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Eagles vs. Packers NFL Week 4 Spread & Game Analysis

Posted by: Anthony Yaylor
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers NFL betting odds and game preview

With the firing of head coach Mike McCarthy last December long overdue change finally arrived in Green Bay. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers may or may not have had a role in McCarthy’s departure. Regardless the Packers had grown quite stale at the end of his regime. Namely new coach Matt LaFleur has proven to be the breath of fresh air needed for a renaissance. By contrast, the Eagles have stumbled out of the gate. Philadelphia is yet to get the money for betting on NFL games. In the last two weeks, the Eagles have suffered tough close call losses.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers

When: Thursday, September 26, 8:20 p.m. ET
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV: FOX
Stream: NFL Game Plan

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Odds

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Eagles +4½ (-105) 45 (-110) +184
Packers -4½ (-115) 45 (-110) -220
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Philadelphia Eagles

Now the Eagles are 1-2 straight up, 0-3 against the spread and 2-1 over the total. Philadelphia is coming off a 27-24 home loss to the Lions. NFL Metrics have the Eagles ranked 13th for total offense and 24th for points allowed. Following their Super Bowl surprise of two seasons ago the Eagles have returned to their inconsistent ways. Gone is championship-winning quarterback Nick Foles. Carson Wentz has been solid though unspectacular. Of great concern is the lack of consistent defense. If the Eagles are to be a serious contender that is going to have to change.

Players to Watch: QB Carson Wentz (61% COMP, 803 YDS, 6.8 AVG, 6 TD, 2 INT, 7 SACKS, 91.2 RTG), RB Miles Sanders (34 RSH, 106 YDS, 3.1 YPC, 0 TD, 6 REC, 84 YDS, 14.0 YPC, 0 TD), TE Zach Ertz (17 REC, 190 YDS, 11.2 YPC, 0 TD), WR Nelson Agholor (18 REC, 168 YDS, 9.3 YPC, 3 TD), PK Jake Elliott (4-4 FG, 6-6 XP),

Green Bay Packers

Fashion the great start for the Packers and new head coach Matt LaFleur. Green Bay is 3-0 both straight up and against the spread with 1-2 under the total. Last week was a 27-16 win and payout over the Denver Broncos. Despite the hot start, the Packers have work to do. Green Bay ranks 28th in the NFL for total offense and 23rd for scoring. By contrast, the defense has been an asset. Green Bay ranks second in the NFL for points allowed. It follows that Rodgers has been good enough to overcome the offensive woes.

Players to Watch: QB Aaron Rodgers (61% COMP, 647 YDS, 7.0 AVG, 4 TD, 0 INT, 7 SACK, 96.5 RTG), RB Aaron Jones (46 RSH, 174 YDS, 3.8 YPC, 3 TD), Davante Adams (15 REC, 198 YDS, 13.2 AVG, 0 TD), WR Marquez Valdes Scantling (13 REC, 170 YDS, 13.1 YPC, 1 TD), LB Preston Smith (4.5 SACKS, 13 TACKLES), PK Mason Crosby (3-4 FG, 7-7 XP)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Numbers

Trends

Philadelphia Eagles

5-3 ATS in their last 8 away games
1-5-1 under the total on the road
3-6 with the line at NFC North teams
6-2-1 over the total when visiting NFC North opponents
1-5 on the board against the Packers
2-10 under the total in their series with Green Bay

Green Bay Packers

5-3 ATS in their last 8 games at Lambeau Field
1-4 under the total at home
2-1 with the odds at home against the Eagles
1-4 under the total when hosting Philadelphia
7-4-1 with the odds at home against NFC East teams
2-5 under the total when hosting NFC East opponents

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Picks

Starting with their good sportsbook value at Lambeau Field do the Packers have an advantage. In view of the Eagles, inconsistent defense Green Bay should get their share of points. As mentioned earlier the Packers have been the superior value in this series.

Score Prediction: Green Bay Packers 27, Philadelphia Eagles 17