Patriots vs. Broncos 12/24/23 – In a critical Week 16 NFL clash, the New England Patriots travel to Denver Broncos to face them off on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High in a crucial Week 16 matchup that offers insight into both teams on different paths this season. It promises bettors and fans an intriguing view into two teams who may offer new insights for daily football picks this Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High.
Patriots vs. Broncos 12/24/23
|Sunday, December 24, 2023, at 8:15 PM ET
|Empower Field at Mile High
|NFL Game Pass
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) December 21, 2023
Mac Jones QB vs. Russell Wilson QB
Mac Jones has struggled mightily in his second NFL season. The former first-round pick has thrown just 10 touchdown passes compared to 12 interceptions. His passes frequently lack the required zip and accuracy to beat tight coverage. Jones often fails to progress through multiple reads, locking onto primary targets. His pocket presence has also regressed, with the young QB looking skittish under pressure. These issues have contributed to an ugly 77.0 quarterback rating. Jones must avoid careless turnovers and take advantage of quality pass protection to redeem his season. Utilizing running back Rhamondre Stevenson on check downs could move the chains. But ultimately, Jones needs to showcase the precision ball placement and quick processing he displayed.
Russell Wilson has spearheaded Denver’s capable offense with 24 touchdown passes and strong 97.5 rating. The veteran deploys pinpoint accuracy on medium and deep shots. His mobility outside the pocket also remains an asset, allowing him to evade the rush and keep plays alive. Wilson is undoubtedly the far steadier quarterback entering this matchup. But he will need to continue balancing opportunistic downfield passes with conservative check downs. Remaining patient against New England’s formidable pass rush and secondary is key.
Patriots’ Offensive Struggle: A Closer Look
The Patriots’ offense hasn’t been as exciting this season. Rhamondre Stevenson has provided solid performance with 619 rushing yards and four touchdowns; however, its lack of explosiveness has held back their offense. Demario Douglas has seen 443 receiving yards but still hasn’t found the end zone; showing their problems in passing game play.
Broncos’ Balanced Offensive Approach
Denver has taken an approachable and balanced approach offensively. Javonte Williams led them with 677 rushing yards while Courtland Sutton has been reliable on offense with 769 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns for Denver’s offense, keeping their opponents competitive enough.
NFL Betting Odds: Denver Broncos -275, Over/Under: 34
The Broncos are the clear favorites in this matchup, as reflected in the Moneyline of -275 and a spread of -6.5. The over/under set at 34 points indicates expectations of a lower-scoring game, likely due to the Patriots’ offensive struggles and both teams’ solid defensive play.
New England Patriots Betting Trends
New England are 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New England’s last 13 games.
New England are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
The New England Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
New England are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Denver.
New England are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
Denver Broncos Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver’s last 9 games.
Denver are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
Broncos are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Denver are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against New England.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
Denver are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos Betting Picks
Considering the current form and trends, the Broncos seem to be the safer bet, especially given their home-field advantage and more consistent performance. However, the Patriots could cover the spread, given their tendency for close games and the Broncos’ often conservative offense.
In terms of prop bets and over/under, the game is likely to be a low-scoring affair, making the under an attractive option. For those engaging with the best online casino, this matchup offers a chance to explore various betting angles, from moneyline to individual player performances.
Score Prediction: Broncos 20, Patriots 13