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Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers 9/10/23 NFL Week 1 Picks, Tips and Game Analysis

Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers 9/10/23 – This Sunday promises an intriguing slate of games. But none will top the anticipation generated when the Miami Dolphins face off against Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium at 4:25 PM ET for free football picks on CBS broadcast and NFL Game Pass live streaming coverage. This match-up has garnered significant attention for several reasons: Miami’s mixed success this season but promise in some vital regions stands out while Los Angeles Chargers struggled through an uneven start but have shown improvements after several losses have solidified them as contenders.

Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers 9/10/23

When:Sunday, September 10, 2023 1:00 PM ET
Where:SoFi Stadium
Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers 9/10/23
Dolphins+3 (-110)50.5 o (-117)+141
Chargers-3 (-110)50.5 u (-103)-161
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Skylar Thompson

Skylar Thompson of Miami and Easton Stick of Los Angeles make an intriguing matchup this Sunday. Thompson has had three starts this season and already posted numbers that excite and concern Dolphins fans; his 64.5 completion rate gives them hope, while 396 yards thrown for 396 total and averaged 132.8 per game shows field readiness and ability to move the chains. Additionally, he managed three touchdown passes, proving he can be effective when his pocket holds, and his reads are accurate.

But Thompson’s four interceptions paint an alarming picture of an uncertain quarterback still finding their groove, especially considering he has been sacked five times for 45-yard losses and currently sits with a passer rating of 71.7 – something which must surely improve in the Miami Dolphins context. Their run game hasn’t provided enough relief from quarterback pressure, so Thompson must deliver to ensure any balanced attack from Miami.

Easton Stick

Let’s shift gears now and focus on Easton Stick of the Los Angeles Chargers. Stick’s 57.7% completion rate in two games has not caused opposing defenses much alarm; he has amassed 271 yards – an average of 135.5 per game – which indicates his offense has yet to run through him effectively. Even more worryingly, Stick has yet to throw a touchdown pass this season while being intercepted twice and sacked seven times for losses totalling 59 yards for an overall passer rating of 55.8.

Stick’s low statistics may also be due to his offensive line’s poor play and the absence of a potency running game, creating high-pressure situations and leading to errors on his part. Both quarterbacks face intense pressure to perform and deliver results in Sunday’s matchup – thus making their respective matchups all the more important for winning games. Skylar Thompson has an edge regarding completion percentage and touchdown-to-interception ratio, though both quarterbacks are young players learning the ropes of NFL life. Unfortunately, their offenses have not stabilized, leading them toward dismal early-season stats.

NFL Odds: Miami Dolphins +3 ; O/U 50.5

For those interested in the betting lines, the Dolphins are at +3 with odds of -110 and an over/under of 50.5 at -117. The Money Line stands at +141. The Chargers are favored with a spread of -3 at -110; their over/under is 50.5 but at -103 for the under. Their Money Line is at -161.

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

Miami are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
Dolphins are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
Miami are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games against LA Chargers.
Miami are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against LA Chargers.
Dolphins are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami’s last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers.

Los Angeles Chargers Betting Trends

LA Chargers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
Chargers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of LA Chargers’ last 18 games against Miami.
LA Chargers are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the LA Chargers’ last 10 games when playing at home against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers’ last 6 games against an American Football Conference conference opponent.

Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Picks

Several insights emerge when considering the top NFL sportsbook, team stats, and quarterback performance. Both teams have vital ATS records but have shown inconsistencies in their SU performances. Given that both quarterbacks have struggled to put points on the board, the UNDER on the 50.5 total at -103 seems a safe bet. Miami’s relatively superior ATS and SU records against the Chargers and their slightly more consistent quarterback play make them a good pick at +3 with odds of -110. The Money Line of +141 also looks enticing.

Score Prediction: Dolphins 21, Chargers 17