Rodgers Won Super Bowl at AT&T, Can he Win this Sunday?
Posted by: Mike Davis
With their defiant victory over the New York Giants at cold and frigid Lambeau Field, the Green Bay Packers have advanced to the NFC’s online NFL betting divisional round. Although their offense started slow, the Packers’ 38-13 finish over the NFC’s 5th seed proved exactly why Green Bay is attracting more sportsbook action for Super Bowl predictions than any other team in the playoffs; the Packers are red hot. But will the odds favor the Packers against the NFC’s top seed?
NFL ODDS – NFC DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS – Sunday, January 15th (Full Limits Available on Game Day)
Green Bay Packers +4 (-110) 51½ (-110) +175
It seems that the sportsbook odds are predicting that the Cowboys will in fact be able to stop the Packers’ momentum. In order to do so Dallas will have to focus on three things; establishing the run, maintaining ball possession, and somehow finding a way to cool off Aaron Rodgers.
Considering that Dallas has a running back that is in both Rookie of the Year and MVP discussions, the Cowboys should have little difficulty establishing the run this upcoming Sunday. However, the Packers finished the season as the 8th best defense against the run and are coming off a game in which they only allowed 70 rushing yards. Granted, since Dallas finished the season with the NFL’s 2nd best rushing offense while New York ranked 29th, the Giants and Cowboys running game are practically incomparable. Additionally, the Cowboys gained 191 yards on the ground against the Packers the first time they faced each other – 157 of which were earned by Elliot.
Dallas might not have a hard time establishing the run this Sunday, but they might find it a little difficult to maintain ball possession, given how adept the Packers are at creating takeaways. Since the Packers began their 7-game win streak 8 weeks ago, they have been forcing turnovers in every single game, and that includes 4 games in which they forced more than 1 turnover. Also, during that tenure Green Bay has only failed to win the turnover ratio once, in their contest against the Texans in which both teams committed a turnover. Bottom line, the sportsbooks may have the Cowboys pegged as winners over the Packers but if the Cowboys want to continue their journey to the Super Bowl they better keep ball possession in mind around Green Bay’s tenacious defenders.
Lastly, Aaron Rodgers, potential MVP candidate and the hottest player in the NFL, will play a decisive role this Sunday. Better yet, how much the Cowboys defense will be able to slowdown a player who has thrown for 19 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in his last 7 games will ultimately determine who advances to the conference matchup. Before this weekend’s contest, many NFL analysts stated that the Giants had the hottest defense in the NFL. Well against the best Rodgers put up a passer rating of 125.2, imagine how well the two-time MVP well fare against a secondary that ranked 26th against the pass. The problem with Rodgers is that he can make any throw on ay down. If you blitz him you risk having him escape the pocket – where he is inarguably more dangerous. If you try to contain him he’ll just fit balls through impossibly small windows. And if you give him the ball with seconds on the clock, he’ll beat with you an immaculate Hail Mary. Right now, the Cowboys trying to stop Rodgers in the very same stadium in which he won the Super Bowl back in 2011 seems as probable as the Browns going 16-0 next season.