Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder 11/30/23 – The Los Angeles Lakers (10-8) take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-6) on Thursday night in a Western Conference showdown. Coming into this NBA free prediction today, the Thunder have surprised many with their strong start while the Lakers look to build momentum to climb the standings. This game, pivotal for both teams, will be held at the Paycom Center at 8:00 PM ET.
| When: | Thursday, November 30, 8:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Paycom Center |
| TV: | NBA TV |
| Stream: | NBA League Pass |
See y'all tomorrow, Lakers Fam 🫡 pic.twitter.com/xxcyfnhJ33
— Los Angeles Lakers (@Lakers) November 30, 2023
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | +5.5 -114 | o227.5 -111 | +190 |  |
| OKC | -5.5 -109 | u227.5 -111 | -227 | |
| ||||
LeBron James (SF) vs. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PF)
In his 20th NBA season, LeBron James continues to perform at an elite level averaging 25.1 points, 7.5 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game. The 38-year-old remains nearly unstoppable attacking the rim and has improved his three-point shooting to 36%. While still an All-NBA talent, James no longer has the stamina to dominate both ends of the court from start to finish.
Fifth-year standout Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has taken a massive leap this season, emerging as an MVP candidate with averages of 30.5 points, 6 rebounds and 6.1 assists while shooting over 50% from the field. SGA has dominated by living in the paint and getting to the free throw line thanks to his 6’6” frame and crafty handles. While not an elite defender, he has the length to disrupt passing lanes.
This matchup of versatile forwards who can score at all three levels could determine the game. James is capable of willing his team to victory on any given night but at this stage needs more help. SGA’s ability to continue his efficient high-volume scoring could be the difference.
Stagnant Lakers Offense Still Finding Footing
The Lakers continue to struggle offensively, ranking 21st in offensive rating. While they can score in spurts thanks to the brilliance of James and Anthony Davis, the team lacks reliable three-point shooting and consistent secondary playmaking. As James ages, the Lakers will need Davis and others to create easier looks to contend. Encouragingly, Los Angeles ranks 2nd in offensive rebound rate behind tenacious young big man Thomas Bryant.
Surging Thunder Offense Taking Flight
Behind Gilgeous-Alexander’s leap to superstardom, the Thunder rank 7th in the NBA in offensive rating. Oklahoma City moves the ball extremely well, averaging the 4th most assists per game. The team shoots an impressive 49.3% from the field and 40.3% from three as a squad. Importantly, they also lead the league in free throw attempts and have five players averaging over 15 points per game.
NBA Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -227, Over/Under: 227.5
Despite having the better record, the Thunder are 6-point underdogs at home. This line movement shows oddsmakers are still hesitant to make Oklahoma City favorites. However, the Thunder have covered large spreads consistently this season and have a rising star poised to outduel an aging legend.
Trends
Los Angeles Lakers Betting Trends
Lakers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
LA Lakers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Lakers are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Lakers’ last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Lakers’ 9 last games at home
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Trends
Thunder are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
OKC Thunder are 6-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Thunder’ last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Thunder’ 9 last games at home
Injuries
Lakers
Jarred Vanderbilt SF Is out indefinitely, Heel
Rui Hachimura PF Is out indefinitely, Nose
Jaxson Hayes C Left last game, is “?” Thursday vs Oklahoma City, Elbow
Gabe Vincent PG Is out indefinitely, Knee
Thunder
No Injuries to Report.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Picks
The Thunder have been undervalued all season and present solid value as home underdogs tonight. SGA should be able to outproduce LeBron while OKC’s deep supporting cast gives them an overall roster advantage. The trends also favor the Thunder against the spread and the over.
For the best value bet, take the Thunder +6. Other strong plays include taking Oklahoma City on the moneyline, an SGA points total over, or the over 227.5 total at Top Betting Sites tonight. Sign up today to make your NBA betting prediction!
Score Prediction: Thunder 118, Lakers 112.
