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Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints 11/10/2019 Previews, Spread and Picks

Posted by: Hilbert Mayer
Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints 11-10-2019 Previews, Spread and Picks

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints 11/10/2019 – The Atlanta Falcons (1-7) are raking their claws on the New Orleans Saints (7-1). It’s a leaderboard versus cellar-dweller game, and NFL line picks Vegas to have a ready prediction. The Saints have too many advantages over the Falcons, but the result is still up in the air- at least until the final buzzer!

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints 11/10/2019

When: Sunday, November 10, 1:00 PM ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans
TV: FOX
Stream: NFL Live Stream

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints 11/10/2019

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Falcons +13 (-110) 50.5 o (-110) +505
Saints -13 (-110) 50.5 u (-110) -769
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Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons suffered a defeat from their previous matchup versus the Seattle Seahawks. The 27-20 scoreboard was indicative of a well-fought battle, with the Falcons just coming up short in terms of scoring capability. QB Matt Schaub contributed 39/52 with an impressive 460 air yards. He sealed the deal with a TD and an interception. Devonta Freeman also attempted a TD, but he didn’t get it via the rush. He held on to the ball 13 times, running for 39 yards. Julio Jones received the ball 10 times, bringing in a big 152 yards for the team. 

The Falcons had above average stats if based on the leading stat makers. What’s curious, however, is that they only ran for 17 out of 71 plays. It seems the backbone of their yardage-gaining machine was on throws rather than rushes. The team gained a total of 510 yards versus the opponent’s 322 yards. Despite this surprisingly wide gap, the Falcons still lost when it came to scoring attempts.

For one thing, their opponent actually made 33 rush attempts. The weakness of the Falcons is thus exposed: they’re good on covering yards and throw tactics, but they’re weak on rushing and defending against rushing as well. They need to mitigate this weakness to get a better win-loss record.

Players to watch:

M. Ryan QB 7 GP 202 CMP 285 ATT 70.9 CMP% 2170 YDS 7.6 AVG 319.1 YDS/G 54 LNG 15 TD 8 INT 19 SACK 142 SYL 58.5 QBR 98.7 RTG;  D. Freeman RB 8 GP 97 ATT 333 YDS 3.4 AVG 28 LNG 3 BIG 0 TDS 41.6 YDS/G 2 FUM 1 LST 18 FD ; I. Smith RB 7 GP 22 ATT 106 YDS 4.8 AVG 28 LNG 1 BIG 1 TDS 15.1 YDS/G 0 FUM 0 LST 10 FD   ; J. Jones WR 8 GP 50 REC 74 TGTS 712 YDS 14.2 AVG 4 TD 54 LNG 11 BIG 89 YDS/G 1 FUM 0 LST 182 YAC 39 FD ; A. Hooper TE 8 GP 52 REC 62 TGTS 591 YDS 11.4 AVG 5 TD 35 LNG 6 BIG 73.9 YDS/G 0 FUM 0 LST 255 YAC 30 FD

New Orleans Saints

The Saints are heavily favored to win this matchup, and it’s no surprise as to why. With their 7-1 win-loss record, the Saints are on target for the finals as one of NFL’s top-tier teams. For another, they’ve just completed an ownage of a matchup versus the Arizona Cardinals with a 31-9 scoreboard. 

Stats-wise, the players are obviously top-tier performance. QB Drew Brees pumped in 34/43 with 373 air yards. He chucked in 3 TDs and an interception. Latavius Murray scored a rushing touchdown in addition to his 102-yardage gain. He carried the ball 21 times. Michael Thomas was all over the place, catching the ball 11 times and adding 112 yards.

The Saints didn’t just outscore their previous opponent- they also shut down their offense completely. The Saints played a very tight defense, allowing the opponent only 56% throw completion rate and 11 rush attempts.

With this kind of performance, it won’t be surprising if the Saints emerge as this season’s champion.

Players to watch:

T. Bridgewater QB 7 GP 132 CMP 195 ATT 67.7 CMP% 1370 YDS 7 AVG 201 YDS/G 45 LNG 9 TD 2 INT 11 SACK 86 SYL 45.3 QBR 98.9 RTG;  A. Kamara RB 6 GP 86 ATT 373 YDS 4.3 AVG 28 LNG 2 BIG 1 TDS 62.2 YDS/G 2 FUM 0 LST 18 FD ; L. Murray RB 8 GP 80 ATT 359 YDS 4.5 AVG 30 LNG 2 BIG 4 TDS 44.9 YDS/G 0 FUM 0 LST 19 FD   ; M. Thomas WR 8 GP 73 REC 89 TGTS 875 YDS 12 AVG 4 TD 42 LNG 9 BIG 109.4 YDS/G 0 FUM 0 LST 307 YAC 45 FD ; T. Ginn Jr. WR 8 GP 20 REC 33 TGTS 296 YDS 14.8 AVG 1 TD 45 LNG 5 BIG 37 YDS/G 0 FUM 0 LST 26 YAC 12 FD

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Betting Numbers

Trends

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
Falcons are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games.
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against New Orleans.
Atlanta is 7-13 SU in their last 20 games against New Orleans.
Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.
Saints are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.
New Orleans is 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home.
New Orleans is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games this season.

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Betting Picks

NFL betting lines are pushing for an estimated score of 8.1 against 42.9 It’s a resounding consensus towards a New Orleans win. The score will cover the spread, with the total pushing through.