Duke Blue Devils vs. Arkansas Razorbacks 11/29/23 – The Duke Blue Devils take on the Arkansas Razorbacks in a non-conference clash on Wednesday night. Both teams enter with one loss against quality competition, proving their ability to compete with elite teams so far. This showdown will feature versatile big man Kyle Filipowski leading Duke against the Razorbacks’ own scoring threat in Tramon Mark for an intriguing top sports betting matchup between athletic squads.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Arkansas Razorbacks 11/29/23
| When: | Wednesday, November 29, 9:15 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Bud Walton Arena |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | SofaScore |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Devils | -4.5 -110 | o149 -110 | -210 |  |
| Razorbacks | +4.5 -110 | u149 -110 | +170 | |
| ||||
Wheels up to Arkansas ✈️ pic.twitter.com/UpyDVj8SMG
— Duke Men’s Basketball (@DukeMBB) November 28, 2023
Kyle Filipowski (Center) vs. Tramon Mark (Guard)
Duke freshman Kyle Filipowski has burst onto the scene this year, averaging 18.8 points and 8 rebounds per game. The versatile big man is a tough cover with his ability to score inside and out while also protecting the rim on defense. However, he has struggled with turnovers at times. Tramon Mark has led Arkansas in scoring, putting up 18.4 points per contest. The quick guard excels at getting to the rim but will need to knock down outside shots to space the floor against Duke.
This matchup will be intriguing, with Filipowski having a significant size advantage down low but Mark possessing a quickness edge on the perimeter. Whichever player can exploit these edges more effectively could swing the outcome. Expect both coaches to scheme ways to get their stars favorable looks on offense. On defense, Duke may throw some double teams at Mark, while Arkansas looks to force Filipowski into tight spots inside.
Duke Key Players and Stats Analysis for a Formidable Squad
Led by the talented trio of Filipowski, Jeremy Roach, and Dereck Lively II, Duke features one of the most dangerous starting fives in college basketball. Roach runs the offense effectively as a passer and driver, while Lively protects the rim at an elite level. Surrounding their key trio with marksmen like Tyrese Proctor makes this unit even tougher to stop.
On offense, the Blue Devils utilize great spacing with reliable shooters at multiple positions. By involving Filipowski as a scorer and passer, they make it difficult for defenses to key on one option. On defense, Duke has the size and length inside to challenge drives as well as secure rebounds. If Roach and the wings can force difficult perimeter looks, this defense could stifle Arkansas.
Arkansas Strategies for Success Against Duke
Outside of Mark’s scoring prowess, the Razorbacks have several secondary contributors like Anthony Black, Ricky Council IV, and Jordan Walsh. This balance takes pressure off Mark as the lead threat. Defensively, Arkansas utilizes intense ball pressure to speed teams up and force turnovers to spark transition offense.
For the Razorbacks to pull off the upset, they’ll need to knock down outside shots to prevent Duke from packing the paint. Turning Filipowski and other Blue Devil bigs into defenders in space could lead to foul trouble or allow driving lanes to open up. Walsh and Makhi Mitchell must also hold their own on the glass and defensively against Duke’s formidable frontcourt.
NCAAB Betting Odds: Duke Blue Devils -210, Over/Under: 149
With Duke entering as 4.5-point road favorites, the oddsmakers see this as a close matchup between competitive teams. The Blue Devils have several impressive early-season victories, while Arkansas has battled against quality competition as well. There are arguments for either side against the spread, but Duke’s status as a top-10 team makes them the safer pick. The total also feels reasonable for a game between athletic teams with scoring talent.
Trends
Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends
Duke are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke’s last 9 games.
Duke are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke’s last 5 games on the road.
Duke are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Duke are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played in November.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends
Arkansas are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arkansas’ last 8 games.
Total has gone OVER in 9 of Arkansas’ last 9 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas’ last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
Arkansas are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in November.
Arkansas are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Wednesday.
Duke vs. Arkansas Betting Picks
Duke enters as a talented favorite, having already beaten the likes of Kansas, Oregon State, and Xavier this season. However, Arkansas has proven spunky at home, with tight losses against Creighton and San Diego State on their resume. This game could follow a similar path if the Razorbacks summon enough firepower. Still, Duke’s skill and poise shine through more often than not.
Expect this matchup to come down to the final minutes before the Blue Devils pull away late. Back Duke laying the 4.5 points against a frisky Arkansas squad. This NCAAB free picks and parlays selection also falls in line with the total, projecting a lower-scoring 75-68 Duke victory on the road.
Score Prediction: Duke 75, Arkansas 68
