Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans 12/3/23 – The Denver Broncos travel to Houston to take on the Texans in a game that will go a long way in determining playoff seeding down the stretch. Both Denver and Houston boast top-10 scoring defenses and run-heavy offensive attacks. According to top betting sites, this figures to be a tightly contested and low-scoring affair. With so much on the line, emotions will be running high for two desperate squads trying to keep their postseason hopes alive.
Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans 12/3/23
| When: | Sunday, December 3, 1:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | NRG Stadium |
| TV: | CBS |
| Stream: | NFL+ |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +3.5 -110 | o47 -115 | +162 |  |
| Texans | -3.5 -110 | u47 -105 | -182 | |
| ||||
Best of the best — and he's just getting started. 😤 @PatSurtainll selected to @ESPNNFL's All-Youngster team » https://t.co/dcRSUsAqYp pic.twitter.com/miDTYa14YI
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) November 29, 2023
Russell Wilson QB vs Davis Mills QB
Russell Wilson has found his groove in recent weeks, efficiently leading Denver’s offense while protecting the football. Over his last 5 games, Wilson has a 105.1 passer rating with 9 TDs and 0 interceptions. His mobility outside the pocket remains a threat to extend plays. Wilson will look to exploit a Texans defense allowing the 5th most passing yards per game (252.5) in the NFL.
Davis Mills has been too careless with the football during Houston’s 1-4 skid. During that stretch, he’s committed 8 turnovers and taken 15 sacks. If Mills can reign in the mistakes and get the ball out quicker, he has the arm talent to challenge Denver’s 18th ranked pass defense (227.7 yards allowed per game).
Denver’s Rushing Attack
Despite losing Javonte Williams in week 4, the Broncos have remained committed to the run thanks to the emergence of Latavius Murray and Marlon Mack. This thunder and lightning duo have powered Denver to 120.7 rushing yards per contest over their current 5 game win streak. Continued success on the ground will be key to controlling time of possession and keeping Deshaun Watson off the field.
Houston’s Receiving Threats
Nico Collins has been a shining light in Houston’s dim offensive season. The second year receiver is averaging 77.3 yards per game with 4 TDs over his last 6 contests. With Brandin Cooks ruled out, Collins will operate as the number one target against Denver’s 19th ranked pass defense (227.8 yards allowed per game). If he can win his matchup against Patrick Surtain II, Collins has a chance to post his first 100 yard receiving game.
NFL Betting Odds: Houston Texans -150, Over/Under: 43.5
Despite holding the same record, Houston opens as a 3.5 point home favorite against Denver. The Texans have performed well against the spread recently going 4-1 ATS over their past 5. However, the betting trends favor the road underdogs here. Denver is hot against the spread themselves with a 5-1 ATS record over their current 5 game win streak. The total has also gone under in 5 of Denver’s last 6. With two strong defenses, take the under at 43.5.
Trends
Denver Broncos Betting Trends
Denver are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games.
Denver are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
Denver are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Houston.
Broncos are 3-13 SU in their last 16 games on the road.
Denver are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
Houston Texans Betting Trends
Houston are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 8 games.
Houston are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games against Denver.
Total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston’s last 8 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans Betting Picks
The trends clearly favor Denver to cover the 3.5 point spread in this contest. The Broncos have been an extremely profitable team to back over the past month thanks to their stout defense and disciplined style of play. According to football betting trends, road underdogs have thrived in the NFL going 117-103 ATS this season. Expect Denver to control time of possession with their ground game and escape Houston with a close victory.
Score Prediction: Broncos 24, Texans 20
