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UFC 286: Muhammad Mokaev vs Jafel Filho 03/18/2023 Tips, Forecast and Predictions

UFC 286: Mokaev vs Filho 03/18/2023 – Muhammad Mokaev stakes his unbeaten record against Jafel Filho in a three-round flyweight showdown on Saturday, March 18, at the O2 Arena in London, England. The fight is part of the UFC 286 preliminary card that is slated to start at 2:00 PM ET. Mokaev is coming off a three-round submission win over Malcolm Gordon in October last year while Filho will make his debut in the octagon after winning one of the Week 9 matches of the 2022 Dana White’s Contender Series in September 2022. Online UFC betting predictions see Mokaev as the big favorite in this encounter due to his extensive octagon experience although Filho has had elite MMA experience in Brazil before trying it out in the US.

UFC 286: Mokaev vs Filho 03/18/2023

When: Saturday, March 18, 2:00 PM ET
Where: O2 Arena, London, England
TV: ESPN+ (US); BT Sport (UK)
Stream: UFC Fight Pass

UFC 286: Mokaev vs Filho 03/18/2023 Odds

Bet Now on this Game

Fighter Odds Fighter Odds
Muhammad Mokaev -800 Jafel Filho +550

Main Card

Muhammad Mokaev

Muhammad Mokaev (9-0, 1 NC, 3-0 UFC) has been able to ace his first three assignments in the octagon and these victories have propelled him to No12 in the flyweight category. The fighter known as “The Punisher” strung up wins against Cody Durden, Charles Johnson and Malcolm Gordon in a seven-month span between March and October 2022. He looks to continue that surge in his first fight this year. Stats wise, Mokaev is a ground tactician as he has exclusively used his takedowns to earn advantage in his fights. He has an outstanding rate of 8.88 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a takedown accuracy of 54%. In terms of striking, Mokaev has landed 1.15 significant strikes per minute and has an accuracy rate of 54%.

Jafel Filho

Jafel Filho (14-2) will make his first start in the UFC as he stakes his excellent record against one of the rising stars of the promotion in Muhammad Mokaev. The Juazerio native has strung up 14 victories in 16 matches wherein 13 of these wins were either by knockout or submission. In his first fight in the US soil, Filho stopped Roybert Echeverria via technical knockout in the third round. Stats wise, Filho has landed 2.52 strikes per minute and has an accuracy rate of 42%. In terms of grappling, Filho has an average of 2.6 takedowns per 15 minutes and has stopped all takedown attempts against him.

Mokaev vs Filho Betting Numbers

Record 9-0-0 14-2-0
Last Fight Win Win
Country England Brazil
Height 5’8″ 5’6″
Weight (lbs) 123 134
Reach (in) N/A N/A
Win by KO/TKO 22% 36%
Win by Submission 44% 57%
Decisions 33% 7%
Strikes landed per minute N/A N/A
Striking accuracy N/A N/A
Striking absorbed per minute N/A N/A
Striking defense N/A N/A
Takedown average N/A N/A
Takedown accuracy N/A N/A
Takedown defense N/A N/A
Submission average N/A N/A

Mokaev vs Filho Betting Picks

Mokaev looks to earn the win over Filho to improve on his rankings. On the other hand, Filho looks to make a statement in his first fight in the octagon. Both fighters have the capability to stop their opponents with their excellent knockout and submission records. However, the Englishman holds a distinctive advantage as far as octagon experience and the latest sports betting trends are picking that up. They are expecting Mokaev to dominate Filho in the ground game and secure the victory in a little over two rounds.