Spain vs. France 7/9/24 – As the 2024 European Championship reaches its climax, a thrilling semifinal showdown is set between Spain (3-0-0) and France (1-0-2) at the Fußball Arena München on Tuesday, July 9. This high-stakes match promises intense action and is a pivotal clash for sports bettors seeking the Euro 2024 latest picks today. Both teams have demonstrated different paths to this stage, with Spain flaunting a perfect record and France showing resilience despite a tougher journey.
Spain vs. France 7/9/24
| When: | Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Fußball Arena München |
| TV: | FOX |
| Stream: | — |
😜 Mini matches 𝗔𝗟𝗪𝗔𝗬𝗦 provide 𝗔 𝗟𝗢𝗧 𝗢𝗙 𝗔𝗖𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡.#VamosEspaña | #EURO2024 pic.twitter.com/ZuSVHFCmS8
— Spanish Football (@SpainIsFootball) July 7, 2024
The current betting landscape favors Spain slightly in the moneyline at +160, with the team also carrying a -0.5 point spread at an attractive +150. On the other hand, France’s defensive solidity is reflected in their +0.5 point spread at -200. The total goals over/under is set at 2.5, with odds leaning towards the under at -190, hinting at a tight, defensively robust match expected by the bookmakers.
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -0.5 (+150) | 2.5 over (+145) | +160 |  |
| France | +0.5 (-200) | 2.5 under(-190) | +205 | |
| ||||
Draw: +225
David Raya GK vs. Mike Maignan GK
Spain has also been deploying a good keeper in the person of David Raya, who in his latest appearance got to play to form and even achieved a shut-out. His conduct will essentially help the team to avoid France’s tactical maneuvers and minimal shooting chances. This is why Raya has been crucial in commanding his box and coordinating the defense, which has ensured that Spain has conceded few goals in the tournament.
On the flip side, coming to the French team, Mike Maignan has been outstanding, recording four shutouts and just a goal conceded in his starts. He is quick and fast on his feet, coupled with a fresh temper, which will be very essential when marshaling a Spanish side that is very aggressive at the front. Although dependent on the match calendar of the French team, Maignan may play a pivotal role in determining the tempo and result of the entire match for France for the team’s defensive line.
Spain Offensive Analysis: A Formidable Front
Spain’s offensive line has been almost barbaric with a midfield partnership of Fabián Ruiz and Dani Olmo. Ruiz and Olmo have a goal each and two assists each, which proves that they can effectively bypass the opposition’s backlines and set up teammates for goal-scoring opportunities. Álvaro Morata barely registered a goal threat, with only one goal threat, but his positioning, as well as the fact that he can seriously challenge defenders, makes him dangerous. Spain’s preferred attacking style, which is based on short passes and high pressing, can cause problems for the French defense when, at times, it is not fully organized.
France Offensive Analysis: Precision over Power
France, even though they have been less productive, have utilized lightning-quick Mbappé, who has 20 shots to his name, of which 8 have been on goal. But still, he scores only once, and that is his capability to open spaces and try to organize the attack is noteworthy. As a result, it needs to be noted that overall France’s scoring rate is lower, 0.6 goals per match, as opposed to Spain’s 2.8 goals per match, indicating that in matches against a compact Spanish defense, there is a need to convert attempts into more goals.
Spain Betting Trends
Spain’s recent form is a bettor’s dream. Winning their last five matches and scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.4 shows a team in peak condition. Their 80% win rate at home venues, although less relevant in a neutral setting like Munich, still underscores their ability to perform under pressure.
France Betting Trends
France’s stance has been less smooth-bodied, as real life might refer to a solid but mediocre performance. They are quite robust, having an away strike percentage of 70% and having 0.2 goals per match recently. From these statistical findings, it is meaningfully concluded that there was a team that could have effectively staged a strategic blockade against Spanish penetrations.
Spain vs. France Betting Picks
This semifinal presents a classic clash of Spanish flair against French resilience. The odds and performance favor Spain slightly, particularly given their form and offensive firepower. However, France’s defensive strength, particularly through Maignan’s goalkeeping, should not be underestimated.
Consider placing a safer bet on the under for total goals, given both teams’ recent defensive solidity. For those looking at moneyline bets, Spain appears to be a more favorable choice, especially with their offensive form. Premier betting sites are likely to adjust these odds as kickoff approaches, so keeping an eye on any shifts is advisable for bettors.
Score Prediction: Spain 2, France 1
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: July 7, 2024
Last updated: April 9, 2025