Texas Longhorns vs. Texas A&M Aggies 11/30/24 – The Texas Longhorns (10-1) have the momentum going into their week fourteen encounter against Texas A&M Aggies (8-3). Due to the nature of these derby matches, Texas aims to extend their impressive run as the Aggies hope to protect their home ground at Kyle Field. This game is going to be tough and physical because both teams are competing for ranking as the season draws to a close.
Texas Longhorns vs. Texas A&M Aggies 11/30/24
| When: | Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Kyle Field, College Station, TX |
| TV: | ABC |
| Stream: | ESPN+ |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longhorns | -5.5 | Over 49.5 (-115) | -210 |  |
| Aggies | +5.5 | Under 49.5 (-110) | +175 | |
| ||||
A Showdown for state supremacy 🤘 pic.twitter.com/h9OPpOhxL1
— Texas Football (@TexasFootball) November 29, 2024
In Texas’ case, with the odds in their favor at 5.5 points, the oddsmakers, to an extent, believe that they will be able to cover the spread. Nonetheless, both teams have been quite poor in terms of covering the spread in their recent games, hence the warning to the bettors. With the total set at 49.5 it should be in fair balance with how each team has performed lately. Texas’ preference for low-scoring games makes the UNDER look good in Texas’ case.
Arch Manning QB vs. Marcel Reed QB
Texas quarterback Arch Manning has been doing a decent job in the starting position with stats at 939 yards and 9 touchdowns. What makes him a threat is his competent 67.8 percent completion rate and average of 10.4 yards per pass attempt. Having thrown only 2 interceptions in 9 games provides an insight of his drawing mistakes sparingly. With his unique play-calling abilities combined with a strong running game, the Aggies’ defense may remain on their edge.
Marcel Reed of Texas A&M posted impressive numbers over the season with 1426 yards and 12 touchdowns, but the season has not been ideal for him. His completion percentage of 60% and yards passed of 8.1 leave quite a bit to be desired, meaning he can make throws but does not consistently make them. Reed’s legs are also an asset—he’ll have to do so in this contest to survive against Texas’ hot-headed defense. He can make this interesting by avoiding mistakes and finding targets like Noah Thomas for deep throws.
Texas Longhorns Analysis
The offense of the Longhorns is rolling, not be mention runningback Quintrevion Wisner’s stellar performance. Wisner’s style of running, if executed properly, will likely be effective against the Texas A&M defense, which at some stages has had issues with the run game. Receiving targets are also made from the inside of the pass zone area in the end zone with tight end Gunnar Helm having 5 touchdowns to his name. The last five games for Texas can be called ordinary with the team winning all the games and scoring an average of 33 points per game during the last month.
Texas A&M Aggies Analysis
Leading the way for Texas A&M is running back Amari Daniels (640 Yards, 8 TDs), who has had a solid performance in his last outing. With a 71-yard run on a rush this current season, Daniels has been looking sharp. Quarterback Reed now also has a solid relationship with tight end Noah Thomas (514 Yards, 6 TDs), who can turn the tide at any moment and change the complexion of the game. But that is also where A&M has faltered in the last month, losing close contests against Auburn and South Carolina. Against a Texas team that is very battle-hardened, this could spell trouble.
Trends
Texas Longhorns Betting Trends
Texas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas’ last 7 games.
Texas is 10-1 SU in their last 11 games.
Texas is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against Texas A&M.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Trends
A&M is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M’s last 6 games.
A&M is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of A&M’s last 9 games against Texas.
Texas Longhorns vs. Texas A&M Aggies Betting Prediction
Texas is coming off a solid win after defeating UK, 31-14, while Texas A&M suffered a tight defeat against Auburn, losing 43-41. This means Longhorns are likely to cover the spread. Texas’ defense should get control at the line of scrimmage, restricting Reed’s chance at might deep-ball opportunities, and containing Daniels. The Aggies will have to play near perfect to upset the home team.
Considering the trends, it is enticing to expect Texas to cover the -5.5 spread especially with their defensive advantage. The total is a difficult one, but with both teams being more focused on their defenses, the UNDER 49.5 might be the safer option here.
Score Prediction: Texas Longhorns 27, Texas A&M Aggies 17.
