Why Washington Should be NFL Betting Favorites Not Arizona
Posted by: Mike Davis
The Arizona Cardinals are this year’s online NFL betting conundrum, not the Carolina Panthers. At first glance it may be difficult to understand how the reigning NFC champions are last in the NFC South, but a careful study of Carolina’s defenses will reveal that the secondary is crippling this team. The Cardinals on the other hand, have some of the best statistics in the entire NFL yet somehow find themselves at 4-6-1 and pretty far behind in the Wild Card race. Like the Panthers, who won the NFC South in 2015, the Cardinals are the reigning champions of their division, the NFC West. But at the start of the season, betting sportsbooks weren’t giving Arizona the best chances of a repeat in the West, and now it seems like the bookies knew what they were doing.
One of the most startling aspects of this team is how efficient they are on paper, but how ineffective they are at translating that statistical success into a winning record. For example, the Cardinals have the 9th best passing offense, the 9th best total offense, and are averaging 22.3 points per game – not the best average but more than enough to win football games. On defense they have the 2nd best passing offense, the best total defense in the entire NFL, and are giving up the 11th least amount of points. Yet somehow, despite these impressive figures, Arizona has a losing record and is quickly becoming an online NFL betting disappointment.
In Week 13 the Cardinals will have to face the 6-4-1 Washington Redskins. Will the NFL betting lines side with the winning team, or will they predict a turnaround for Arizona?
NFL Odds – Week 13 – Sunday, December 4th
Arizona Cardinals -3 (EV) 49 (-115) -147
Interestingly enough, the online NFL betting odds have decided to side with the team with the losing record. In reality, the favoring is very confusing, especially when comparing which teams the Redskins and Cardinals have beaten. Washington’s 6 wins includes victories over teams in the playoff race; the Ravens, the Packers, the Vikings, and the Giants. Arizona’s wins are against less impressive opponents; they beat Tampa Bay early in the season when the Bucs weren’t that great, and they also beat the 49ers, the Jets, and the 49ers again. Only one of those teams have a winning record, which makes the odds all that more questionable.
While the Cardinals have good stats on both sides of the ball, Washington’s offense is much better than their defense. The Redskins currently have the 2nd best passing offense, the 11th best rushing offense, the 2nd best total offense, and the 9th highest average for points scored per game. Defensively, the Redskins have the 16th best passing defense, everything else ranks below 20th. But judging from both teams’ track record, the Redskins should come out on top this Sunday.