Virginia Cavaliers vs Louisville Cardinals 11/9/2023 Week 11 Analysis, Picks and Predictions

Virginia Cavaliers vs Louisville Cardinals 11/9/2023 – Thursday Night Football will surely ignite when Virginia Cavaliers (2-7; 6-3-0 ATS) meet #13 Louisville Cardinals (8-1; 5-3-1 ATS) for an epic ACC battle at Cardinal Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm EDT, promising fans an intense and decisive battle between these titans of ACC football – let’s dive deep into their recent performances, strengths, and strategies as both squads battle it out to secure victory! The top college football betting picks are updated below with all the details on this exciting game.

Team	SP/RL	TOTAL	ML
Cavaliers	+20.5 -105	o50.5 -105	+870
Cardinals	-20.5 -115	u50.5 -115	-1500

Virginia WR Malik Washington this season:

🔥 79 Receptions (1st)
🔥 1,044 Yards (2nd)
🔥 6 Touchdowns
🔥 23 Missed Tackles Forced (1st)
🔥 90.0 PFF Grade (3rd) pic.twitter.com/EGjIceqJyb

— PFF College (@PFF_College) November 9, 2023

Virginia Cavaliers have experienced an unpredictable ride recently, displaying both moments of brilliance and struggle that have defined their season. After upsetting UNC on the road and forcing Miami into overtime, optimism was in the air; but reality set in when Virginia hosted Georgia Tech at home for a 45-17 loss resulting in disillusionment for Virginia fans.

Virginia Cavaliers: An Exciting Adventure

The defense was an issue on Sunday for Virginia as they allowed 514 yards without forcing a turnover. Virginia now ranks second in the ACC for yards allowed per game with 395.4, while their points against per game is the highest of any conference at 32.4. Run defense vulnerabilities of particular note for Virginia include 180.3 rushing yards per game on average (4.8 per carry) while passing game numbers account for another 215.1 yards allowed per game.

Virginia was challenged by their inability to secure stops, with eight of their nine opponents scoring 20 or more points against them. Although Malik Washington excelled on offense with 11 catches for 109 yards against Georgia Tech’s 455.2 yards per game average defense and turnovers limited their scoring to 17 points.

Running at 120.2 yards per game (second-fewest in the ACC), Virginia’s rushing game presents a unique set of difficulties when competing against Louisville; their quarterbacks currently lead all conference quarterbacks with 12 interceptions each game and an average 23.1 points per game has been an uphill climb throughout this season; therefore this matchup won’t provide any respite either.

Louisville Cardinals: Proving Their Defensive Prowess and Offense Firepower

Louisville has been an impressive force throughout their season, barring an upset loss to Pitt. Their recent dominance, such as their 34-3 rout of Virginia Tech, demonstrated their defensive prowess; opponents scored only 16.3 points per game against them (13th nationally) while they allowed 285.2 yards per game which ranks them 12th nationwide.

Louisville’s defensive strength starts in the trenches, as Louisville limits opponents to just 88.8 rushing yards per week on average and ranks among the top 10 teams nationally in limiting their opponents to 196.4 passing yards per game with 53.5% completion rates and 196.4 passing yards allowed per game respectively. Their pass defense boasts 23 sacks and 10 interceptions this season making their defense an outstanding team capable of taking down any opponent offense.

Betting Odds: Louisville Cardinals -20.5 — Over/Under: 50.5

On offense, the Cardinals average 32.9 points per game on average and an impressive 40.4 mark when at home. Their ground game, led by Jawhar Jordan‘s 881 yards at 7.1 yards per carry and total gains of 1888 yards per game is key in this regard. Jack Plummer has been instrumental in providing 252.0 passing yards every week and Jamari Thrash has become his go-to receiver with 712 receiving yards being his favorite target.

Louisville will have every chance to score big during this critical ACC contest if they can maintain ball security, thanks to their balanced offense and tight defense.

Trends

Cavaliers Betting Trends

Virginia is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
Virginia is 2-10 SU in their last 12 games.
Cavaliers is 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against Louisville.
Virginia are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games on the road.
Virginia are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast Conference.
Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Virginia’s last 15 games played in November.
Virginia are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played in week 11.

Cardinals Betting Trends

Louisville are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville’s last 5 games.
Louisville are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisville’s last 7 games against Virginia.
Louisville are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games at home.
Louisville are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast Conference.
Cardinals are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Coastal Division.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville’s last 5 games played in November.
Louisville are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games played in week 11.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Louisville’s last 20 games played on a Thursday.