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Ole Miss vs. Alabama College Football Odds, Game Info & Betting Pick

Posted by: Anthony Yaylor
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF Betting Picks and game preview

At the onset of the college football season, two things were quite clear to gamblers. Ole Miss was going to continue to struggle with coach Matt Luke on the hot seat. Luke stepped into a terrible situation but has gotten little support from fans or administrators. Meanwhile, Alabama is a top tier favorite with the college football odds to win the national championship. Early results by both teams have only served to affirm the preseason prognostications. Alabama is so good that it often gets taken for granted. Additionally, they face the prospects of being a consistent overlay.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

When: Saturday, September 28, 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Bryant Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
TV: CBS
Stream: Check Listings

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Odds

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Mississippi +35½ (-110) 61½ (-110) +10000
Alabama -35½ (-110) 61½ (-110) -30000
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Ole Miss Rebels

Last week Ole Miss lost at home to Cal 28-20 in controversial fashion. The Rebels had a late touchdown overturned and with it a chance to tie. Replay indicated that it should have been six for the Rebels. As a result, Ole Miss is 2-2 straight up, 1-3 against the spread and 2-2 on totals. National metrics have the Rebels ranked 74th for total offense and 96th for points scored. Along the same lines Ole Miss ranks 71st for defense. Rich Rodriguez was hired with great fanfare to run the offense. Progress has been slow and may cost Luke.

Players to Watch: QB Matt Corral (844 YDS, 59.6 COMP, 7.4 AVG, 4 TD, 1 INT, 10 SACK, 131.7 RTG, 41 RSH, 91 YDS, 2.2 YPC, 1 TD), RB Scottie Phillips (85 RSH, 362 YDS, 4.3 YPC, 4 TD), WR Elijah Moore (29 REC, 380 YDS, 13.1 YPC, 3 TD), PK Luke Logan (11-12 XP, 6-10 FG)

Alabama Crimson Tide

Now Alabama is 4-0 straight up, 2-2 with the odds, and 2-2 on totals. Last week was a 49-7 home payout over Southern Miss. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been near flawless with the look of a Heisman in his future. The biggest challenge for the Crimson Tide is staying focused against such weak competition. And that is where the strength of head coach Nick Saban comes into play. Specifically, he won’t allow a letdown.

Players to Watch: QB Tua Tagovailoa (1300 YDS, 78% COMP, 11.6 AVG, 17 TD, 0 INT, 225.3 RTG, 12 RSH, 44 YDS, 3.7 YPC, 1 TD), RB Najee Harris (45 RSH, 266 YDS, 5.9 YPC, 1 TD, 7 REC, 104 YDS, 14.9 YPC, 3 TD), RB Brian Robinson Jr (36 RSH, 138 YDS, 3.8 YUPC, 2 TD), WR Jerry Jeudy (30 REC, 404 YDS, 13.5 YPC, 6 TD), WR Henry Ruggs III (16 REC, 350 YDS, 21.9 YPC, 4 TD), WR DeVonta Smith (20 REC, 263 YDS, 13.1 YPC, 3 TD)

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Numbers

Trends

Ole Miss Rebels

2-5-1 ATS as an away dog
1-4 under the total getting points away from home
5-5 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Alabama
4-7 under the total in their head to head series with the Crimson Tide
3-8-1 on the board away from home against SEC teams
6-3 over the total on the road vs. SEC schools

Alabama Crimson Tide

5-4 ATS as a home favorite
6-2 over the total laying points at Bryant Denny Stadium
7-4 with the odds at home against SEC teams
3-4 under the total when hosting SEC competition
2-5 on the board as a home chalk with Ole Miss
3-6 under the total laying points at Bryant Denny Stadium vs. the Rebels

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Picks

On this occasion the Rebels are overmatched. As was previously noted Ole Miss has struggled to maintain bet on sports value as a road dog. Despite big numbers Alabama pays at home.

Score Prediction: Ole Miss Rebels 10, Alabama Crimson Tide 49