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Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans 12/31/23 NFL Week 17 Betting Picks

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans 12/31/23 – In Week 17 of the NFL, the Tennessee Titans, with a disappointing 5-10 record, are set to take on the Houston Texans, who are holding a more respectable 8-7 record. This match, taking place on Sunday, at NRG Stadium, sets the stage for an intriguing contest. As both teams prepare for this critical showdown, fans are keenly searching for the best NFL free picks today to gauge the potential outcomes.

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans 12/31/23

When:Sunday, December 31, 2023, at 1:00 PM ET
Where:NRG Stadium
TV:FOX
Stream:NFL Game Pass
Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans 12/31/23
TeamSP/RLTOTALML
Titans
+4 -112
o44 -110
+175
Texans
-4 -108
u44 -110
-205
Bet Now on this Game

Ryan Tannehill QB vs. Case Keenum QB

Veteran Ryan Tannehill has struggled mightily for the Titans this season. With only 7 passing touchdowns compared to 6 interceptions, Tannehill’s 73.6 passer rating ranks among the worst in the league for full-time starters. The former Pro Bowler’s regression has been stark – after averaging 9 yards per attempt, Tannehill has managed just a paltry 7 yards per throw in 2023. His chemistry with receivers seems off and decision-making has been questionable all year long. Tannehill’s decline in production has sunk Tennessee’s once formidable offense. He must protect the football better against a opportunistic Texans defense for the Titans to have a chance.

Meanwhile, journeyman Case Keenum has stepped in admirably for the injured Davis Mills. While Keenum lacks elite physical tools, he’s an accurate short-range passer capable of efficiently leading Houston’s offense. By avoiding risky throws, Keenum has completed 64.2% of passes as a Texan so far. However, his 3 interceptions in just 2 starts proves he can be turnover-prone at times. Although not spectacular, Keenum brings a veteran presence under center that has stabilized the Texans offense in Mills’ absence. His conservative approach may be just what Houston needs to squeak into the playoffs

Titans’ Offensive Woes

Derrick Henry has been the Titans’ standout running back, amassing 972 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns this season. His ability to break through defenses is essential to Tennessee’s offense. Meanwhile, DeAndre Hopkins has caught 61 passes for 939 yards at an average of 15.4 yards per catch as an effective primary target.

Texans’ Emerging Weapons

On the Texans side of things, Devin Singletary has amassed 755 rushing yards at an average of 4.3 yards per carry and shown his effectiveness in moving the chains. Nico Collins has also made significant plays, collecting 64 receptions for 1022 yards to make significant plays downfield.

NFL Betting Odds: Houston Texans -220, Over/Under: 42.5

The Texans are favored with a -220 moneyline and a spread of -5.5 at -105. The over/under is set at 42.5, indicating expectations for a moderately scoring game.

Trends

Tennessee Titans Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Tennessee’s last 19 games.
Tennessee are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games.
Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Houston.
Tennessee are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston.
Tennessee are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

Houston Texans Betting Trends

Houston are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston’s last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games against Tennessee.
Houston are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston’s last 10 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference South division.

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans Betting Picks

Considering the current form and statistics, the Texans appear to be the stronger team. However, the Titans have potential in their offensive weapons, which could make the game closer than the odds suggest.

For those looking at sportsbook online options, considering prop bets on rushing yards for Derrick Henry or receiving yards for Nico Collins could be intriguing. The over/under is a tight call, but the trend of high-scoring games when these teams meet in Houston leans towards the OVER.

 

Score Prediction: Texans 24, Titans 21