Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots 9/10/23 – Few matchups in sports betting capture the imagination between the Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots, with kickoff scheduled for Gillette Stadium on September 10, 2023, at 4:25 PM ET and broadcast by CBS and NFL Game Pass. Given both teams are at critical junctures of their seasons, let’s delve into data to provide you with informed picks.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots 9/10/23
| When: | Sunday, September 10, 2023 1:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Gillette Stadium |
| TV: | TV |
| Stream: | NFL+ |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -3.5 (-110) | 45 o (-107) | -186 |  |
| Patriots | +3.5 (-110) | 45 u (-113) | +166 | |
| ||||
6 days@DeVontaSmith_6 | #FlyEaglesFly pic.twitter.com/AAamtmZCxy
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) September 4, 2023
Tanner McKee
Tanner McKee of the Eagles has made his mark in the NFL by showing impressive statistics in just three games after amassing 453 yards through 72 completions at a 54.2% completion rate. While average yards per throw (6.3) and longest throw (35 yards) may not stand out as much, his decision-making stands out significantly. With only one touchdown thrown thus far and no interceptions recorded against him, McKee gives his team extra possessions, which could make or break their chances at victory or defeat in this NFL battleground. Additionally, his QB rating of 78.1 proves his solid and reliable performance.
However, McKee stands out as a quarterback to watch not solely due to numbers; rather it’s his intangibles as well. He has shown remarkable maturity for someone so inexperienced in NFL play; having been sacked six times suggests there may still be room for improvement from the offensive line. his ability to weather pressure situations makes him an invaluable contributor who immensely boosts his team.
Bailey Zappe
At the other extreme is Patriots quarterback Bailey Zappe. While Zappe is slightly more accurate than McKee with 30 of 51 completions for a completion rate of 58.8%, he trails behind in yardage gained, totalling only 253 in three appearances compared to McKee’s 457 total yards gained and one touchdown throw. Both QB ratings stand at an equally matched 78.3, making this duel one of the more evenly matched we’ve witnessed this season.
Zappe’s raw numbers may mirror McKee’s, but his performance must be assessed within his team context. Recent Patriots games indicate an ineffective rushing and receiving attack; unfortunately for Zappe, he does not receive as much help from his offense compared to McKee, placing additional pressure on him to perform at critical moments of the game.
NFL Odds: Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 ; O/U 45
Given Philadelphia’s recent form and Tanner McKee’s superior quarterback play relative to Bailey Zappe of the Patriots, it makes sense to favor them here. Not only can Philadelphia expect to win, but they should cover a 3.5-point spread as they have done so many times this season, with McKee being incredibly efficient in the pocket. Given neither quarterback has been particularly explosive, yet both defenses remain steady enough, the under-45 seems like the safest bet here.
Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends
Philadelphia are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games.
Philadelphia are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games.
Philadelphia are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against New England.
Eagles are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against New England.
Philadelphia are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games on the road.
New England Patriots Betting Trends
New England are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
Patriots are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games at home.
New England are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
New England are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference East division.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots Betting Picks
Given football betting trends, quarterback statistics and both teams’ current form, it seems reasonable to choose the Eagles as the safer pick in this matchup. Their impressive road record and historical advantage against New England make them favorites to cover the spread by -3.5. With both offenses experiencing recent struggles and various total-point trends emerging between both squads, it would likely be wiser to go with under 45 points instead of an over at odds of -107.
Score Prediction: Eagles 24, Patriots 17
