Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs 11/4/24 – Fans are looking forward to the Monday night football picks game because the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4) are clashing with the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs (7-0) on November 4, 2024, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium and the time for the kick-off is set for 8:15 PM ET. It is Week 9 of the NFL season, and this match-up is going to be one of the biggest highlights of the week as this would be a contest between one side looking to get on a winning streak and one team that desires to go through all their games unblemished. The game has been broadcast on ESPN/ABC and the potency of the build-up along with the occasion has been amazing like always.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs 11/4/24
| When: | Monday, November 4, 2024 at 8:15 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium |
| TV: | ESPN/ABC |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | +8.5 (-110) | Over 45.5 (-110) | +340 |  |
| Chiefs | -8.5 (-110) | Under 45.5 (-110) | -450 | |
| ||||
A beautiful day to Bake 👨🍳#WeAreTheKrewe pic.twitter.com/qaiZaTXM2z
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) November 1, 2024
The Buccaneers are significant underdogs with a spread of +8.5 in this game, as they have had an inconsistent season compared to the undefeated season of the chiefs. The total line is set at 45.5. Because of Tampa Bay’s recent trend in high-scoring games, one might wager on the over. However, despite their tough road, the Bucs have been able to cover against the Kansas City Spread in previous encounters, so there is value backing the points.
Baker Mayfield QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB
Baker Mayfield indeed had views swing in both directions during his year with the Buccaneers as he completed 71.1 % of the passes and recorded 2,189 passing yards through 8 games. It is certainly remarkable that he managed to throw 21 touchdowns, but throwing 9 interceptions and being sacked 20 times do raise some red flags. It is important for Buccaneers to have a glimpse of Mayfield’s performance against Chiefs, who have a unique blend of an aggressive pass rush strategy with balanced coverage mechanics.
On the other hand, whilst Mahomes’ team remains undefeated and once again leads the pack, things seem easy on the surface only. His completion percentage of 68.4, slightly lower than his career statistic, saw Mahomes throw 9 interceptions and the same number of touchdowns this season. The upcoming match will be less about Mahomes trying to dominate and more about game management to overcome a Buccaneers defence that, though inconsistent at the best of times, has been able to test the resilience of many a top tier quarterback.
Unleashing Tampa’s Potential
Running back Bucky Irving has become an asset for the Buccaneers’ offensive scheme with 5.2 yards a carry on average. Bucky’s ability to break loose has been crucial, and with Chris Godwin becoming a primary threat with 576 yards and 5 touchdowns, it looks like Tampa Bay has the players to test the Chiefs’ defense. Their ability to do this will depend on the center of the field seeking areas and controlling the clock to keep Mahomes on the bench.
Chiefs’ Offensive Playmakers
Kansas City’s offensive plan focuses on balance with Mahomes throwing the ball and Kareem Hunt rushing the ball. Travis Kelce has not had an exceptional season by any means, but he is still an important check down for Mahomes, especially on 3rd down. The Chiefs ought to be able to run the ball early to lessen the Bucs’ pass rush and try to create favorable third-down chances.
Trends
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends
Tampa Bay are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games.
Tampa Bay are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
Tampa Bay are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Kansas City.
Bucs are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against Kansas City.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
Kansas City are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games.
Kansas City are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
Kansas City are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.
Chiefs are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference..
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Prediction
The Chiefs are clear favorites, but the Buccaneers have historically kept it close against Kansas City, which makes taking Tampa Bay +8.5 a tempting bet. However, the Chiefs’ unbeaten streak and tactical prowess on both sides of the ball should not be underestimated. Expect a hard-fought game with the Chiefs likely securing another victory but consider the Buccaneers to cover the spread in a high-scoring affair.
Given the trends and offensive capabilities of both teams, the over on 45.5 seems promising. Bettors should also keep an eye on prop bets involving key players like Godwin and Kelce, who could have breakout performances based on the game’s dynamics. Premier betting websites suggest this approach as a solid strategy, providing opportunities for rewarding payouts.
Score Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 31, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24..
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: November 1, 2024
Last updated: March 23, 2025