Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets 5/12/24 – As we approach the middle of May, the MLB season is in full swing, and our daily MLB top free picks today focus on a compelling matchup at Citi Field. This Sunday evening, the Atlanta Braves (22-12) face off against the New York Mets (18-18). Both teams are looking to capitalize on this game to bolster their standings, with the Braves currently leading their division and the Mets striving to reach a .500 record.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets 5/12/24
| When: | Sunday, May 12, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Citi Field, New York |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets 5/12/24
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | TBD | TBD | TBD |  |
| Mets | TBD | TBD | TBD | |
| ||||
Put on a show in New York!#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/kyuxMxtFAW
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) May 11, 2024
As the betting odds are still to be determined, keeping an eye on how they evolve could provide valuable insights, especially considering the recent performances and trends of both teams. Bettors will want to note any changes as the game day approaches.
Bryce Elder (1-1, 5.28 ERA) vs. Luis Severino (2-2, 2.93 ERA)
The Braves will begin the game with Bryce Elder whose season is struggling with a 5.28 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP with 15.1 innings pitched. Elder’s elevated WHIP suggests that he allows too many batters to reach the base, a situation that could be dangerous against the Mets’ team which has strong lineup. One of his tasks will be to stay on the safe side and restrain from ending up big hits like in the season so far.
While the other side will have Luis Severino representing the Mets on the hills. Severino, with his current 2.93 ERA and 1.18 WHIP after 40 innings, has proved better command and economy than Elder. He has made an impact by striking out batters while walking a few as well as the homers. He will play an important role in the coming games since the Braves’ opponents have a very strong lineup.
Braves’ Offensive Dynamics
The Braves team is batting .257 as a team and they boast of power metrics having slugged 36 home runs and with a .418 slugging percentage. They have a great chance to get on base (.326 OBP), which makes their put runs ahead and this could troubleshoot Severino even in the season’s strong beginning. Nevertheless, the winning streak (8-9 ATS) implies the capacity to fight on the road, but still, shows some weaknesses away from home.
Mets’ Strategic Plays
The Mets are slightly behind in batting average (.241), but, when it comes to power they are having a comparable performance with 38 home runs. Their on-base percentage (.315) and .376 SLG, aside, suggest a slightly less powerful offense of the Braves. Nonetheless, their pitcher lineup, top-notch with Severino, has been keeping them in games, the fact shown that they have a slightly greater than adequate record in games with total going over.
Trends
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Atlanta Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 8-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves’ last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Braves’ 17 last games at home
New York Mets Betting Trends
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
New York Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 10-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets’ last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Mets’ 19 last games at home
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Betting Picks
Considering both teams’ recent forms and the starting pitchers’ profiles, this game could be closer than the records suggest. The key will be Elder’s ability to contain the Mets’ hitters and whether Severino can continue his strong form against a powerful Braves lineup.
For bettors, keeping an eye on the final odds will be crucial, especially the over/under, given the trends and Elder’s susceptibility to giving up runs. Prop bets on individual player performances, especially around Severino’s strikeouts, could offer value.
This matchup promises to be tightly contested, and with the strengths and weaknesses of each team considered, the Mets might just edge out at home. For those looking to place bets, consider the Mets for a slight upset and the total going over, and always check the latest odds at top-tier online casinos before placing your wagers.
Score Prediction: Braves 4, Mets 5.
