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UFC Fight Night 159 Stephens vs. Rodriguez Saturday Betting Preview

Posted by: Anthony Yaylor
UFC Fight Night Stephens vs. Rodriguez Saturday Betting Preview, odds and picks

Mexico City will be the venue for this upcoming Saturday’s Fight Night. Overall there are four bouts on the main card. Headlining Fight Night is the Featherweight bout between Yair Rodriguez and Jeremy Stephens. Additionally, a women’s straw-weight bout between Carla Esparza and Alexa Grasso will catch UFC online betting attention. From the flyweight division is a matchup between Brandon Moreno and Askar Askarov. And there will be a second featherweight fight on the main card between Martin Bravo and Steven Peterson. Specifically, Mexico City has long been seen as an opportune territory for Dana White and the UFC leadership.

UFC Fight Night Stephens vs. Rodriguez

When: Saturday, September 21, 8:00 p.m. ET
Where: Mexico City Arena, Mexico City, Mexico
TV: Pay Per View
Stream: Fight Pass
UFC Fight Night Stephens vs. Rodriguez Odds

Bet Now on this Game

Fighter Odds Fighter Odds
Stephens -105 Rodriguez -115

Yair Rodriguez

Now 26-year-old Yair Rodriguez has a UFC online betting record of 11-2 with a current UFC ranking of seventh in the featherweight class. Rodriguez is a native of Mexico where he still resides in Chihuahua. Last time out for Rodriguez was a fifth-round knockout win over Chan Sung Jung on November 10, 2018, at Denver, Colorado. With the win he scored Fight of the Night honors. Accordingly, it was a nice rebound for Rodriguez, who was coming off a rare loss. Frankie Edgar won a second-round knockout over Rodriguez on May 13, 2017, at Dallas Texas.

Jeremy Stephens

Late on has been a tough stretch for Jeremy Stephens. He will be entering this fight ranked eighth in the official UFC featherweight rankings. Stephens is a native of Des Moines, Iowa that fights out of San Diego, California. His overall record is 28-16. Of great concern is that Stephens has lost seven of his last 12 fights. Stephens is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Zabit Magomedsharipov on March 2, 2019, at Las Vegas, Nevada. Concurrently Stephens lost by technical knockout to Jose Aldo on July 28, 2018. The fight ended in the first round.

Carla Esparza vs. Alexa Grasso

Specifically, Carla Esparza has a career record of 14-6 and is ranked eighth in the UFC straw-weight rankings. Esparza snapped a two-bout losing streak in a unanimous decision win over Virna Jandiroba on April 27, 2019. On the whole, she is known for winning the inaugural women’s straw-weight championship. Alexa Grasso has a career mark of 11-2 and is ranked ninth in the UFC straw-weight division. Grasso has split her last four fights. Last time out was a unanimous decision win over Karolina Kowalkiewicz on June 8, 2019. Prior to that Grasso lost to Tatiana Suarez on May 19, 2018.

Stephens vs. Rodriguez Betting Numbers

Record: Rodriguez 12-2, Stephens 28-16
Last Fight: Rodriguez won, Stephens lost
Country: Rodriguez is from Mexico, Stephens is from the United States
Height: Rodriguez 5’11”, Stephens 5’8”
Weight: Rodriguez 145 LB, Stephens 145 LB
Reach: Rodriguez 71 inches, Stephens 71 inches
Leg Reach: Rodriguez 41.5 inches, Stephens 38.5 inches
Win by KO/TKO: Rodriguez 36%, Stephens 68%
Win by Submission: Rodriguez 18%, Stephens 7%
Average Fight Time: Rodriguez 14:42, Stephens 12:11
Knockdown Average: Rodriguez 0.38, Stephens 0.74
Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: Rodriguez 4.06, Stephens 3.08
Significant Strikes: Rodriguez 43%, Stephens 40%
Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: Rodriguez 3.11, Stephens 2.84
Defense: Rodriguez 58%, Stephens 59%
Takedown Average: Rodriguez 1.02, Stephens 1.11
Takedown Accuracy: Rodriguez 33%, Stephens 36%
Takedown Defense: Rodriguez 68%, Stephens 64%
Submission Average: Rodriguez 1.02, Stephens 0.41

Stephens vs. Rodriguez Betting Picks

On this occasion, Yair Rodriguez and Jeremy Stephens opened with even UFC odds for this fight. On the whole, Rodriguez is in far better form than the slumping Stephens. Furthermore, Rodriguez will be motivated to show well in what is a fight in his own backyard of Mexico. Stephens recent body of work has simply not been good enough. Rodriguez should prevail with the big home win.

UFC Fight Prediction: Yair Rodriguez