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Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints 1/7/24 NFL Betting Picks

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints 1/7/24 – As the NFL regular season wraps up, the Week 18 football picks become even more critical. The Atlanta Falcons, holding a 7-9 record, are set to face off against the New Orleans Saints, who stand at an 8-8 record, in what promises to be a riveting NFC South rivalry game. This Sunday matchup, scheduled for Sunday, at the Caesars Superdome, is more than just a battle for regional supremacy; it’s a fight for pride and a chance to end the season on a high note.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints 1/7/24

When:Sunday, January 7, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET
Where:Caesars Superdome
Stream:NFL Game Pass
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints 1/7/24
+3 -104
o41.5 -115
-3 -116
u41.5 -105
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Desmond Ridder QB vs. Derek Carr QB

Desmond Ridder has shown flashes of potential but still has plenty of room to grow. Over 14 games, he’s completed 63.4% of his passes for 2,545 yards, 10 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, while being sacked 31 times. Ridder has added an extra dimension with his mobility, but must improve his accuracy downfield and decision making in the pocket. His passer rating sits at just 81.1 and he’s averaging only 181.8 passing yards per start. However, he’s led Atlanta to a 4-7 record since taking over the starting job. With more experience and weapons around him, Ridder has the chance to take a big step in year two.

Derek Carr was brought in to stabilize the Saints passing game after Jameis Winston’s injury. Carr has completed 67.9% of his throws for 3,614 yards, 21 touchdowns and 8 picks over 16 games. He’s been sacked 29 times and produced a 94.7 rating. While the numbers are solid, New Orleans still ranks 21st in passing offense as Carr struggles with a lack of playmakers beyond rookie Chris Olave. He’s managed games well but failed to hit big plays consistently. Against Atlanta’s vulnerable secondary, Carr will need to shoulder more of the load to keep pace on the scoreboard.

Falcons’ Offensive Analysis: Ground and Air Assault

Bijan Robinson has emerged as an integral component of the Falcons’ offense since joining them, rushing for 948 yards on average per attempt and scoring four touchdowns over 16 games – with seven 20-yard rushes being accomplished during his time. Drake London has been an exceptional receiver, recording 65 receptions for 864 yards and two touchdowns over 15 games – an average of 13.3 yards per catch that will prove critical against New Orleans Saints’ secondary.

Saints’ Strategic Offensive Play: Balance and Precision

Jamaal Williams, the Saints’ leading rusher, has amassed 280 yards over 12 games. While his yards may seem modest, Jamaal’s presence provides balance to their offensive strategy. Chris Olave, an effective receiver for the Saints, has made an impressionful performance this season by catching 84 passes for 1067 yards and four touchdowns over 15 games. Olave’s ability to gain yards after the catch makes him one of Carr’s primary targets on third downs.

NFL Betting Odds: New Orleans Saints -173, Over/Under: 42.5

The odds favor the Saints, likely due to their slightly better record and home-field advantage. The over/under set at 42.5 points suggests expectations of a moderately scoring game, considering both teams’ defensive capabilities.


Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

Atlanta are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games.
Atlanta are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.
Atlanta are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against New Orleans.
Falcons are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against New Orleans.
Atlanta are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games on the road.

New Orleans Saints Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 15 of New Orleans’ last 20 games.
Total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans’ last 10 games against Atlanta.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans’ last 9 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans’ last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
New Orleans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
New Orleans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in January.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Picks

Considering the trends and statistics, this game appears to be a closely matched affair. The Saints, with Carr’s steady hand at quarterback and Olave’s receiving prowess, seem to have a slight edge, especially playing at home.

For those looking at sportsbook online betting, considering under bets might be prudent given both teams’ trends. Prop bets on key players like Ridder, Robinson, Carr, and Olave could also offer value. Expect a tight, strategic battle with the Saints leveraging their home-field advantage and slightly more balanced offense to clinch a close victory.

Score Prediction: Saints 24, Falcons 20