Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons 9/22/24 – Week 3 in the National Football League is upon us, and the Kansas City Chiefs (2-0,) who are yet to lose, will take on the Atlanta Falcons (1-1) in what promises to be an interesting game at the Mercedes-Benz stadium. The Match-up has a title contender on one end and the other a team that is trying to get some steps early in the season. It looks even better, especially since there is always a football expert free prediction, which will help everyone to decide which team to bet on on that definite day.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons 9/22/24
| When: | Sunday, September 22, 2024 at 8:20 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | Mercedes-Benz Stadium |
| TV: | NBC |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -3.5 (-120) | 50 over (-120) | -180 |  |
| Falcons | +3.5 (-120) | 50 under (-120) | +152 | |
| ||||
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 20, 2024
The Chiefs come into the game favored on all fronts, with a -3.5 point spread suggesting they’re expected to win by more than a field goal. The total over/under sits at 50 points, indicating an anticipation of high offensive output, which is typical of games involving a high-caliber quarterback like Patrick Mahomes.
Patrick Mahomes QB vs. Kirk Cousins QB
Patrick Mahomes has performed very well since the beginning of the season, completing 71.7% of his passes for 442 yards in the first two games. However, although he committed 3 turnovers in passing, his playmaking is so unique that it keeps the Chiefs one of the most dangerous teams attacks in the league. While his feet and arm can extend all sorts of plays and therefore make him a constant threat, his recent trend of forcing plays and turning the ball over could be a weakness the Falcons’ defense could exploit.
At the other end, Kirk Cousins has been active in controlling the Falcons’ offense with a rate of 65.5% and 396 yards through passing. His performance has not been overstated but rather fair, facilitating the ball action well, but far from if it’s that Mahomes brought dynamism into games. Cousins will have to brace his experience and quick release to less severity of the Chiefs’ pass rushers early on and get his feet into the game.
Chiefs on the Charge: Rushing and Receiving Insights
The Chiefs’ offensive strategy this season has seen a balanced approach with Carson Steele trying to establish the run, albeit with limited success, averaging just 3 yards per carry. More impactful has been wide receiver Rashee Rice, who has racked up 178 receiving yards on 12 receptions. Rice’s ability to turn short catches into big gains has been crucial for the Chiefs, making him a key player to watch as he matches up against the Falcons’ secondary.
Falcons’ Flight: Ground and Air Offensive Dynamics
Conversely, the Falcons have found more ground success with Bijan Robinson, who has dashed for 165 yards at an impressive clip of 5.2 yards per carry. His ability to break tackles and gain yards after contact will be vital against a stout Chiefs defensive line. In the air, Darnell Mooney has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 25.8 yards per reception. His deep-threat capability could be a game-changer, providing Cousins with a reliable target for stretching the field.
Trends
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
Kansas City are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games.
Kansas City are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games.
Chiefs are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Atlanta.
Kansas City are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against Atlanta.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends
Atlanta are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 9 games.
Atlanta are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games against Kansas City.
Atlanta are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games at home.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Prediction
Taking into account the detailed breakdown of the statistics as well as the different betting patterns, the Chiefs are considered the likely winners, based on how they have been playing in their last games and how they have fared in the matchups. They have what it takes to do well all the time; therefore, combined with the inability of Atlanta to cover the spread at home, this gives Kansas City a favorable outlook in this game.
If you decide to place your bets, the Chiefs’ money line is a good choice whether as a kicker or as a main bet, but over on total points for both teams might pay off better. As for extra intricate bets, player props on how a key player like Rashee Rice performs will be wise. Look at the online top betting sites for the best odds and prop bet options.
Score Prediction: Chiefs 31, Falcons 24.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: September 19, 2024
Last updated: March 27, 2025