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Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF Betting Picks

Posted by: Charlie Smith
Virginia Cavaliers Vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF Betting odds and game preview

Once upon a time, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish would be insulted at the thought of a moral victory. That is no longer the case as times have changed. Notre Dame posted a 23-17 loss but cover at Georgia last week. Indeed, the Irish proved to be much better than the 15.5-point betting on college football spread. The Fighting Irish has the ball at game’s end. This week comes to the challenge of avoiding a letdown. Notre Dame will be hosting a Virginia team that is one of the most improved programs in the nation.

Virginia Cavaliers Vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

When: Saturday, September 28, 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
TV: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports

Virginia Cavaliers Vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Odds

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Virginia +12½ (-110) 49 (-110) +380
Notre Dame -12½ (-110) 49 (-110) -475
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Virginia Cavaliers

Last week Virginia scored a 28-17 home win over Old Dominion as 27-point overlays. UVA trailed much of the game but did prevail in the end. Perhaps they were looking ahead to this week’s matchup under the Golden Dome. Overall, Virginia ranks 41st for scoring offense. Most impressive is a defense that ranks 14th in the nation. Head coach Bronco Mendenhall has impressed all with the methodical build of this program. In sum, the Cavaliers are tougher, deeper and more fundamentally sound. The soft country club atmosphere of the past is long gone thanks to Mendenhall.

Players to Watch: QB Bryce Perkins (843 YDS, 65% COMP, 6.8 AVG, 6 TD, 4 INT, 7 SACK, 131.9 RTG, 51 RSH, 193 YDS, 3.8 YPC, 2 TD), RB Wayne Taulapapa (39 RSH, 152 YDS, 3.9 YPC, 5 TD), WR Joe Reed (23 REC, 215 YDS, 9.3 YPC, 3 TD), WR Hasise Dubois (16 REC, 191 YDS, 11.9 YPC, 1 TD), WR Terrell Jana (15 REC, 174 YDS, 11.6 YPC, 0 TD)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Now Notre Dame is 2-1 both straight up and against the spread with 1-2 under the total. Then Fighting Irish are coming off a College Football Playoff season in which key players graduated. Brian Kelly has recruited well to avoid a severe drop. More important of all is the continued effective play of the quarterback, Ian Book. Notre Dame ranks 25th in the nation for scoring offense and 29th for points allowed. Specifically, the strong performance at Georgia was no fluke. UGA outgained Notre Dame only 341-321. Considering UGA is one of the nation’s top four teams the performance impressed all.

Players to Watch: QB Ian Book (828 YDS, 62% COMP, 8.8 AVG, 8 TD, 2 INT, 159.5 RTG, 26 RSH, 145 YDS, 5.6 YPC, 2 TD), Tony Jones (30 RSH, 148 YDS, 4.9 YPC, 1 TD), WR Chase Claypool (15 REC, 256 YDS, 17.1 YPC, 2 TD), TE Cole Kmet (9 REC, 108 YDS, 12.0 YPC, 1 TD)

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Numbers

Trends

Virginia Cavaliers

5-3 with the odds as a road dog
6-3 over the total getting points away from home
7-5 ATS in their last 12 away games
5-6 under the total on the road
5-1 on the board against Independent schools
3-1-1 over the total vs. Independents
Against Notre Dame 1-0 ATS and over the total

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

8-5 ATS at in their last 13 games at Notre Dame Stadium
3-6 under the total at home
7-5 with the odds as a home chalk
4-6 under the total laying points at home
6-9 ATS at home against Atlantic Coast Conference teams
4-6 under the total when hosting ACC schools

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Picks

On this occasion, Notre Dame faces a well-coached and resilient Virginia team. mobile betting. As was previously noted the Cavaliers are a good road dog. By contrast, the Fighting Irish have not been a good betting value as home chalk.

Score Prediction: Virginia Cavaliers 24, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 27