Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers 12/3/23 – As the NFL moves into its 13th week, a fascinating matchup is set between the Kansas City Chiefs, holding a strong 7-3 record, and the Green Bay Packers, who are trying to find their footing at 5-6. Scheduled for Sunday, December 3, 2023, at the iconic Lambeau Field, this game has caught the attention of numerous sports betting websites, with both teams eager to assert their prowess in a game that could have significant playoff implications.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers 12/3/23
| When: | Sunday, December 3, 8:20 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Lambeau Field |
| TV: | NBC |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -6 -105 | o42 -113 | -255 |  |
| Packers | +6 -115 | u42 -107 | +215 | |
| ||||
.@PatrickMahomes completed 27-of-34 passes for 298 yards and 2 touchdowns in our comeback dub 📝
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) November 29, 2023
Patrick Mahomes QB vs Jordan Love QB
Mahomes is having another MVP-caliber season for the Chiefs, passing for over 2600 yards with 19 TDs and 9 INTs through 10 games. His 261.9 passing yards per game ranks 5th in the NFL and he continues to show his playmaking brilliance and precision passing on a weekly basis. There are few quarterbacks more dangerous in high-pressure situations.
Meanwhile, Love has filled in admirably for the injured Aaron Rodgers this season. In 11 games, he’s racked up 2599 passing yards with 19 TDs and 10 INTs. While he doesn’t have Rodgers’ experience or accuracy, the 23-year-old Love has flashed real potential in this expanded role. He will need to limit turnovers against the Chiefs’ ball-hawking secondary.
Chiefs’ Ground and Air Attack: Dynamic and Diverse
Led by rookie Isiah Pacheco, the Chiefs have discovered more balance in their rushing attack as the season has gone on. Pacheco is averaging a respectable 4.3 yards per carry through 10 games with 3 rushing TDs. The Chiefs will look to gash the Packers’ 19th ranked run defense early on to set up play action shots downfield. In the passing game, Mahomes spreads the ball around to a variety of targets in Andy Reid’s creative system. Rookie receiver Rashee Rice leads the team with 36 catches for 420 yards and 4 TDs. However, veterans JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdez-Scantling and Travis Kelce also see plenty of looks. The Chiefs have too many weapons for most secondaries to contain.
Packers’ Offensive Efforts: Seeking Consistency
Green Bay has struggled to run the ball consistently this year. AJ Dillon is averaging just 3.4 yards per carry as the lead back. The Packers will need more from Dillon and the ground game to take pressure off Love versus Kansas City. In the receiving corps, young wideout Jayden Reed has emerged as Love’s favorite target. Reed is averaging an impressive 13.8 yards per catch on his way to 497 receiving yards and 5 TDs. Veterans Randall Cobb, Allen Lazard and tight end Robert Tonyan have also been solid options in the passing game. But this group doesn’t have a true WR1 who scares defenses.
NFL Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -310, Over/Under: 42.5
The Chiefs are 7.5-point favorites on most sportsbooks. Their moneyline sits at -310, while the Packers are priced at +250 underdogs at home. The over/under total is set at 42.5 points. Given both offenses’ firepower and vulnerabilities on defense, the over looks appealing on Sunday night.
Trends
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
Kansas City are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games.
Kansas City are 16-3 SU in their last 19 games.
Kansas City are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Green Bay.
Chiefs are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against Green Bay.
Kansas City are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
Green Bay Packers Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay’s last 8 games against Kansas City.
Total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
Green Bay are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
Green Bay are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games played in December.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Picks
The Chiefs, led by Mahomes, appear to have the upper hand in this matchup, especially given their strong SU record on the road. Their dynamic offense should be able to overcome the Packers’ defense. However, the Packers’ strong SU record in December games suggests they could be more competitive than the spread indicates.
For those seeking free NFL picks tonight, considering the Chiefs to win but the Packers to cover the spread could be a wise choice. The total going over 42.5 also seems plausible, given the offensive capabilities of both teams.
Score Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 28, Green Bay Packers 23
