Paraguay vs. Brazil 6/28/24 – As the 2024 Copa America progresses, the upcoming clash between Paraguay and Brazil at Allegiant Stadium promises to be a pivotal encounter. With Paraguay’s record standing at 0-0-1 and Brazil’s at 0-1-0, both teams are poised to make significant moves in their group standings. This match is part of our 2024 Copa America daily free picks, offering insightful analysis into the dynamics of this South American rivalry.
Paraguay vs. Brazil 6/28/24
| When: | Friday, June 28, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Allegiant Stadium |
| TV: | — |
| Stream: | — |
https://twitter.com/Albirroja/status/1805789567213076687
The current betting odds reflect Brazil’s favoritism in this match-up, indicated by their -310 moneyline and -1.5 spread. Paraguay, despite being the underdog at +750, presents a challenging proposition for bettors, especially considering the high-risk, high-reward potential. With the total set at 2.5, the game is expected to be moderately scoring, aligning with Brazil’s offensive capabilities and Paraguay’s defensive vulnerabilities.
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +1.5 (-125) | 2.5 over (-130) | +750 |  |
| Brazil | -1.5 (-110) | 2.5 under (-130) | -310 | |
| ||||
Draw: +400
Rodrigo Morínigo GK vs. Alisson Becker GK
Rodrigo Morínigo on the part of Paraguay can be considered rather satisfactory, taking into consideration the pressure. In his last match, Morínigo made only one save and conceded two goals; because of the aggressive Brazilian style of play, his endurance will determine the favorable outcome. His endurance is going to be challenged by Brazil’s forwards, who have been merciless in their recent games.
On the other hand, Alisson Becker of Brazil has also played with a clean record in his last match, and this is due to his great skills in the rear guard lineup of Brazil. This means that Paraguay’s forwards will have a difficult time beating Brazil’s defense since the latter has his sizable presence.
Unveiling Paraguay’s Offense
Nevertheless, Paraguay failed to find victories within the recent games, however, goal attempts of Matías Espinoza, who scored shots at the gate, are signs of some potential. But their general failure to turn the chances into goals becomes a worry in front of a strong defensive side like Brazil. Thus, the absence of an offense might be disastrous in this intensely compulsive encounter.
Brazil’s Attacking Power: A Closer Look
This Brazil’s attacking trident, which includes Rodrygo and Lucas Paquetá, may twinkle yet but have been very pushy and proactive; they tried 11 shots in the last match. Their threat to the defenders will need them as they encounter a Paraguayan team that has been conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. This match would have a crucial moment if Brazil’s booming offensive press becomes a decisive factor.
Paraguay Betting Trends
Paraguay’s recent form has been underwhelming, with no wins in their last five matches against Brazil and consistent issues both offensively and defensively. Ranked 4th in Group D, their performance needs a significant boost to pose any real threat to Brazil. Their home game struggles, with only a 20% win rate, further highlight the uphill battle they face.
Brazil Betting Trends
Conversely, Brazil comes into the game as the top-ranked team in Group D, buoyed by their success in recent matches, where they have won four out of the last five encounters with Paraguay. With an average of 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 goals conceded per match, Brazil demonstrates both offensive efficiency and defensive solidity, particularly impressive in their away games, winning 70% of the time.
Paraguay vs. Brazil Betting Picks
Considering the comprehensive analysis and the stark contrasts in form and prowess, Brazil emerges as the more reliable pick for this match. Their balanced approach, combined with a robust defense and a dynamic attack, makes them the safer bet, especially considering Paraguay’s recent struggles.
In terms of specific bets, Brazil covering the -1.5 spread seems promising given their scoring average and Paraguay’s defensive issues. The under on total goals might also be a smart play, anticipating a controlled game by Brazil, leading to fewer overall goals. For those looking at premier casino sites, these insights could guide profitable betting strategies.
This predicted scoreline reflects Brazil’s dominance and Paraguay’s challenges, setting the stage for a match where Brazil consolidates its position as group leaders while Paraguay battles to find form.
Score Prediction: Brazil 2, Paraguay 0
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: June 25, 2024
Last updated: April 10, 2025