New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs 10/7/24 – With Week 5 of the NFL regular season approaching, the Kansas City Chiefs will host the New Orleans Saints at the GEHA Field in Arrowhead, Kansas City. One would have to put this contest against the backdrop of the Saints fighting their way back into form, as the Chiefs are in fine fettle. This game stands out as one of the priorities for fans and gamblers who are currently searching online betting platforms for statistics and the best odds.
New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs 10/7/24
| When: | Monday, October 7, 2024, at 8:15 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | +7.5 (-120) | 45 over (-120) | +278 |  |
| Chiefs | -7.5 (-120) | 45 under (-120) | -355 | |
| ||||
https://twitter.com/SaintsPod/status/1841985470512734669
The betting lines highlight the Chiefs as significant favorites with a -355 on the moneyline and a 7.5-point advantage on the spread, reflecting their unbeaten run. Meanwhile, the Saints are underdogs but have a history of covering the spread, evidenced by their 5-1 ATS record in recent games. The total set at 45 points, with the odds favoring the over for the Saints and the under for the Chiefs, offers a window into expected game dynamics, potentially leaning towards a high-scoring affair.
Derek Carr QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB
Derek Carr’s season has been a clinic on accurate throws. Carr has been key to the Saints navigating the choppy waters with a 72% completion percentage, 824 yards, and 6 touchdowns. His passer rating of 103.9 emphasizes his efficiency and execution capabilities in the heat of action. Nevertheless, his three interceptions and being taken down for 18 yards into sacks could prove a decisive factor in this contest, especially with the Chiefs’ high-pressure defense.
On the other hand, with a somewhat lower passer rating than his, 89.7, Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs continues to show why he is among the top quarterbacks in the realm, which is the largest top-tied point of the day. Mahomes has received the ball for 904 yards, scored six touchdown passes, knee to knee with Carr, but has five interceptions to Carr’s none. His mobility and instinct to make plays will be very important, particularly in making passes over the Saints’ aggressive defensive backfield.
Ground and Air Assault
Chris Olave and Alvin Kamara have been key components of the Saints’ offense this year. Kamara has 362 rushing yards with five touchdowns and is always a threat, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. His productivity in simple third-down and touchdown situations is necessary for the Saints’ scoring drives. Olave, on the other end, has caught 265 yards and a touchdown, giving Carr an option to pass the ball over the defense. With 13.3 yards per reception, he can make big plays, which will be needed to breach the sturdy defense of the Chiefs.
Chiefs’ Tactical Play
While the Chiefs’ rushing game appears less dominant, Carson Steele’s contributions cannot be overlooked. With 105 rushing yards and vital first downs, Steele’s performance could tip the scales in tighter game situations. Travis Kelce, although not finding the end zone yet, has amassed 158 receiving yards. His experience and ability to pull in crucial catches make him a formidable force for the Chiefs’ aerial attack. The duo’s ability to exploit gaps in the Saints’ defense could be a deciding factor in maintaining the Chiefs’ unbeaten streak.
Trends
New Orleans Saints Betting Trends
New Orleans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’ last 5 games.
New Orleans are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.
New Orleans are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Kansas City.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans’ last 7 games on the road.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
Kansas City are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Kansas City’s last 20 games.
Kansas City are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games against New Orleans.
Kansas City are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Prediction
Looking at the statistics and forecasts, it is safe to predict that the Chiefs will win again shortly. But the Saints have a way of covering, and that is where the betting value is. Given the teams’ offensive firepower, putting money on over 45 points is worth considering. The New Orleans Saints have continued to cover the spread and may, therefore, be a smart decision once again.
As for the prop bets and direct picks, stick with the Chiefs in the straight win market but back the Saints to cover the spread. For NFL winning picks, focus on player props such as Carr’s passing yards and Kamara scoring a touchdown.
Score Prediction: Chiefs 28, Saints 23.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: October 4, 2024
Last updated: March 26, 2025