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Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 1/7/24 NFL Week 18 Betting Picks

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 1/7/24 – As the NFL season progresses towards the playoffs, the Week 18 matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins stands out as a pivotal clash. Taking place on Sunday, this game is not just a battle for supremacy in the AFC East, but also a potential preview of a playoff matchup. Both teams, with their impressive records, have their eyes set on the Super Bowl, making this game a goldmine for Super Bowl free tips.

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 1/7/24

When:Sunday, January 7, 2024 at 8:20 PM ET
Where:Hard Rock Stadium
Stream:NFL Game Pass
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 1/7/24
-2.5 -117
o48.5 -110
+2.5 -103
u48.5 -110
Bet Now on this Game

Josh Allen QB vs. Tua Tagovailoa QB

Josh Allen has been an invaluable asset to the Bills offense, showing both raw arm strength and mobility. Completing 355 out of 541 attempts with an impressive 65.6% completion rate shows off Allen’s ability to make big plays. His 3947 passing yards and 27 touchdowns (despite 16 interceptions ) showcase his risk-taking style; further illustrating that Allen is an unpredictable yet reliable threat on offense.

Tua Tagovailoa of the Dolphins has shown incredible efficiency with a remarkable 69.6% completion rate on 533 attempts, leading to 4451 yards and 28 touchdowns. Tagovailoa’s lower interception count (12) than Allen and higher passer rating (103) demonstrate his more cautious yet effective approach, making his game management skills essential against an aggressive Bills defense.

Unleashing the Rush: Buffalo’s Dynamic Ground Game

James Cook has been an integral part of Buffalo Bills offense since 2013. With 1086 rushing yards on 224 attempts averaging 4.8 yards per carry and six 20+ yard rushing plays to his name, Cook provides an exciting edge. Furthermore, with an average 67.9 yard per game average he provides reliable ground options. Stefon Diggs has been Allen’s primary target at receiver. Amassing 1096 yards on 100 receptions, his 11 yard average per reception and eight touchdowns are proof that Diggs can consistently make key plays – both qualities will help Allen breach Dolphins secondary defenses.

Dolphins’ Diverse Offensive Playbook

De’Von Achane has quickly emerged as an invaluable weapon in Miami’s running game. After only 10 games played, Achane amassed 744 yards on 93 attempts for an average of 8.08 per carry – evidence of his impressive big play ability that threatens Buffalo Bills defense with seven 20+ yard runs! On the air, tight end Durham Smythe has proven himself an asset for Tagovailoa. While his 336 receiving yards on 32 receptions may seem inconsequential, his ability to convert crucial third down conversions and maintain drive momentum cannot be understated. Smythe’s ability to find space will play an essential role in Dolphins passing game strategy.

NFL Betting Odds: Buffalo Bills -160, Over/Under: 49

The Bills enter this matchup as slight favorites, with a moneyline of -160 and a spread of -3. The over/under is set at 49, reflecting the high-scoring nature anticipated in this game. Given the offensive firepower of both teams, the over seems like a tempting option, but the recent trend of unders in their matchups should not be overlooked.


Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

Buffalo are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo’s last 12 games.
Buffalo are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Bills are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games against Miami.
Buffalo are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami.

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

Miami are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games.
Miami are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami’s last 11 games against Buffalo.
Miami are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo.

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Picks

Given the trends and stats, this game is poised to be a close one. The Bills’ offensive firepower, spearheaded by Allen and Cook, is formidable, but Miami’s home record and balanced attack led by Tagovailoa give them a slight edge.

In terms of betting, the Dolphins with a +3 spread seem like a safer bet, especially considering Buffalo’s recent ATS struggles on the road. The over/under is tricky, but given both teams’ offensive capabilities and recent trends, betting the under might be the more prudent choice.

When looking for betting sites online, consider the Dolphins to cover the spread in a closely contested battle. The total points are expected to be just under the set mark of 49, making the under a wise pick.


Score Prediction: Dolphins 27, Bills 24