Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs 9/7/23 – Football fans and bettors eagerly await an epic season opener between the Detroit Lions and Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday, September 7 2023, at 8:20 PM ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Betting lines and player statistics present an alluring opportunity for wagering success – so much so that even bettors looking for NFL-winning picks are intrigued.
Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs 9/7/23
|Thursday, September 7, 2023 8:20 PM ET
|GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
|54.5 o (-105)
|54.5 u (-115)
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) September 4, 2023
Nate Sudfeld has had a poor start to the Lions’ season as their signal-caller, completing only 51% of his passes over three games with a 50.4 quarterback rating. Sudfeld has shown inconsistencies that may concern Detroit fans and any gambler hoping for an upset win from these Lions. These numbers don’t just tell a simple tale; they tell of missed opportunities, failed third-down conversion attempts and an inability to keep the chains moving forward. This negatively impacts all team members by placing more strain on its defense while lessening the effectiveness of the running gameplay. Sudfeld’s subpar stats point to an issue that might not be solved quickly: his inability to make big plays and keep defenses honest. Teams can load up the box without a credible passing threat, nullifying his running game further and making it even harder for Sudfeld to locate open receivers.
Blaine Gabbert has experienced an extraordinary renaissance as a Kansas City quarterback. Posting a passer rating of 123.5 and a completion rate of 61.87% over his first three games, Gabbert has shown that he can efficiently guide their high-octane offense. Beyond his numbers lies another crucial aspect of Gabbert’s game: his poise and decision-making under pressure. Kansas City’s offensive system relies heavily on timing and quick decisions; Gabbert has demonstrated his proficiency at operating within this complex environment. His impressive stats are not solely attributable to his physical abilities; they also reflect his mental acumen in understanding the game, reading defenses, and making quick and intelligent decisions. His contributions have made him an essential component of the Chiefs’ early season success and a focal point of their goals moving forward.
Comparing their recent performances, it is evident that Blaine Gabbert holds an edge. His recent results have been far more reliable and impactful than Sudfeld’s, which could play an instrumental role in deciding the outcome of this matchup. Gabbert’s ability to move the ball effectively while avoiding turnovers gives Kansas City an edge in passing play.
Given Sudfeld’s recent struggles and Gabbert’s strong form, the quarterback matchup seems stacked in favor of the Kansas City Chiefs. Nate Sudfeld must surpass his recent struggles and produce an exceptional performance that defies his current stats to have any chance at upstaging them. Otherwise, this game appears headed in Kansas City’s direction. As it stands now, quarterback comparison hints toward an increased confidence for Kansas City ahead of kickoff.
NFL Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 ; O/U 54.5
Given the Chiefs’ home-field advantage and recent form, they’ll likely cover the spread. Given Kansas City’s 4 out of 6 ‘Under’ and Detroit’s inconsistency on offense, this is the safer bet. Kansas City Chiefs -280
The Chiefs’ strong form, particularly at home, makes them the safer money-line pick.
Detroit Lions Betting Trends
Detroit are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
Lions are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Detroit are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against Kansas City.
Detroit are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against Kansas City.
Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
Detroit are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
Kansas City are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games.
Kansas City are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City’s last 8 games against Detroit.
Kansas City are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games at home.
Kansas City are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit.
Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Picks
Due to betting trends, recent player performances, and the notable quarterback matchup in this matchup, our pick for this game leans strongly toward the Kansas City Chiefs. First and foremost, the Chiefs appear likely to cover the -6.5 spread, given their recent dominance at home and the stark differences in quarterback play between both starting quarterbacks. Consider Kansas City’s recent tendencies towards the under and Detroit’s offensive inconsistencies when choosing total points, then opting for under 54.5. Finally, Kansas City’s superior form and home-field advantage make them the more prudent money line bet at -280. Based on these elements, my prediction for this game would be Kansas City Chiefs 31, Detroit Lions 17. Kansas City looks poised for victory – making them a fantastic pick in early-season NFL betting.