Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs 1/13/24 – As the NFL Wild Card weekend unfolds, a standout matchup graces the field with the Miami Dolphins clashing against the Kansas City Chiefs on Saturday. Both teams enter the fray with identical 11-6 records, setting the stage for an intense battle. This game, a highlight in the NFL Wild Card betting predictions today, promises to be a showcase of strategic gameplay and raw talent. The Dolphins, known for their resilience, face the Chiefs, a team with a formidable reputation at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs 1/13/24
| When: | Saturday, January 13, 2024, at 8:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium |
| TV: | PEAC |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | +4.5 -113 | o43.5 -110 | +190 |  |
| Chiefs | -4.5 -107 | u43.5 -110 | -220 | |
| ||||
First Dolphin to lead the league in passing yards since Uncle Dan in 1992 👏 pic.twitter.com/MQoU2uySYi
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) January 9, 2024
Tua Tagovailoa QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB
Tua Tagovailoa, quarterback for the Miami Dolphins, has shown remarkable consistency this season. Playing 17 games, Tagovailoa boasts a 69.3% completion rate with 4624 passing yards, an average of 272 per game over his 17 appearances. His ability to read defenses quickly and make quick decisions led him to 29 touchdowns; however, 14 interceptions and 29 sacks indicate areas for improvement – particularly during high-pressure situations like playoff games.
Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs brings his A-game to these playoffs. Through 16 games, Mahomes boasts a 67.2% completion rate with 4,183 yards thrown. His ability to extend plays outside of the pocket and see downfield has resulted in 27 touchdowns; meanwhile 14 interceptions suggest his vulnerability that could be exploited by Miami Dolphins; Mahomes’ experience playing high stakes games may prove decisive in these match-ups.
Miami’s Ground and Air Attack
Miami’s offense is more than the sum of its parts; Raheem Mostert, their dynamic running back, has had an incredible season with 1012 rushing yards from 209 attempts and 18 touchdowns to his name. On the defensive side of things Tyreek Hill has been stellar; recording 1799 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns as part of Miami’s offensive strategy.
Chiefs’ Offensive Weapons
Kansas City also possesses its own arsenal of offensive weapons. Kansas City running back Isiah Pacheco may not have Mostert’s explosiveness but his consistency is crucial in maintaining an effective offense. Chiefs receiver Justin Watson may not match Hill’s explosiveness but they still excel with over 460 receiving yards and three touchdowns to their credit – an ability which could swing games their way.
NFL Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -195, Over/Under: 44
The betting odds lean towards the Chiefs, with a Moneyline of -195 and a spread of -3.5. The total over/under is set at 44, a testament to the expected tightness of the contest. Bettors might find value in the Dolphins’ underdog status, given their ATS record and the Chiefs’ recent UNDER trend.
Trends
Miami Dolphins Betting Trends
Miami are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games.
Dolphins are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Kansas City.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami’s last 16 games on the road.
Miami are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
Miami are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games played in January.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games.
Kansas City are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 5 games at home.
Kansas City are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Miami.
Chiefs are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
Kansas City are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Picks
Considering the data and trends, this matchup promises to be closely contested. The Dolphins, with their potent offense, have the firepower to challenge the Chiefs. However, Kansas City’s balanced attack and playoff experience give them a slight edge. The best sportsbook online sites would likely favor the Chiefs, but an upset by the Dolphins is not out of the question.
The Dolphins’ ATS record and the Chiefs’ tendency to go UNDER in recent games suggest a close, lower-scoring affair than some might expect. Prop bets on individual player performances, like Tagovailoa’s passing yards or Mostert’s rushing yards, could offer value.
Score Prediction: Chiefs 23, Dolphins 20
