Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins 7/31/2023 – A thrilling clash between NL East rivals is on the horizon as the Miami Marlins (57-49) host the Philadelphia Phillies (56-49) at 6:40 PM ET. The stakes are high as both teams are closely matched in terms of records and are vying for a spot in the playoffs. The Phillies are coming off a 6-4 loss to the Pirates, with Andrew Vasquez taking the loss. Despite the defeat, Alec Bohm’s impressive performance with a home run and three RBIs stood out.
On the other hand, the Marlins secured an 8-6 victory against the Tigers, with Jean Segura leading the offense with a home run and an RBI. Jorge Lopez got the win on the mound, showcasing the team’s determination to continue their success. This is expected to be a high-scoring game as per the recent baseball betting odds.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins 7/31/2023
| When: | Tuesday, August 1, 6:40 PM EDT |
|---|---|
| Where: | loanDepot Park |
| TV: | ESP+ |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins 7/31/2023
| Team | RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -1.5 (+150) | 8 o (-110) | -106 |  |
| Marlins | +1.5 (-170) | 8 u (-110) | -14 | |
| ||||
Alec got some pop #RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/EKNcH0GHRY
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) July 30, 2023
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies enter the game as a tight favorite with moneyline odds of -114, while the Marlins are the underdog with odds of -106. On the mound, the Phillies will rely on Taijuan Walker (11-4, 4.06 ERA) to secure his 12th win of the season, while the Marlins will turn to Edward Cabrera (5-6, 4.74 ERA) to lead them to victory.
The Phillies have been successful in 58% of the 69 games they’ve played as favorites this season, showcasing their strength when entering a match with higher expectations. They have also won 58.7% of the games when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
Taijuan Walker – Phillies Probable Starter
Walker has been a crucial asset for the Phillies, boasting an impressive 11-4 record with a 4.06 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 113 2/3 innings pitched. In his last outing, he displayed his prowess by allowing only two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles. The right-hander will face the Marlins, who have struggled offensively, ranking 26th in the league with 436 runs and a .264 batting average. Walker’s ability to capitalize on the Marlins’ batting struggles will be crucial for the Phillies’ success in this matchup.
The Phillies possess a solid batting lineup, ranking 21st in MLB with 113 home runs and 13th with a .413 slugging percentage. With a .255 team batting average and a total of 470 runs scored this season, their offensive strength will be a crucial factor in the game.
Players to watch: Trea Turner SS (GP 103, AB 430, R 57, H 104, 2B 21, 3B 4, HR 10, RBI 34, TB 163, BB 30, SO 111, SB 21, AVG 0.242, OBP 0.294, SLG 0.379, OPS 0.673, WAR 1.1, Nick Castellanos RF (GP 103, AB 410, R 52, H 112, 2B 26, 3B 1, HR 14, RBI 60, TB 182, BB 25, SO 120, SB 6, AVG 0.273, OBP 0.316, SLG 0.444, OPS 0.76, WAR 1.3
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have displayed resilience when facing odds-on underdog status, winning in 44.2% of the 52 games where they were considered the underdogs. However, they will face a challenge against the Phillies as they aim to secure a victory despite being the underdogs.
Edward Cabrera – Marlins Probable Starter
Cabrera has shown promise as a starter for the Marlins, maintaining a 5-6 record with a 4.74 ERA and 90 strikeouts in 74 2/3 innings pitched. Despite a recent performance against the Tampa Bay Rays, where he allowed three earned runs in two innings, Cabrera’s potential for quality starts will be crucial for the Marlins’ success.
The 25-year-old will face a strong Phillies batting squad, who are hitting .255 as a unit and have recorded 113 home runs this season. Cabrera’s ability to keep the Phillies’ offense in check will be essential in the matchup.
Players to watch: Bryan De La Cruz LF (GP 102, AB 389, R 45, H 104, 2B 22, 3B 0, HR 14, RBI 57, TB 168, BB 28, SO 105, SB 3, AVG 0.267, OBP 0.313, SLG 0.432, OPS 0.745, WAR 0.6, Luis Arraez 2B (GP 100, AB 387, R 42, H 146, 2B 24, 3B 2, HR 3, RBI 51, TB 183, BB 31, SO 24, SB 1, AVG 0.377, OBP 0.426, SLG 0.473, OPS 0.899, WAR 4.2.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Betting Numbers
Trends
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games on the road.
Philadelphia are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami.
Philadelphia are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
Miami Marlins
Miami is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games at home.
Miami are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
Miami are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games against an opponent in the National League East Division.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Betting Picks
Based on the data and analysis, the Philadelphia Phillies have a slight advantage as the favorites, with Taijuan Walker’s strong pitching and the team’s impressive batting lineup. However, the Marlins have shown resilience and can capitalize on any weaknesses in the Phillies’ game. As the NL East rivals go head-to-head, the final score is likely to be close, with a potential outcome in favor of the Philadelphia Phillies. Take the Phillies to win with the best baseball betting picks on their side.
Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4.
