Logo
  • SPORTSBOOK
  • LIVE BETTING
  • CASINO
  • LIVE CASINO
  • RACEBOOK
  • POKER
  • PROMOTIONS
LOGIN JOIN
Logo
Logo
    SPORTSBOOK
    LIVE BETTING
    CASINO
    LIVE CASINO
    RACEBOOK
    PROMOTIONS
  • Login
  • Join
    • Sports Betting
      • NFL
        • NFL Player Props
      • NCAAF
      • NCAAB
      • NBA
      • NHL
      • UFC
      • MLB
      • Racebook
      • Soccer
      • Tennis
      • Golf
      • eSports
        • League of Legends
      • Auto Racing
    • Live Betting
      • Football Rules
      • Basketball Rules
      • Baseball Rules
      • Soccer Rules
      • Tennis Rules
      • Hockey Rules
    • Sportsbook Info
      • Rules
      • Wager Limits
      • Parlay Betting
      • Teaser Bets
      • If Bets
      • Reverse Bets
      • Round Robins
      • Buying Points
      • Straight Bets
      • Prop Bets
    BetNow Online Sportsbook
    BetNow Online Sportsbook

JOIN
LOGIN
JOIN
LOGIN
  • Login
  • Join
  • Sports Betting
    • NFL
      • NFL Player Props
    • NCAAF
    • NCAAB
    • NBA
    • NHL
    • UFC
    • MLB
    • Racebook
    • Soccer
    • Tennis
    • Golf
    • eSports
      • League of Legends
    • Auto Racing
  • Live Betting
    • Football Rules
    • Basketball Rules
    • Baseball Rules
    • Soccer Rules
    • Tennis Rules
    • Hockey Rules
  • Sportsbook Info
    • Rules
    • Wager Limits
    • Parlay Betting
    • Teaser Bets
    • If Bets
    • Reverse Bets
    • Round Robins
    • Buying Points
    • Straight Bets
    • Prop Bets
BetNow Online Sportsbook

Super Bowl Betting History: Favorites vs. Underdogs and Cover Rate Trends

Home » Bet on NFL Games Online » Super Bowl Betting History: Favorites vs. Underdogs and Cover Rate Trends
Betting the Sam Darnold “Seeing Ghosts” Narrative — Super Bowl Props, Patriots vs Seahawks

Sixty Super Bowls now provide a long record of how championship favorites, underdogs, spreads, and totals actually finished. This Super Bowl betting history guide uses closing or near-kickoff market references rather than opening prices, then grades every result from the final score.

The latest entry is Super Bowl LX, where Seattle was a 4.5-point favorite and beat New England 29–13 on February 8, 2026. For context around that event, BetNow’s Super Bowl LX odds page covers the championship market.

Super Bowl Betting Results, Every Year Since 1967

The table is the core record behind the historical calculations below. “Closing spread” identifies the favorite and reference price, while “ATS result” identifies the side that covered. Super Bowl I has no total because the historical dataset used here does not list one.

For consistency, Super Bowls I–50 follow ESPN’s archived closing-line record; later games use ESPN consensus or near-kickoff market references. Historical sportsbooks can differ by a half-point, so another archive may show an alternate number for a small number of games. Final scores were checked separately, including Seattle’s 29–13 Super Bowl LX result in the NFL’s official recap.

