Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigers 9/21/24 NCAAF Week 4 Betting Prediction

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigers 9/21/24 – With the college football season nearing the end of week 4, the Vanderbilt Commodores look set for an exciting clash against the undefeated Missouri Tigers. This game draws attention to the different early season stories of two SEC teams and, quite importantly, does a balancing act of gauging the strength of the Vanderbilt defense and the power of the Missouri team. This weekend will once again make this game customary for NCAA football latest picks with the fans and the bettors, as Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium will be the centre of attention.

Team	SP/RL	TOTAL	ML
Commodores	+20.5 (-115)	53.5 over (-111)	+1000
Tigers	-20.5 (-115)	53.5 under (-111)	-2100

.@PFF_College SEC Team of the Week

⚓️ Glenn Seabrooks III pic.twitter.com/VVi2IoEuXs

— Vanderbilt Football (@VandyFootball) September 17, 2024

The current betting landscape shows a significant tilt towards the Missouri Tigers, highlighted by their overwhelming -2100 moneyline and a 20.5-point spread. This suggests a strong belief in their capability to control the game, consistent with their robust season start. For Vanderbilt, the +1000 moneyline reflects their underdog status, which might appeal to high-risk, high-reward bettors, particularly given the over trend in their recent games.

Diego Pavia QB vs. Brady Cook QB

Vanderbilt´s quarterback Diego Pavia has been strong and consistent early in the season with stats of 543 passing yards and a completion percentage of 64.5%. Nonetheless, even though he was sacked 6 times, it tells of Pavia’s composure under duress that he achieved a passer rating of 159.4 during the game and did not throw a single interception. Vanderbilt will need these young playmakers because Missouri will bring an excellent pass rushing defense.

Brady Cook of Missouri has been as steady as a rock in the last three games, throwing for 720 passing yards at an astonishing 71.1% completion rate. This methodical approach, one interception and few sack yards lost by Cook, is indicative of effective game management. He will be able to steer the massive expectations that come with the rivalry between these two teams.

The moment Pavia and Cook share the field, it would be Pavia’s stubbornness against Cook’s accuracy. Both QBs have an advantage that can very well change the dynamics of the game in their team’s favor. The ability of Pavia to avoid turnovers and the ability of Cook to complete a high percentage of his passes creates a quarterback contrasting potential that may be the determining factor in the match’s final outcome.

Commodores on the Ground and Through the Air

Sedrick Alexander and Eli Stowers have been instrumental in Vanderbilt’s offensive efforts. Alexander’s 165 rushing yards and three touchdowns provide a reliable ground game, while Stowers’ 163 receiving yards on 12 catches offer a critical aerial threat. Their ability to break through Missouri’s defenses will be key to Vanderbilt’s strategy.

Trends

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends

Vanderbilt are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt’s last 5 games.
Vanderbilt are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games.
Vanderbilt are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Missouri.
Commodores are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Missouri.

Missouri Tigers Betting Trends

Missouri are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri’s last 5 games.
Missouri are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Missouri’s last 10 games against Vanderbilt.
Missouri are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.