Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans 9/29/24 – As the NFL Week 4 commences, the clash between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans at the NRG Stadium is expected to explore the football industry. The Jaguars would not want to face a fourth consecutive loss, while the Texans would wish to extend this early-season form. This match will be clearly one of the defining moments of the season in its first quarter. This particular game is not just a normal matchup; rather, this particular game has been marked as an NFL Week 4 top prediction, focusing on the need for the Jaguars to recover against the touring Texans this time.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans 9/29/24
| When: | Sunday, September 29, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Where: | NRG Stadium |
| TV: | CBS |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | +3.5 (-120) | 47 over (-120) | +158 |  |
| Texans | -3.5 (-120) | 47 under (-120) | -190 | |
| ||||
Onward!#JAXvsHOU | #DUUUVAL pic.twitter.com/HcPBjZ9Ouj
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) September 25, 2024
The betting odds reflect a tight contest with the Houston Texans favored at home. The spread sits at -3.5, indicating that oddsmakers expect a close game, likely decided by a single possession. The total over/under at 47 points suggests expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair, aligning with both teams’ recent performances.
Trevor Lawrence QB vs. C.J. Stroud QB
Trevor Lawrence has managed to stay calm under pressure and find ways to help his team win even when they started on a 0-3 record. However, in three games, he has this passing yard of 560 yards and a passer rating of 75.1, which appeared modest due to continuous poor sacks and a poor Jaguars offense. In terms of throwing challenges, he will need to be adept at looking for rhythm in the pocket and hitting deeper throws against a tough Texans defense.
On the other end of the spectrum, it is C.J. Stroud of the Texans who has shocked everyone this season with a 67.7 completion percentage and 93.4 passer rating. His passing RPC stands at 709 yards, and being in the right place at the right time has certainly helped Houston a lot. As for Stroud, he will be looking forward to this game because it’s against a thumping Jaguars defensive team that wants to boast and show what they are made of.
Jacksonville’s Offensive Playbook
Jacksonville’s running back, Travis Etienne Jr., is the light in the dark corner of their crisis. 164 rushing yards and averaging 4.6 yards per carry is good, but Etienne’s dynamic running style might just be what the Jaguars have been looking for. Also emerging as a dependable option was tight end Brian Thomas Jr., who recorded 189 receiving yards. He can be very important in terms of the Texan defense and opening windows for Jacksonville’s offense.
Houston’s Balanced Offense
Houston’s offensive strategy has seen a balanced approach with Cam Akers and wide receiver Nico Collins playing pivotal roles. Although Akers has been limited to 53 rushing yards, Collins has excelled with 338 receiving yards, highlighting his significance in the Texans’ passing game. His ability to break tackles and gain substantial after-catch yards will be crucial against Jacksonville’s defensive schemes.
Trends
Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends
Jacksonville are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 7 games.
Jacksonville are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games.
Jaguars are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games against Houston.
Jacksonville are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games against Houston.
Houston Texans Betting Trends
Houston are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston’s last 12 games against Jacksonville.
Houston are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville.
Houston are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans Betting Prediction
Betting trends reveal that the Texans should take advantage of the current market position and home-field advantage versus the Jaguars, who have faltered on the field and tend to falter against the spread. It appears most likely that Houston’s defense and ground game will win the game and cover -3.5 in the spread on the Texans.
For bettors, the smart play includes backing the Texans to cover and also taking the under on the total points. There may be more value rewards on prop bets for targeted players such as Nico Collins. This can be done effectively via a top online sportsbook.
Score Prediction: Texans 27, Jaguars 17.
Hilbert Mayer
Sports Writer
Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.
Published on: September 26, 2024
Last updated: March 27, 2025