Super BowlMatchupClosing/reference spreadTotalFinal scoreATS resultO/U
I1967Packers–ChiefsPackers -14—Green Bay Packers 35–10 Kansas City ChiefsPackersN/A
II1968Packers–RaidersPackers -13.543Green Bay Packers 33–14 Oakland RaidersPackersOver
III1969Colts–JetsColts -1840New York Jets 16–7 Baltimore ColtsJetsUnder
IV1970Vikings–ChiefsVikings -1239Kansas City Chiefs 23–7 Minnesota VikingsChiefsUnder
V1971Cowboys–ColtsCowboys -2.536Baltimore Colts 16–13 Dallas CowboysColtsUnder
VI1972Cowboys–DolphinsCowboys -634Dallas Cowboys 24–3 Miami DolphinsCowboysUnder
VII1973Dolphins–WashingtonDolphins -1.533Miami Dolphins 14–7 Washington RedskinsDolphinsUnder
VIII1974Dolphins–VikingsDolphins -6.533Miami Dolphins 24–7 Minnesota VikingsDolphinsUnder
IX1975Steelers–VikingsSteelers -333Pittsburgh Steelers 16–6 Minnesota VikingsSteelersUnder
X1976Steelers–CowboysSteelers -6.536Pittsburgh Steelers 21–17 Dallas CowboysCowboysOver
XI1977Raiders–VikingsRaiders -4.538Oakland Raiders 32–14 Minnesota VikingsRaidersOver
XII1978Cowboys–BroncosCowboys -639Dallas Cowboys 27–10 Denver BroncosCowboysUnder
XIII1979Steelers–CowboysSteelers -3.537Pittsburgh Steelers 35–31 Dallas CowboysSteelersOver
XIV1980Steelers–RamsSteelers -10.536Pittsburgh Steelers 31–19 Los Angeles RamsSteelersOver
XV1981Eagles–RaidersEagles -337.5Oakland Raiders 27–10 Philadelphia EaglesRaidersUnder
XVI1982Bengals–49ersBengals -148San Francisco 49ers 26–21 Cincinnati Bengals49ersUnder
XVII1983Dolphins–WashingtonDolphins -336.5Washington Redskins 27–17 Miami DolphinsWashingtonOver
XVIII1984Washington–RaidersWashington -3.548Los Angeles Raiders 38–9 Washington RedskinsRaidersUnder
XIX198549ers–Dolphins49ers -353.5San Francisco 49ers 38–16 Miami Dolphins49ersOver
XX1986Bears–PatriotsBears -1037.5Chicago Bears 46–10 New England PatriotsBearsOver
XXI1987Giants–BroncosGiants -9.540New York Giants 39–20 Denver BroncosGiantsOver
XXII1988Broncos–WashingtonBroncos -3.547Washington Redskins 42–10 Denver BroncosWashingtonOver
XXIII198949ers–Bengals49ers -748San Francisco 49ers 20–16 Cincinnati BengalsBengalsUnder
XXIV199049ers–Broncos49ers -1248San Francisco 49ers 55–10 Denver Broncos49ersOver
XXV1991Bills–GiantsBills -6.540.5New York Giants 20–19 Buffalo BillsGiantsUnder
XXVI1992Washington–BillsWashington -748.5Washington Redskins 37–24 Buffalo BillsWashingtonOver
XXVII1993Cowboys–BillsCowboys -6.544.5Dallas Cowboys 52–17 Buffalo BillsCowboysOver
XXVIII1994Cowboys–BillsCowboys -10.550.5Dallas Cowboys 30–13 Buffalo BillsCowboysUnder
XXIX199549ers–Chargers49ers -1854San Francisco 49ers 49–26 San Diego Chargers49ersOver
XXX1996Cowboys–SteelersCowboys -13.552Dallas Cowboys 27–17 Pittsburgh SteelersSteelersUnder
