Texas State Bobcats vs. Rice Owls 12/26/23 – At the center of college football bowl season lies an intriguing matchup: Texas State Bobcats with their 7-5 record will face off against Rice Owls who have held steady this year at 6-6. Fans and bettors alike have high anticipation for this matchup and are closely analyzing every aspect, making this game one of many worthy candidates for NCAAF bowl picks today.
Texas State Bobcats vs. Rice Owls 12/26/23
|Tuesday, December 26, 2023 at 5:30 PM ET
|Gerald J. Ford Stadium
— Texas State Football (@TXSTATEFOOTBALL) December 3, 2023
TJ Finley QB vs. JT Daniels QB
TJ Finley has put together a productive 2023 campaign, 3,287 yards passing and accounting for 24 touchdowns through the air. He possesses prototypical size and brings physical tools to the table. Finley flashes the ability to make tight window throws downfield and attack outside the numbers. His passing charts indicate he is comfortable working all areas of the field. However, ball security has been an issue for the Texas State signal caller – as evidenced by 8 interceptions and a few unfortunate fumbles. Finley can get careless with his mechanics at times, leading to errant throws. He also hasn’t faced heavy blitz packages which could disrupt his timing.
On the other side, JT Daniels has found a second life at Rice after previous stints at high-profile programs. The former 5-star recruit has regained some of the promise he showed early in his USC career. Daniels brings accuracy and good anticipation skills, allowing him to maximize Rice’s quick-hitting passing game concepts. At his best, he displays the ability to manipulate defenders with his eyes and make good decisions distributing to his playmakers. While Daniels doesn’t have elite arm strength, he throws an very catchable ball. He will need to continue using his mobility to extend plays and avoid the fierce Texas State pass rush in this match-up. Daniels’ protection up front has been shaky at times this year.
Bobcats’ Offensive Prowess: Featuring Ismail Mahdi and Joey Hobert
Texas State’s offensive lineup is strengthened by running back Ismail Mahdi and wide receiver Joey Hobert. Mahdi averaged an impressive 6.1 yards per rush in his 199 attempts that resulted in 1209 yards and 10 touchdowns on 199 attempts, while Hobert contributed 71 receptions totaling 847 yards with an average 11.9 reception average. With 8 touchdowns receiving, both players proved integral players on Texas State’s offense.
Owls’ Key Players: Dean Connors and Luke McCaffrey
Rice’s offense features two standout stars in running back Dean Connors and wide receiver Luke McCaffrey. Connors averages 6.7 yards per rush attempt and scored five touchdowns from 106 attempts for 707 yards; McCaffrey was instrumental in creating Rice’s receiving corps, amassing 963 receiving yards through 68 receptions at an average 14.2 yard reception rate; his 12 receiving touchdowns illustrate his playmaking ability.
NCAAF Betting Odds: Texas State Bobcats -220, Over/Under: 59
The current betting odds favor the Texas State Bobcats, with a moneyline of -220 and an over/under set at 59. These odds reflect the confidence in the Bobcats’ strong season performance and their ability to control the game.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Trends
Texas State are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State’s last 5 games against an opponent in the Conference USA conference.
Texas State are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing as the favourite.
Rice Owls Betting Trends
Rice are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rice’s last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice’s last 5 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
Rice are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in December.
Rice are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing as the underdog.
Texas State Bobcats vs. Rice Owls Betting Picks
Considering the statistics and betting trends, the Texas State Bobcats seem to have a slight edge, primarily due to their robust offense led by TJ Finley. However, Rice Owls’ consistent performance as underdogs and their ability to upset the odds cannot be overlooked. The key to this game will be the performance of both quarterbacks under pressure and the ability of the defenses to contain the opposing offenses.
For those interested in top online casino betting, the Bobcats might be a safer pick given their stronger overall performance and the trends favoring them when playing as favorites. The over/under bet is a tricky one, but considering both teams’ offensive capabilities, betting on the over might be a worthwhile risk.
Score Prediction: Texas State 33, Rice 27