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Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots 12/3/23 NFL Week 13 Odds, Picks and Forecast

Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots 12/3/23 – As the NFL rolls into Week 13, the Los Angeles Chargers face off against the New England Patriots in a compelling matchup that offers intriguing football betting predictions. The Chargers, standing at 4-6, look to capitalize on their moderate season performance, while the Patriots, with a struggling 2-9 record, aim for redemption. Set to unfold on Sunday, December 3, 2023, at the iconic Gillette Stadium, this game not only promises thrilling football action but also poses interesting questions for sports bettors and fans alike.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots 12/3/23

When:Sunday, December 3, 1:00 PM ET
Where:Gillette Stadium
Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots 12/3/23
-6 -110
o40.5 -110
+6 -110
u40.5 -110
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Justin Herbert QB vs. Mac Jones QB

Justin Herbert has put together another strong statistical season despite the Chargers’ struggles, throwing for 2,609 yards and 19 TDs through 10 games. However, he has been turnover-prone at times with 5 interceptions already after throwing just 15 total picks in his first two seasons. If Herbert can limit mistakes and utilize weapons like Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler, LA has enough firepower to challenge any defense. The Patriots’ weak secondary could be just what Herbert needs to have one of his trademark monster games.

On the other side, Mac Jones has failed to build on a promising rookie campaign so far in year two. While he has avoided injuries after missing time last season, his production has tailed off dramatically. Jones has just 10 passing TDs compared to 10 interceptions, symptomatic of an offense that has sorely lacked playmakers. If New England has any chance of pulling the upset, they will need Jones to manage the game flawlessly and hit a few deep shots to Bourne and Meyers.

Chargers’ Offensive Dynamics: Rushing and Receiving Prowess

Despite their middle-of-the-pack ranking in total rushing yards, the Chargers’ ground game has been disappointing thanks to injuries and inefficiency. Austin Ekeler is in the midst of the worst season of his career with just 396 yards and three scores while no other back has stepped up in a major way. The potential return of Joshua Kelley and emergence of rookie Isaiah Spiller could provide a late-season spark, but LA will likely need to rely on Herbert’s arm to move the chains.

Herbert has two of the NFL’s best pass-catchers in Keenan Allen and Mike Williams at his disposal. Allen seems to have put early-season injuries behind him, topping 100 yards in back-to-back outings since returning to the lineup. His rapport with Herbert makes the Chargers’ passing attack extremely difficult to contain. Williams hasn’t been as productive but remains a dangerous deep threat.

Patriots’ Ground and Air Strategy: Overcoming Obstacles

Despite having promising second-year back Rhamondre Stevenson leading the backfield, the Patriots have been a bottom-10 rushing team in 2022. Stevenson is averaging just 3.8 yards per carry behind a subpar offensive line and has found the end zone only three times all year. Rookie Pierre Strong Jr. provided a spark last week and could see more work moving forward, but New England lacks a true difference-maker out of the backfield.

The Patriots have also dealt with inconsistency in the passing game all season long. While DeVante Parker and Hunter Henry were expected to be key contributors, Kendrick Bourne has been the team’s only reliable target for Jones. Bourne is the lone Pats receiver with over 300 yards on the season, and his rapport with Jones from last year has been vital.

NFL Betting Odds: LA Chargers -205, Over/Under: 42.5

Despite their disappointing records, the Chargers are nearly a touchdown favorite on the road against the Patriots. Clearly, oddsmakers are respecting LA’s firepower on offense and expecting New England to struggle to keep up. The total is set at just 42.5 points as well, indicating expectations for a lower-scoring defensive battle between these AFC foes.


LA Chargers Betting Trends

LA Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers’ last 9 games.
LA Chargers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
Chargers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games against New England.
LA Chargers are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games against New England.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers’ last 5 games on the road.

New England Patriots Betting Trends

New England are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New England’s last 10 games.
New England are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England’s last 9 games against LA Chargers.
New England are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games at home.
New England are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers.

Chargers vs. Patriots Betting Picks

The trends clearly favor the Chargers despite their history of struggles when facing New England. LA is the better all-around team this season with a significant edge on offense thanks to Justin Herbert’s elite talent. Meanwhile, the Pats have been dismal against the spread and shouldn’t be favored against any above-average opponent. Consider betting the Chargers on the moneyline or even taking the points if the spread increases later in the week.

While the Patriots tend to play LA tough at home, their lack of offensive firepower will make it hard to keep up with Justin Herbert and the Chargers attack. The LA offense puts up enough points to get a comfortable win and cover the 4.5 point spread against a New England team that continues to fade after a hopeful start. Consider taking the visiting Chargers at online sportsbooks as they sweep the season series with the Patriots .

Score Prediction: Chargers 24, Patriots 16