Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets 12/3/23 – The Atlanta Falcons take on the New York Jets this Sunday in a Week 13 NFL matchup between two teams struggling to stay in the playoff hunt. With matching 5-6 and 4-7 records, this game will be crucial for building momentum in the second half of the season. When betting this matchup, NFL picks should consider Atlanta’s success against New York in recent years as well as some notable betting trends around both teams.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets 12/3/23
| When: | Sunday, December 3, 1:00 PM |
|---|---|
| Where: | MetLife Stadium |
| TV: | FOX |
| Stream: | NFL+ |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | -2.5 -120 | o34 -110 | -151 |  |
| Jets | +2.5 +100 | u34 -110 | +131 | |
| ||||
Bijan the Destroyer pic.twitter.com/YD2hmPh01u
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) November 29, 2023
Desmond Ridder QB vs. Zach Wilson QB
Desmond Ridder has shown promise in his rookie season, demonstrating composure in the pocket along with flashes of playmaking ability. While he still has plenty of room to grow, his 65.4% completion rate and 7.1 yards per pass are respectable. However, he has struggled with turnovers, throwing 6 interceptions to just 6 touchdowns. Overall, Ridder has kept Atlanta competitive but will need to improve his decision making against a tricky Jets defense.
Meanwhile, Zach Wilson has failed to make much progress in his second year. Despite having dynamic weapons, he has completed just 59.2% of passes for 6.1 yards per attempt. While he can threaten defenses with his legs, Wilson has been careless with the football, tossing 7 picks in just 10 games. If he cannot find more consistency, the Jets offense will remain limited. Wilson clearly has talent, but has yet to put it together.
Falcons Explosive Backfield Presence: Bijan Robinson Takes Center Stage
Bijan Robinson has recently seized the lead role in the backfield thanks to his explosiveness and tackle-breaking ability. He’s averaging 4.9 yards per carry and has numerous big plays under his belt. Given the Jets struggles against running QBs, Robinson’s change-of-pace style could give them fits. While Atlanta lacks high-end weapons, Robinson gives them a dynamic runner who can rip off chunks of yards if the blocking holds up.
Despite inconsistent quarterback play, top draft pick Drake London has shown promise as Atlanta’s top receiving option. He has impressed with his contested catch ability and yards after catch skills. Having earned Desmond Ridder’s trust, London should see plenty of targets against the Jets’ vulnerable secondary. If New York cannot keep him contained, London has the game-breaking talent to swing the outcome in Atlanta’s favor.
The Jets’ Dynamic Offensive Duo
The Jets backfield runs through rookie Breece Hall, who has ignited their ground attack with his vision and burst. Averaging 4.6 yards per carry, Hall has shown reliability to go with big-play upside. He changes the offense’s outlook with his ability to create yards and is their only legitimate weapon besides Garrett Wilson. Coming off a promising 83-yard performance, Hall could be poised for another impact game.
Speaking of Garrett Wilson, he has clearly emerged as New York’s top receiving option thanks to his precise route running and run after catch skills. Currently averaging 63.2 yards per game, Wilson has shown chemistry with Zach Wilson and profiles as a dangerous playmaker. If Atlanta fails to limit his catch-and-run opportunities, Garrett Wilson could easily exploit them through the air. Having accounted for nearly a third of the Jets passing offense, Wilson is the centerpiece of their aerial attack.
NFL Betting Odds: Atlanta Falcons +120, Over/Under: 36.5
Despite holding a 4-1 advantage over New York in their last 5 matchups, the Falcons enter as slim underdogs at +120 odds. The Jets are favored at home at -140 on the moneyline. With both teams struggling to score points this season, the total is set at just 36.5 points. However, Atlanta’s success moving the football against New York in recent years makes taking them on the moneyline intriguing.
Trends
Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends
Atlanta are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta’s last 17 games.
Atlanta are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.
Atlanta are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against NY Jets.
Falcons are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games on the road.
Atlanta are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets.
New York Jets Betting Trends
NY Jets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets’ last 6 games.
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets’ last 5 games against Atlanta.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Jets’ last 8 games at home.
NY Jets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets Betting Picks
Relying on their strong recent track record in this matchup, the Falcons offer value as road underdogs to keep things close. Their rising ground game matches up well against a Jets defense ranked just 25th in rushing yards allowed. Between Bijan Robinson’s explosiveness and Desmond Ridder’s mobility, Atlanta has the scoring potential to surpass expectations.
On the other side, New York remains difficult to trust due to their offensive inconsistencies. While Zach Wilson offers tantalizing talent, he has yet to demonstrate the decision making to take advantage. Meanwhile, Garrett Wilson can only do so much to elevate this passing attack by himself.
Given Atlanta’s matchup advantages, the Falcons are the recommended play for Sunday. Bettors looking for the best odds should consider placing this wager at a top online sportsbook.
Score Prediction: Falcons 24, Jets 20