XXXI1997Packers–PatriotsPackers -1449.5Green Bay Packers 35–21 New England PatriotsPushOver
XXXII1998Packers–BroncosPackers -11.549Denver Broncos 31–24 Green Bay PackersBroncosOver
XXXIII1999Broncos–FalconsBroncos -7.553Denver Broncos 34–19 Atlanta FalconsBroncosPush
XXXIV2000Rams–TitansRams -748St. Louis Rams 23–16 Tennessee TitansPushUnder
XXXV2001Ravens–GiantsRavens -333Baltimore Ravens 34–7 New York GiantsRavensOver
XXXVI2002Rams–PatriotsRams -1453.5New England Patriots 20–17 St. Louis RamsPatriotsUnder
XXXVII2003Raiders–BuccaneersRaiders -444Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48–21 Oakland RaidersBuccaneersOver
XXXVIII2004Patriots–PanthersPatriots -737.5New England Patriots 32–29 Carolina PanthersPanthersOver
XXXIX2005Patriots–EaglesPatriots -747.5New England Patriots 24–21 Philadelphia EaglesEaglesUnder
XL2006Steelers–SeahawksSteelers -447Pittsburgh Steelers 21–10 Seattle SeahawksSteelersUnder
XLI2007Colts–BearsColts -748Indianapolis Colts 29–17 Chicago BearsColtsUnder
XLII2008Patriots–GiantsPatriots -12.554.5New York Giants 17–14 New England PatriotsGiantsUnder
XLIII2009Steelers–CardinalsSteelers -746.5Pittsburgh Steelers 27–23 Arizona CardinalsCardinalsOver
XLIV2010Colts–SaintsColts -4.556.5New Orleans Saints 31–17 Indianapolis ColtsSaintsUnder
XLV2011Packers–SteelersPackers -2.545Green Bay Packers 31–25 Pittsburgh SteelersPackersOver
XLVI2012Patriots–GiantsPatriots -354New York Giants 21–17 New England PatriotsGiantsUnder
XLVII201349ers–Ravens49ers -447Baltimore Ravens 34–31 San Francisco 49ersRavensOver
XLVIII2014Broncos–SeahawksBroncos -2.547.5Seattle Seahawks 43–8 Denver BroncosSeahawksOver
XLIX2015Patriots–SeahawksPatriots -147.5New England Patriots 28–24 Seattle SeahawksPatriotsOver
L2016Panthers–BroncosPanthers -543.5Denver Broncos 24–10 Carolina PanthersBroncosUnder
LI2017Patriots–FalconsPatriots -357New England Patriots 34–28 Atlanta FalconsPatriotsOver
LII2018Patriots–EaglesPatriots -4.549Philadelphia Eagles 41–33 New England PatriotsEaglesOver
LIII2019Patriots–RamsPatriots -2.555.5New England Patriots 13–3 Los Angeles RamsPatriotsUnder
LIV2020Chiefs–49ersChiefs -1.553.5Kansas City Chiefs 31–20 San Francisco 49ersChiefsUnder
LV2021Chiefs–BuccaneersChiefs -356Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31–9 Kansas City ChiefsBuccaneersUnder
LVI2022Rams–BengalsRams -4.548.5Los Angeles Rams 23–20 Cincinnati BengalsBengalsUnder
LVII2023Eagles–ChiefsEagles -151Kansas City Chiefs 38–35 Philadelphia EaglesChiefsOver
LVIII202449ers–Chiefs49ers -246.5Kansas City Chiefs 25–22 San Francisco 49ersChiefsOver
LIX2025Chiefs–EaglesChiefs -1.548.5Philadelphia Eagles 40–22 Kansas City ChiefsEaglesOver
LX2026Seahawks–PatriotsSeahawks -4.545.5Seattle Seahawks 29–13 New England PatriotsSeahawksUnder

