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Chiefs vs. Jaguars 2019 NFL Week 1 Betting Odds, Trends & Predictions

Posted by: Mike Davis
Kansas City Chiefs Vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL betting odds, picks and game preview

At the onset of the NFL season, few teams are getting as much love as the Chiefs. Led by 2018 NFL Most Valuable Player Patrick Mahomes Kansas City is a top tier favorite. Balanced against that is the fear amongst contrarian gamblers that the Chiefs may not bring full value for betting on NFL games. Fears that the public may bet the Chiefs into overlay status could prove potentially legitimate. As an example of that are the Jaguars. After nearly winning the AFC championship in 2017 Jacksonville took a major step back in 2018.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

When: Sunday, September 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Where: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
TV: CBS
Stream: NFL Game Pass
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Odds
Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Chiefs -3½ (-104) 52 (-109) -185
Jaguars +3½ (-116) 52 (-111) +160
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Kansas City Chiefs

Andy Reid has proven to be the perfect fit as coach of the Chiefs. Since taking over in 2013 Reid has led Kansas City to the playoffs five times. Last year the Chiefs suffered a painful 37-31 home loss in the AFC Championship game to New England. But for an offsides call that negated a late interception the Chiefs would have made it to the Super Bowl. Now Steve Spagnola arrives as new defensive coordinator. The defense was the one glaring weakness on the Chiefs last year. Mahomes was a sensation in his first year as starting quarterback.

Players to Watch: QB Patrick Mahomes (5097 YDS, 113.8 RTG, 66% COMP, 50 TD, 12 INT), RB Darwin Thompson (Rookie), RB Damian Williams (256 YDS, 5.1 YPC, 4 TD, 23 REC, 160 YDS, 2 TD), WR Tyreek Hill (87 REC, 1479 YDS, 17.0 YPC, 12 TD), WR Sammy Watkins (440 REC, 519 YDS, 13.0 YPC, 3 TD) TE Travis Kelce (103 REC, 1336 YDS, 13.0 YPC, 10 TD), DT Chris Jones (15.5 SACK), PK Harrison Butler (24/27 FG, 65-69 XP)

Jacksonville Jaguars

Hopes were high last year in Jacksonville following a late close call loss at New England in the 2017 AFC championship game. However, the Jaguars fell to 5-11 on the season and covered just six games. Owner Shad Khan said that the team immediately set its sights on acquiring Nick Foles as the quarterback in the offseason. Of course, Foles is the Super Bowl hero of the Philadelphia Eagles. Offensively the Jaguars scored only 15 points per game. Should Foles get things jump-started the Jaguars could quickly get back in the mix of the weak AFC South.

Players to Watch: QB Nick Foles (72.3% COMP, 1413 YDS, 7 TD, 4 INT, 96.0 RTG), RB Leonard Fournette (439 YDS, 3.3 YPC, 5 TD, 22 REC, 185 YDS, 8.4 AVG), WR Dede Westbrook (66 REC, 717 YDS, 10.9 AVG, 5 TD), TE Chris Conley (32 REC 334 YDS, 10.4 AVG, 5 TD), DE Calais Campbell (10.5 SACK), PK Josh Lambo (19/21 FG, 19/20 XP),

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Numbers

Trends

Kansas City Chiefs

2-5 ATS as a road chalk
6-2 over the total laying points on the road
10-3 ATS in road games against the AFC South
6-4 over the total in away matchups at AFC South teams
4-2 ATS against Jacksonville
2-4 under the total in matchups with the Jaguars

Jacksonville Jaguars

3-3-1 ATS as a home dog
5-3 over the total getting points at home
2-8 ATS in home matchups against the AFC West
2-4 under the total at TIAA Bank Field vs AFC West teams
1-3-1 ATS at home against Kansas City
2-4 under the total at TIAA Bank Field against

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Picks

In this situation, Jacksonville will get some love with the odds as a potentially live home dog. By contrast, the Chiefs are more proven with more weaponry than the Jags. Look for that improved Kansas City defense to be the difference.

Score Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 27, Jacksonville Jaguars 17