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Bengals vs. Steelers NFL Week 4 Spread/Over/Under Betting Picks

Posted by: Charlie Smith
Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Betting odds and game preview

“Welcome to the NFL.” That is usually the most unwelcoming phrase offered to new members of the National Football League. Namely that has definitely been the case for new Cincinnati head coach Zac Taylor. The rookie mentor took over one of the worst rosters in Pro football betting. Taylor and the Bengals are still searching for their first win of the season. By contrast expectations are always high in the city of Pittsburgh. With the injury to star quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and a winless start the Steelers are in trouble. It’s looking like a lost season for both franchises.

Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

When: Sunday, September 30, 8:15 p.m. ET
Where: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
TV: ESPN
Stream: NFL Game Plan

Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Odds

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Bengals +4 (-105) 43½ (-115) +180
Steelers -4 (-115) 43½ (-105) -215
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Cincinnati Bengals

Last week the Bengals lost a winnable game at Buffalo 21-17. Cincinnati is now 0-3 straight up but 2-1 with the odds. Cincy has gone under the total two times. NFL metrics go a long way to explaining the Bengals dilemma. Cincinnati is 18th for total offense and 25th for scoring. Along the same lines the Bengals defense ranks 27th in the league for both yards and points allowed. Marvin Lewis did about as well as any head coach could for the Cincinnati franchise. However, he was clearly out of answers. Taylor was left holding an empty bag.

Players to Watch: QB Andy Dalton (63% COMP, 978 YDS, 7.6 AVG, 5 TD, 3 INT, 11 SACK, 89.2 RTG), RB Joe Mixon (32 RSH, 88 YDS, 2.8 YPC, 0 TD, 7 REC, 51 YDS, 7.3 YPC, 1 TD), WR John Ross II (13 REC, 292 YDS, 22.5 YPC, 3 TD), WR Tyler Boyd (24 REC, 249 YDS, 10.4 YPC, 0 TD), DE Sam Hubbard (21 TACKLES, 2.5 SACKS), PK Randy Bullock (4-6, 6-6 XP)

Pittsburgh Steelers

Now Pittsburgh is 0-3 straight up, 1-2 vs. the odds, and 1-2 under the total. Last week was a 24-20 loss at San Francisco. Pittsburgh ranks 30th for total offense and 28th for scoring. Of great concern is a Steel Curtain defense that has gone to rust. To illuminate, the Steelers rank 29th for yards allowed and 28th for points permitted. Pittsburgh fans are increasingly fed up with head coach Mike Tomlin. But the Rooney family doesn’t fire coaches. They have only had three since 1969. How this will play out is one of the lead stories this NFL season.

Players to Watch: QB Mason Rudolph (65% COMP, 286 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT, 86.0 RTG), RB James Conner (34 RSH, 97 YDS, 2.9 YPC, 1 TD, 11 REC, 70 YDS, 6.4 YPC, 0 TD), WR JuJu Smith Schuster (14 REC, 243 YDS, 17.4 AVG,1 TD), TE Vance McDonald (10 REC, 88 YDS, 8.8 YPC, 2 TD), PK Chris Boswell (5-5 FG, 4-4 XP)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Numbers

Trends

Cincinnati Bengals

10-3 ATS in their last 13 games on the road
1-4-1 under the total away from home
9-3 with the odds at AFC North opponents
3-7-1 under the total at the AFC North
3-7-1 on the board against the Steelers
3-7 under the total in their series with Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-3 ATS in their last 7 games at Heinz Field
8-3 over the total when playing at home
8-4 with the odds at home against the Bengals
2-8 under the total when hosting Cincinnati
2-5-1 with the line at home against AFC North rivals
6-2 over the total at Heinz Field vs. the AFC North

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Picks

In this situation the Bengals could bring legal betting unexpected value. As was previously noted they have shown ability to get the money on the road. And the Pittsburgh defense should leave the back door open.

Score Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals 21, Pittsburgh Steelers 20