Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas 1/11/25 – UFC Fight Night 249 is around the corner, and the women’s strawweight bout between Mackenzie Dern and Amanda Ribas excites the fans. Slated to take place on Saturday at the UFC APEX located in Las Vegas, Nevada, this bout features two close records of the fighters: Dern with a record of 14-5-0 going against Ribas with a 13-5-0 record. Both fighters are warriors in their own right and pursuing a goal in the strawweight category, making this fight even more crucial. This bout will be high octane not to mention both fighters’ career dreams are riding on it.
Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas 1/11/25
| When: | Saturday, January 11, 2025 | Time: 7:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
| Stream: | UFC Fight Pass |
Amanda Ribas is currently the -170 favorite in the betting odds meanwhile Mackenzie Dern is sitting at +145 with the odds that suggest Ribas is even more likely to win this bout as she has more striking accuracy and grappling technique when pitted against Dern. Ribas is expected to dominate this match. However, if you are more suited in terms of betting as an underdog, Dern is tipped for you as she possesses both effective submission maneuvers and a durable build to withstand any assault within the octagon.
Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas 1/11/25 Odds
| Fighter | Odds | Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Dern | +145 | Amanda Ribas | -170 |
Main Card
Mackenzie Dern
Mackenzie Dern began her MMA journey with a few tough lessons, but over the years, through hard work, she has met several highs as well. She comes into the bout with a record of 14-5-0. Judging from her statistics, Dern derives her fighting style from her average of 1.2 submission attempts every 15 minutes. Although she has an average of 3.43 significant strikes landed per minute at 39% accuracy, which is somewhat decent, grappling still favors Dern. Takedown accuracy of 16% and defensive accuracy of 30% are some of the tasks that Dern has struggled with, and against Ribas who is well versed in these areas, this would be crucial. Dern had showcased great resilience and pace of the fight in her last fight which was a victory against Godinez, and this is something she can look to build on against Ribas.
Amanda Ribas
Amanda Ribas who boasts with a record of 13-5-0 is no easy feat. Ribas has a natural gift while striking as she manages to land 4.63 significant strikes in a minute at 40% accuracy while also being able to defend at a 61% rate. Her grappling W% stands impressive as well with an average of 2.07 takedowns in 15 minutes at 51% percentage and an impressive percentage of 85% for takedown defense. Such statistics accent her ability to determine the locations of the combat whether striking at range or controlling it on the ground. However, she lost against Namajunas but has managed to showcase that she is able to compete in high levels of competition which surely would help out in strategizing and building confidence for her in this fight.
Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas Betting Numbers
| Record | 14-5-0 | 13-5-0 |
| Last Fight | Win | Loss |
| Country | USA | Brazil |
| Height | 5′ 4″ | 5′ 3″ |
| Weight (lbs) | 115 | 115 |
| Reach (in) | 63″ | 66″ |
| Win by KO/TKO | 0% | 31% |
| Win by Submission | 50% | 31% |
| Decisions | 50% | 38% |
| Strikes landed per minute | 3.43 | 4.63 |
| Striking accuracy | 39% | 40% |
| Striking absorbed per minute | 4.12 | 3.40 |
| Striking defense | 51% | 61% |
| Takedown average | 0.88 | 2.07 |
| Takedown accuracy | 16% | 51% |
| Takedown defense | 30% | 85% |
| Submission average | 1.2 | 0.7 |
Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas Betting Picks
The fight between Mackenzie Dern and Amanda Ribas at UFC Fight Night 249 has proven to be more of a strategy contest as both fighters have different styles. Ribas will focus on keeping the combat to a standing position during the fight by using her striking and takedown defense tactics, while Dern will try to use her impressive submission skills to bring Ribas down and implement her ground attacks on her.
Citing last week’s main card; we already saw a fight of a similar style, which revolved around the groundwork. This may further support the ongoing pattern of ground combat that seems to deceive the expectations for this division. However, Dern’s ground game can make it in this contest provided she is able to impose her style on Ribas, who should be seen as the main favorite to win this fight on account of her superior all round skill set. This will be one of the most important points in their UFC careers.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: January 10, 2025
Last updated: March 24, 2025