Favorites vs. Underdogs: Who Actually Wins?

Judged by the closing favorite above, favorites are 37–23 straight up through Super Bowl LX, a 61.7% win rate. So, Super Bowl history cuts both ways. The favorite usually holds up, and yet 23 champions closed as underdogs, nearly two in five.

The split should not be treated as a forecast by itself. The point spread changes the question from “who wins?” to “by how much?” Anyone comparing moneyline and point spread betting should separate straight-up results from ATS results.

Across favorites vs. underdogs, the most recent decade is much less one-sided. From Super Bowls LI through LX, favorites went 5–5 straight up.

Against the Spread (ATS): The Real Cover Rate Trend

The all-time ATS record sits almost level. Underdogs are 30–28–2 through Super Bowl LX, and once the two pushes come out, they’ve covered 51.7% of graded games against 48.3% for favorites.

So knowing who won tells you very little about which ticket cashed. The pushes came in XXXI and XXXIV. Green Bay laid 14 and won by exactly 14. St. Louis repeated the trick at -7, winning by seven. A favorite can also take the game outright and still fail to cover the spread, which is what happened in Super Bowl LVI, where the Rams closed at -4.5 and beat Cincinnati 23–20.

Recent results lean toward dogs without creating a rule. Underdogs covered five consecutive Super Bowls from LV through LIX before Seattle ended that run in LX. Over the last 10 games, underdogs are 6–4 ATS. That is a useful Super Bowl betting trends snapshot, not evidence that the next underdog has an automatic edge.

Over/Under History: How Often Do Super Bowls Go Over?

Of the 59 Super Bowls in this dataset with a listed total, 29 went over, 29 went under, and one pushed. That works out to 49.2% either way, with the push accounting for the remaining 1.7%.

Super Bowl XXXIII supplied that push. Denver beat Atlanta 34–19, and the 53 combined points landed exactly on a total of 53. Over the 10 Super Bowls from LI through LX, overs and unders split 5–5. The wider Super Bowl odds history therefore shows no all-time advantage for either result in this dataset.

Totals also changed substantially across eras. Early championship totals commonly sat in the 30s, while Super Bowl LI closed at 57 in the reference used here. The final score reached 62 points when New England beat Atlanta 34–28.

Biggest Super Bowl Upsets and Closest Games

The Jets’ 16–7 victory over Baltimore in Super Bowl III remains the benchmark among Super Bowl upsets. ESPN’s closing-line archive lists the Colts as 18-point favorites, making New York the largest closing underdog to win the game outright.

The list of major Super Bowl upsets runs deeper than that. New England was getting 14 points from St. Louis in XXXVI and won. The Giants did the same in XLII, 12.5-point dogs against a Patriots team that hadn’t lost all season. The older ones count too: Kansas City beat Minnesota in IV as a 12-point dog, and Denver got 11.5 against Green Bay in XXXII.

At the other end of the margin scale, Super Bowl XXV is the only one-point finish: the Giants beat Buffalo 20–19. Three consecutive games from LVI through LVIII were decided by exactly three points. Those close finals are part of Super Bowl spread history, but a small final margin does not necessarily mean the closing line was small.

If readers want a non-sportsbook pool format built around score digits instead of margins, the rules for Super Bowl squares are a separate concept.

Super Bowl betting history FAQs

How often do favorites win the Super Bowl?

Through Super Bowl LX, closing favorites are 37–23 straight up in the dataset used here, or 61.7%. That is the answer from the full Super Bowl history sample, but it does not mean favorites have been similarly dominant ATS.

Who is the biggest underdog to ever win the Super Bowl?

The New York Jets are the biggest closing underdog to win, beating the Baltimore Colts 16–7 in Super Bowl III as 18-point underdogs. That remains the defining championship betting upset.

What is the biggest point spread in Super Bowl history?

The ESPN/Gold Sheet closing lines behind this table top out at 18 points, and two Super Bowls sit at that number. Baltimore laid 18 against the Jets in Super Bowl III. San Francisco laid the same against San Diego in XXIX, though other historical databases put that one at -18.5, which is where the half-point discrepancy between published records comes from.

Have underdogs covered the spread more often than favorites in recent years?

Yes. Underdogs went 6–4 ATS over the 10 Super Bowls from LI through LX. They had also covered five straight from LV through LIX before favorite Seattle covered in LX. The larger all-time record is much closer at 30–28–2 in favor of underdogs against the spread.

Closing Thoughts

The full Super Bowl betting history record doesn’t reduce to one angle. Favorites have won 61.7% of the games. Underdogs still hold a narrow ATS edge, and among games with listed totals the over/under split is close to even.

None of that is a prediction. It’s background. Before you bet, check the current price and work out what it actually takes to cover the spread. Sides and totals are also a separate question from markets like Super Bowl prop bets. History only ever tells you what already happened.

Hilbert Mayer

Sports Writer

Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.

