remains relatively untested against top-flight competition, and his 50 percent takedown defense could prove problematic against Hermansson, as hasn’t encountered anyone who can match his cardio into later rounds. Still, Pyfer’s early body of work and finishing skills suggest he may make his mark if he passes his first main event test successfully; using his diverse attacking arsenal early will be critical.

Hermansson vs. Pyfer Betting Numbers

Jack Hermansson
Joe Pyfer
Last FightLossWin
Weight (lbs)185185
Reach (in)76″75″
Win by KO/TKO48%67%
Win by Submission26%25%
Strikes landed per minute5.24N/A
Striking accuracy48%N/A
Striking absorbed per minute2.37N/A
Striking defense57%N/A
Takedown average2.19N/A
Takedown accuracy40%N/A
Takedown defense 77%N/A
Submission average0.8N/A

Hermansson vs. Pyfer Betting Picks

This matchup contains conflicting styles that make picking a winner difficult. Pyfer has showcased impressive skills for his experience level, but Hermansson’s veteran craftiness can never be discounted. Ultimately, Hermansson’s tested ability to implement a strong gameplan gives him an edge in terms of adjustments. The striking numbers are a relative wash here, leaving grappling as the likely differentiator. Pyfer has excellent wrestling stats, but Hermansson has faced and defeated many capable grapplers during his UFC tenure thanks to slick jiu-jitsu and sweeps from his back. The recency of Pyfer’s last fight could also leave him drained against a fresh Hermansson.

For these reasons, Hermansson seems like the safest selection despite being the underdog at +220 odds. Meanwhile, Pyfer’s moneyline sits at -175 which offers little value given his inexperience against competition at this level. Even if Pyfer secures takedowns or an early knockdown, Hermansson possesses the skills to shift momentum and take over late by exploiting the younger fighter’s conditioning.

In the end, Hermansson’s technical prowess, veteran poise, and proven fight IQ give him an excellent chance to upset the hyped prospect Pyfer. There are safer bets available this Saturday night at premier online betting sites, but “The Joker” brings betting value given his live underdog odds. While Pyfer certainly has potential for growth, picking Hermansson by late submission or decision is the savvy choice for this intriguing UFC FIGHT NIGHT 236 main card showdown.