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Buccaneers vs. Packers 12/17/23 NFL Week 15 Betting Picks

Buccaneers vs. Packers 12/17/23 – This week 15 match-up between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers features two 6-7 teams desperately trying to keep their playoff hopes alive. With both teams sitting outside the NFC playoff picture at the moment, this football week 15 free picks showdown represents a must-win for each squad.

Buccaneers vs. Packers 12/17/23

When:Sunday, December 17, 2023, at 1:00 PM ET
Where:Lambeau Field
TV:CBS
Stream:NFL Game Pass
Buccaneers vs. Packers 12/17/23
TeamSP/RLTOTALML
Buccaneers
+3.5 -115
o42 -110
+153
Packers
-3.5 -105
u42 -110
-173
Bet Now on this Game

Baker Mayfield QB vs. Jordan Love QB

Baker Mayfield leads the offensive charge for the Buccaneers. With 274 completions from 438 attempts – an impressive 62.6% completion rate – in 13 games this season, his statistics include 2934 passing yards at 225.7 average yards per game with 20 passing touchdowns against 8 interceptions – making him an outstanding quarterback but his performance may have been marred by 28 sacks which expose weaknesses in their offensive line.

Jordan Love of the Green Bay Packers boasts an equally unique but distinct profile. Over 12 games, Love has completed 61% of his 408 passing attempts for an impressive completion rate of 61%; amassing 2866 yards at an average of 238.8 per game which slightly trails Mayfield. In that same span he threw 22 touchdowns and 10 interceptions with an overall higher passer rating (90.2) due to less sack rates (24) giving the Packers an edge in passing play.

Buccaneers Led by Emerging Backfield Threat Rachaad White

Rachaad White has emerged as Tampa Bay’s lead back and a dynamic threat out of the backfield. He has 745 rushing yards on the season while averaging a solid 3.7 yards per carry. White is also a weapon as a receiver with 310 receiving yards. His versatility poses a matchup problem for defenses. Meanwhile, veteran Mike Evans remains favorite target at receiver. Despite turning 30 this year, Evans still has elite playmaking ability. He has 1020 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, providing a much-needed red zone threat. Evans will look to exploit a Packers secondary that has struggled recently.

Packers seeking More Production at Running Back

Green Bay’s rushing attack has been largely mediocre this season, as lead back A.J. Dillon is averaging just 3.5 yards per carry. Dillon provides physicality but lacks explosiveness, with only one rushing touchdown on the year. The Packers desperately need more dynamic production from their backfield. At receiver, young wideout Jayden Reed has emerged as a promising complement to veteran Allen Lazard. The 23-year-old Reed already has 5 touchdowns and 12.8 yards per catch. He provides the type of speed and quickness that the Packers have lacked at receiver. Expect Green Bay to target Reed early and often against Tampa Bay’s suspect secondary.

NFL Betting Odds: Green Bay Packers -180, Over/Under: 43.5

The betting odds favor the Green Bay Packers slightly, with a moneyline of -180 and a spread of -3.5. The total for the game is set at 43.5, with equal odds for over and under. These odds reflect a closely matched game, with the Packers having a slight home-field advantage.

Trends

Buccaneers Betting Trends

Tampa Bay are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games.
Tampa Bay are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.
Tampa Bay are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against Green Bay.
Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.
Tampa Bay are 2-15 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Green Bay.

Packers Betting Trends

Green Bay are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 5 games.
Green Bay are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 7 games at home.
Green Bay are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.
Green Bay are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.

Buccaneers vs. Packers Betting Picks

Considering the strengths and vulnerabilities of both teams, this matchup promises to be closely contested. The Packers have the home-field advantage and a slightly better record against the spread, which could tip the balance in their favor. However, the Buccaneers’ ability to cover the spread, especially on the road, makes them a resilient opponent.

From a betting perspective, considering the over/under trends and both teams’ offensive capabilities, the total going over 43.5 seems like a viable pick. As for the winner, the Packers’ stronger home record and slightly better overall performance this season make them the safer bet. For those exploring casino online sites, prop bets on individual player performances, like Mayfield’s passing yards or Dillon’s rushing yards, could offer additional excitement.

Score Prediction: Packers 27, Buccaneers 24