Published on: September 17, 2026
Last updated: September 17, 2026

NFL
Quick links
  • About Us
  • Terms & Conditions
  • In-Play Betting Rules
  • Banking
  • Privacy Policy
  • Affiliate Program
  • Help
Help Center
Site Map
Sports
  • Sportsbook
  • Sportsbook Rules
  • Wager Limits
  • In Play Betting Rules
  • Betting Types
Special Events
  • Super Bowl Betting
  • March Madness Betting
Features
  • 24/7 Bookmaker
  • Mobile Betting
  • Sports News
Crypto
  • Bitcoin
  • Crypto Tutorial
Live Casino
  • Play Live Games
  • Live Dealer
  • Live Blackjack
  • Live Roulette
  • Live Baccarat
Table Games
  • Baccarat
  • Blackjack
  • Roulette
  • Single Hand BlackJack
  • MultiHand BlackJack
  • BlackJack Switch
  • Craps
  • American Roulette
  • French Roulette
  • European Roulette
  • Hoo Hey How
  • Caribbean Stud
Poker
  • Play Poker
  • Table Games Poker
Progressive Slots
  • Progressive & Jackpots
  • Knight Progressive
  • Venice Progressive
  • Deep Space Progressive
  • Pyramid Progressive
  • Rock and Roll Progressive
  • Old West Bonus Game
  • Scuba View Bonus Game
Video Poker & Keno
  • Deuces wild
  • Deuces Wild Multiline
  • All American
  • All American Multiline
  • Tens or Better
  • Tens or Better Multiline
  • Aces & Eights
  • Aces & Eights Multiline
  • Aces & Faces
  • Aces & Faces Multiline
  • Joker Poker
  • Joker Poker Multiline
  • Jacks or Better
  • Jacks or Better Multiline
  • Keno
  • Keno Dragon
  • Keno Artist
Racebook
  • Horse Racing Betting
  • Horse Racing Odds
  • Betting Limits
  • Betting Rules
  • Betting Types
  • Trackslist
Blog
  • How to Bet on Sports
  • Sports Betting
  • Online Betting
  • Football Betting
  • Basketball Betting
  • Baseball Betting
  • College Football Betting
  • College Basketball Betting
  • Hockey Betting
  • UFC Betting
  • Soccer Betting
  • Tennis Betting
  • Golf Betting
  • eSports Betting
Promos
  • Welcome Bonus
  • Reup Bonuses
  • Refer a Friend
  • All Promos
Rebate Program
  • Sportsbook Rebate
  • Casino Rebate
  • Horse Rebate
  • All Rebate Promos
Contests
  • Grand Slam Contest
  • Weekly NBA Contest
  • Thanksgiving Contest
  • VIG Free November
  • NFL King of the Hill
  • Bracket Madness Contest
  • All Contests Promos
A TRUSTED & SAFE EXPERIENCE Responsible Responsible Secure ssl C-Elite C-Elite Internet Gaming License Validation Gaminglabs.com

BetNow is your premier destination for online sports betting. We offer a complete range of services, including Sports , Online Casino, Horse Racing and multi-player Poker. Enjoy the excitement of Live Betting, experience the thrill of Live Dealer casino tables, and take the action with you wherever you go thanks to our mobile-friendly platform. At BetNow, everything you need for an unbeatable betting experience is right at your fingertips.


BetNow © 2026 Company, Inc. All rights reserved.


Spain United Kingdom USA Canada Mexico Brazil Switzerland Germany Japan France Austria Argentina Ireland Greece

Contact Us

Please enter a valid Name
Please enter a valid Email

Responsible Gambling

If you believe that you have an addiction or compulsive behavior with online betting, please get in touch with:

  • Gamblers Anonymous: www.gamblersanonymous.org
  • 1-800-Gambler.
  • National Council on Problem Gambling: www.ncpgambling.org
  • Nevada Council on Problem Gambling (24 hour toll free Hotline): 1-800-500-4700