Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans 12/3/23 – The middling Indianapolis Colts (5-5) take on the struggling Tennessee Titans (3-7) in a crucial AFC South matchup. Both teams enter with fading playoff hopes and cannot afford another loss. Expect a hard-fought and competitive affair between these rivals who know each other extremely well. The best online betting site odds have Tennessee as slim 1.5-point home favorites at Nissan Stadium.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans 12/3/23
| When: | Sunday, December 3, 1:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Nissan Stadium |
| TV: | CBS |
| Stream: | NFL+ |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | -1 -107 | o43 -110 | -118 |  |
| Titans | +1 -113 | u43 -110 | -102 | |
| ||||
Set the tone for the stretch run.
Week 12 recap: https://t.co/bCIWAQ7L6f pic.twitter.com/uiTwyQdMOd
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) November 29, 2023
Gardner Minshew QB vs. Ryan Tannehill QB
Minshew has put up decent numbers since taking over the starting role, averaging 172 passing yards per game with 8 touchdowns and 6 picks. However, he has struggled with accuracy at times and faces a Titans defense that can generate pressure. Minshew will need to make quick decisions and avoid drive-killing mistakes.
Meanwhile, Tannehill has had an incredibly disappointing year after being seen as a borderline MVP candidate last season. He’s passing for just 188 yards per game with a dismal 2:6 TD/INT ratio. Tannehill must improve his decision making against a vulnerable Colts secondary that he’s had big games against in the past.
Colts Horsepower in the Backfield – Moss Providing Late-Round Spark
The Colts’ ground attack has been solid this season, thanks in large part to the emergence of rookie Zack Moss. He’s posted 617 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns while averaging 4.6 yards per carry. Moss has shown the vision and physicality needed to grind out tough yards. He could fare well against a Titans defense allowing over 130 rushing yards per contest.
Burgeoning wideout Michael Pittman Jr. has become Minshew’s favorite weapon, piling up 677 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. With his large catch radius and tackle-breaking strength, Pittman excels at winning contested balls. He should exploit a leaky Titans secondary that ranks bottom-five in opponent passer rating.
Titans King Henry Seeks Return to Big Game Dominance
Derrick Henry remains the Titans’ undisputed rushing king despite an uncharacteristically slow start. He still ranks top-10 with 663 yards and 4 rushing scores while churning out tough yards between the tackles. Henry ruptured the Colts’ defense for 175+ total yards and 3 touchdowns across two 2021 meetings. Expect the Titans to feed him early and often as the centerpiece.
All-Pro wideout DeAndre Hopkins can still flip the field at any moment, as evidenced by his 15.5 yards per catch and 4 touchdowns. He should feast on an injury-ravaged Colts defensive back unit conceding the second-highest passer rating league-wide. Hopkins had 10+ targets in three straight games and makes for a premier DFS stack with Tannehill.
NFL Betting Odds: Tennessee Titans -119, Over/Under: 41.5
Despite their unsightly records, the oddsmakers have this one as a pick’em with the Titans just 1.5-point favorites at home. The total is set at a low 41.5, indicating the oddsmakers expect a grind-it-out, defense-first struggle. The Titans present some value given their overall talent edge, especially if Henry explodes as he so often does against Indy.
Trends
Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends
Indianapolis are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Indianapolis’ last 17 games.
Indianapolis are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games.
Indianapolis are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Tennessee.
Colts are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Tennessee.
Indianapolis are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
Tennessee Titans Betting Trends
Tennessee are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tennessee’s last 15 games.
Tennessee are 4-14 SU in their last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games against Indianapolis.
Tennessee are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
Tennessee are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Indianapolis.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Picks
This AFC South rivalry has been extremely lopsided in Tennessee’s favor of late, with Indy losing six of their past seven overall to the Titans. However, the Colts have kept games tight for the most part, which bodes well against the spread. The best football picks today lean Colts given the generous +1.5 spread value along with their 4-1 ATS mark over the last five.
Score Prediction: Colts 24, Titans 21
