Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers 1/28/24 – As we approach the high-stakes showdown of the NFL NFC Championship, the Detroit Lions and San Francisco 49ers are poised to deliver an electrifying clash on Sunday. Both teams, boasting impressive 12-5 records, are set to battle for supremacy and a coveted spot in the Super Bowl. Fans and bettors alike are eagerly searching for the best NFC Championship betting picks today, and this matchup at Levi’s Stadium promises to be a highlight of the NFL season.
Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers 1/28/24
| When: | Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 6:30 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Levi’s Stadium |
| TV: | FOX |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +7 +102 | o51.5 -112 | +290 |  |
| 49ers | -7 -122 | u51.5 -108 | -360 | |
| ||||
Bringing 🧊 to the Bay pic.twitter.com/JcemerwM64
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) January 26, 2024
Jared Goff QB vs. Brock Purdy QB
Jared Goff heads into the NFC Championship game playing efficient, turnover-free football. Over the last two playoff contests, Goff has completed 52 of 70 attempts (74.3% completion percentage) for 564 yards, 8.1 yards per attempt, and 3 touchdowns without a pick. He posted a sterling 111.8 passer rating in Detroit’s win over the Giants, shredding New York’s secondary for 282 yards and 2 scores. Goff’s accuracy and decision-making have been superb during the Lions’ current 5-1 run. He has developed Chemistry with top target Amon-Ra St. Brown, hitting him for 15 catches and 187 yards in two games.
Brock Purdy has filled in admirably since taking over for an injured Jimmy Garoppolo. While he hasn’t lit up the stat sheet, the rookie quarterback has led the 49ers to victory while minimizing errors. Against a tough Cowboys defense last round, Purdy completed 23 of 39 throws for 252 yards, 1 touchdown, no interceptions, and a respectable 86.7 rating. He wisely leans on the Niners’ punishing ground game and All-Pro back Christian McCaffrey, rather than forcing too much. Purdy has also shown rapport with slot receiver Jauan Jennings, targeting him 6 times for 61 yards versus Dallas.
Detroit’s Dynamic Offense: Rushing and Receiving Threats
Detroit’s offense isn’t limited to its aerial attack. Running back David Montgomery has been a consistent force on the ground, averaging 3.8 yards per carry with one touchdown over his last two games and contributing first downs as part of an offensive strategy that leverages every opportunity presented. Amon-Ra St. Brown, the Lions’ top receiver, has been nothing short of exceptional this season, amassing 187 yards and one touchdown on just 14 catches at 12.5 yards per reception – making him a major threat against 49er’s secondary defense.
49ers’ Ground and Air Assault
Christian McCaffrey has proven to be a key weapon on San Francisco’s offense, averaging 5.8 yards per carry while amassing 98 total yards and scoring twice during one game alone. His ability to break long runs has proven pivotal. Jauan Jennings has also shown improvement, averaging 12.2 yards per reception. While not as explosive as Detroit’s St. Brown, Jennings’ consistent play and ability to convert first downs will prove crucial against Detroit’s defense.
NFL Betting Odds: San Francisco 49ers -350, Over/Under: 51.5
The betting odds reflect the tight nature of this contest, with San Francisco favored at -350 on the moneyline and an over/under of 51.5. These odds suggest a high-scoring game, with the 49ers expected to leverage their home-field advantage.
Trends
Detroit Lions Betting Trends
Detroit are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit’s last 11 games.
Detroit are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Detroit are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games against San Francisco.
Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
Detroit are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.
San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends
San Francisco are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
49ers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.
San Francisco are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
49ers are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit.
San Francisco are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference North division.
Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Picks
Considering the strengths and weaknesses of both teams, this NFC Championship game is shaping up to be a closely contested affair. Detroit’s powerful offense led by Goff and St. Brown will challenge San Francisco’s defense, but the 49ers’ home advantage and consistent performance against Detroit cannot be overlooked.
For bettors looking for value, Detroit’s recent ATS success makes them an attractive pick, especially with the +7 spread. However, San Francisco’s overall strength and home-field dominance make them the safer bet for the moneyline. The over/under at 51.5 is tricky, but given both teams’ offensive capabilities, leaning towards the OVER could be a viable option.
For those betting at top online sportsbooks, exploring prop bets around individual player performances, especially for quarterbacks and key receivers, could offer additional value.
Score Prediction: S49ers 30, Lions 27
