Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders 12/3/23 – In Week 13 NFL action, the Miami Dolphins face the Washington Commanders. This game on Sunday marks a pivotal game for both sides; as Dolphins attempt to secure playoff positioning while Commanders seek redemption – making for an engaging contrast in team dynamics and individual performances. NFL latest picks and analysis also highlight this contest!
Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders 12/3/23
| When: | Sunday, December 3, 1:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | FedEx Field |
| TV: | FOX |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | -9.5 -110 | o50 -110 | -435 |  |
| Commanders | +9.5 -110 | u50 -110 | +355 | |
| ||||
On deck this December 📆 #WallpaperWednesday pic.twitter.com/jVZWLJngPG
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) November 29, 2023
Tua Tagovailoa QB vs. Sam Howell QB
Tua Tagovailoa has taken his game to a whole new level in his third season, on track for career highs in passing yards (3,177) and touchdowns (22). His accuracy has improved drastically – completing 69.8% of throws so far! – while also showing improved push downfield. However, injuries have plagued his career thus far and costly turnovers should be avoided at all costs.
Sam Howell took over as the starter in Week 7 and has delivered mixed results so far. He has tossed 18 touchdowns compared to 13 interceptions and averages just 6.9 yards per attempt. While he has flashed arm talent and mobility, consistency has been an issue for the rookie. This difficult matchup against an explosive Miami defense could expose his inexperience.
Dolphins’ Offensive Powerhouse: A Dual Threat on the Ground and in the Air
Led by the speedy receiver duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, the Dolphins boast one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. Hill already has 1,324 receiving yards and is on pace to shatter the single-season record, while Waddle is not far behind with 963 yards of his own. The two have combined for 17 touchdowns. Miami also has a strong run game behind Raheem Mostert, who is averaging 5.2 yards per carry. This unit should have little trouble moving the ball against Washington’s 27th-ranked scoring defense.
Commanders’ Offense: Finding a Foothold in a Challenging Season
Scoring points has been a major issue all season long for Washington, who ranks just 29th in points per game (17.8). Terry McLaurin is the lone bright spot, albeit an inconsistent one, in an otherwise lackluster passing attack. The run game has been marginally better with Brian Robinson Jr. taking over lead back duties, but still ranks in the bottom third of the league. Moving the chains and reaching the end zone could prove extremely difficult against Miami’s 10th-ranked scoring defense allowing just 20.5 points per contest.
NFL Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins -280, Over/Under: 48.5
The Dolphins are nearly three-touchdown favorites on the road, with the total set at 48.5 points. The high total indicates oddsmakers are expecting a shootout between two skilled offenses on one side and porous defenses on the other.
Trends
Miami Dolphins Betting Trends
Miami are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
Dolphins are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
Miami are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games on the road.
Miami are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami’s last 17 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference East division.
Miami are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played in December.
Washington Commanders Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games.
Washington are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington’s last 7 games against Miami.
Washington are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington’s last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
Washington are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders Betting Picks
Considering the analysis and betting trends, the Dolphins emerge as the clear favorites. Their explosive offense, led by Tagovailoa and Hill, should overpower the Commanders’ defense. Washington’s struggles, particularly at home, further tilt the odds in Miami’s favor.
When it comes to prop bets and over/under, the Dolphins’ tendency to score high combined with the Commanders’ struggling defense suggests that betting on the over might be wise. However, given Miami’s less convincing road record, cautious bettors might consider the spread cautiously. For those engaging with the best betting website online, these insights could guide more informed betting choices.
Score Prediction: Dolphins 34, Commanders 20
