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UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats NCAAF Betting Spread and Picks

Posted by: Charlie Smith
UCLA Bruins Vs. Arizona Wildcats NCAAF Betting odds and game preview

Last week UCLA was trailing at Washington State 42-17 midway through the third quarter. At that time the Chip Kelly era appeared to be in ruins. That is what makes what followed so amazing. The Bruins rallied for an insane 67-63 win with the College football odds. Specifically, the game gave new meaning to the moniker of “Pac 12 After Dark.” The win gives new life to a Bruins program that was in desperate need of it. Now the issue is where the Bruins and Kelly go from here. Arizona’s weak defense could prove to be an inviting host.

UCLA Bruins Vs. Arizona Wildcats

When: Saturday, September 28, 10:30 p.m. ET
Where: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Arizona
TV: FOX
Stream: FOX Sports

UCLA Bruins Vs. Arizona Wildcats Betting Odds

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
UCLA +7 (-105) 72 (-110) +230
Arizona -7 (-115) 72 (-110) -270
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UCLA Bruins

Now UCLA is 1-3 both straight up and against the spread with 1-3 under the total. National metrics remain a legitimate concern. UCLA ranks 102nd for total offense and 87th for scoring. Of great concern is a defense that ranks 125th and 122nd for points allowed. In Kelly’s defense he has one of the youngest rosters in the country. Fortunately, his large contract forces UCLA to be patient and let his roster develop and evolve. The miraculous win at Wazzu could be a springboard or an outlier.

Players to Watch: QB Dorian Thompson Robinson (1063 YDS, 57% COMP, 8.5 AVG, 10 TD, 5 INT, 10 SACK, 147.4 RTG, 42 RSH, 12 YDS, 0.3 YPC, 2 TD), RB Joshua Kelley (53 RSH, 194 YDS, 3.7 YPC, 1 TD), WR Demetric Felton (42 RSH, 177 YDS, 4.2 YPC, 0 TD, 20 REC, 321 YDS, 16.0 YPC, 3 TD), WR Chase Cota (7 REC, 16T8 YDS, 24.0 YHPC, 2 TD), TE Devin Asiasi (11 REC, 164 YDS, 14.9 YPC, 1 TD), WR Jaylen Erwin (11 REC, 132 YDS, 12.0 YPC, 1 TD)

Arizona Wildcats

Overall Arizona is 2-1 straight up, 1-2 against the spread, and 2-1 over the total. Following a 28-14 home win and payout over Texas Tech was a bye week. Arizona ranks third in the country for total offense. Head coach Kevin Sumlin and quarterback Khalil Tate are much more in sync than last year. Meanwhile, a defense ranked 120th in the land remains a perpetual worry.

Players to Watch: QB Khalil Tate (684 YDS, 63% COMP, 8.7 AVG, 6 TD, 4 INT, 4 SACK, 151 RTG, 32 RSH, 238 YDS, 7.4 YPC, 2 TD), RB Gary Brightwell (26 RSH, 226 YPC, 8.7 YPC, 3 TD), RB JJ Taylor (35 RSH, 208 YDS, 5.9 YPC, 2 TD), WR Tayvian Cunningham (12 REC, 158 YDS, 13.2 YPC, 2 TD), WR Stanley Berryhill II (9 REC, 154 YDS, 17.1 YPC, 2 TD), WR Jamarye Joiner (7 REC, 101 YDS, 14.4 YPC, 1 TD)

UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats Betting Numbers

Trends

UCLA Bruins

6-13 ATS in their last 19 away games
2-5 under the total away from home
6-3 on the board in their head to head series with Arizona
4-2-1 over the total when playing the Wildcats
3-7 against the odds in away games with Pac 12 schools
4-8-2 under the total away from home against the Pac 12

Arizona Wildcats

8-3-1 against the spread at Arizona Stadium
4-5 under the total in their last 9 home games
7-2-1 on the board at home with Pac 12 Conference teams
4-3-1 over the total when hosting the Pac 12
6-2 with odds at home against UCLA
3-5-2 under the total at Arizona Stadium vs. the Bruins

UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats Betting Picks

As was previously noted neither team has much in the way of defense. The big difference should be Tate as far as the straight-up result. But the Wildcats defense makes a legal betting cover highly questionable. Last week should give UCLA the emotional boost that it needs to build on.

Score Prediction: UCLA Bruins 41, Arizona Wildcats 42