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Home » NCAA Bets: Top College Football Betting Online » Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans 9/28/24 NCAAF Week 5 Betting Prediction

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans 9/28/24 NCAAF Week 5 Betting Prediction

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans 9/28/24 NCAAF Week 5 Betting Prediction

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans 9/28/24 – Week 5 of the NCAA football season is around the corner, and the Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0), who are yet to be defeated, are hoping to take down the Michigan State Spartans. Spartan Stadium is full of excitement for this extreme conference clash that is going to take place under the lights. Not only does the match showcase two dominant teams, but serves as an icing for sports fanatics who are craving for the top casino online as it combines sports with gambling.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans 9/28/24

When:Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
Where:Spartan Stadium
TV:PEAC
Stream:Sofascore
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans 9/28/24
TeamSP/RLTOTALML
Buckeyes-23.5 (-115)48.5 over (-115)-2000Bet Now on this Game
Spartans+23.5 (-105)48.5 under (-105)+900
Bet Now on this Game

TERRY DOWN THERE SOMEWHERE 👻 @TheTerry_25 pic.twitter.com/HgvxZ0V7U1

— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) September 24, 2024

The Buckeyes enter the game as heavy favorites, reflecting their dominant start to the season and historical success against the Spartans. With a spread of -23.5, Ohio State is predicted to win and do so convincingly. The total sits at 48.5, with trends showing Ohio State’s recent games leaning towards high-scoring affairs, contrasting with Michigan State’s tendency to participate in lower-scoring matchups.

Will Howard, QB vs. Aidan Chile,s QB

Ohio State has a pleasant quarterback in Will Howard, who has been a pleasant surprise this season and quite impressive himself with a completion rate of 68.9%, boasting 795 yards with 6 touchdowns to a single interception. Among the attributes that Howard is touted for is his ability to throw a 70–yard pass, which also supports the fact that he had a passer rating of 183.2 and brings out the versatile utilization of Howard in running a fast-paced offense. His contribution would be important in breaking down the Spartans’ defense, which has been porous, as observed in very high-pressure games.

Conversely, Michigan State’s Aidan Chiles has become quite ineffective himself, completing only 891 passing yards, although he has had a lot of attempts at a 54.3% completion rate. Chiles has had issues with his accuracy and his decision-making in the pocket, where he has 4 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 118.1 and has been sacked 5 times (losses totalling 34 yards). It is hard to operate efficiently against a defense like Ohio State, which guarantees pressure throughout the game.

Dynamic Ground and Aerial Assault: Ohio State’s Offensive Edge

The system of the Buckeyes’ offense is not only centered around throwing the ball, but rushing is just as effective. Running back Quinshon Judkins has been a beast, carrying the ball for 336 yards on 36 rushes for an astonishing 9.3 yards per attempt. Ewers’ speed also helps Howard throw, as he can get free for an 86-yard run, making the Ohio State offense more diverse. Adding to this, wide receiver Jeremiah Smith has 281 yards and catches the ball for 20.1 yards when thrown to, on average, a major player during the most significant vertical passes.

Spartans’ Struggle and Strategy

Michigan State’s offense, led by running back Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams, shows potential despite the team’s overall challenges. Lynch-Adams has accumulated 271 rushing yards, with his best run stretching 63 yards, indicating his capability to exploit gaps in the defense. However, the Spartans’ receiving corps, spearheaded by Montorie Foster Jr. and his 200 receiving yards, needs to step up, especially in converting red-zone appearances into touchdowns, to keep pace with Ohio State’s scoring.

Trends

Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Trends

Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State’s last 5 games.
Ohio State is 14-2 SU in their last 16 games.
Ohio State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against Michigan State.
Buckeyes are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games against Michigan State.

Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Michigan State’s last 7 games.
Michigan State is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Michigan State’s last 9 games against Ohio State.
Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
Michigan State is 0-9 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Ohio State.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans Betting Prediction

Considering the thorough evaluation of the outcomes and the current state of drawing lots, Ohio State should be confident of winning the next game they play against Michigan State. Nevertheless, the defense appreciated by the Spartans and their inability to perform strongly at home indicate a game closer than the odds. Gamblers will likely spread the odds offered to Michigan State smartly in a tighter fight than initially expected.

If you are interested in this type of wager, then the player-specific prop bets on the games of the hottest players in Ohio State will be worth looking into. As an alternative, the under on the total of 48.5 may satisfy the protective heels, better estimating the latest trends in scoring both teams. This matchup has plenty of exciting factors to satisfy the followers of college football free winning picks.

Score Prediction: Ohio State 34, Michigan State 12.

Hilbert Mayer

Sports Writer

Hilbert Mayer is a professional sports writer, betting analyst, and content strategist with over 15 years of experience in the sports industry. Before focusing on sports betting analysis and handicapping, Hilbert worked as a sports writer for various news outlets, covering everything from game recaps to in-depth matchup features. Today, he specializes in MLB, NFL, March Madness, and UFC betting, combining his journalistic background with deep statistical expertise and real-world betting insights. His proven track record, sharp reads, and ability to break down complex matchups make him a trusted voice among both casual bettors and seasoned sharps.

Published on: September 24, 2024
Last updated: March 28, 2025

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